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The L$ Pop Was Great! Now I'm Selling!

Pan Fan
Registered User
Join date: 2 Jul 2006
Posts: 306
07-04-2006 10:48
From: Svar Beckersted
So if you are an alt why are you hiding, bring out your primary account so we can stop accusing you of being somebody you apparently don't like?


I don't really have a "main." I just got in world several days ago due to not having the proper computer power. I could care less if you don't believe me or whatever. I'm not trying to sell you anything here, I'm just saying what I think is going to happen and so far, I've been pretty much right on.

Looks at LindenX selling at 301 now, hopefully back to 299 after this chunk is gone, but shortly there after back up to 300+ by mid Wed.
Pan Fan
Registered User
Join date: 2 Jul 2006
Posts: 306
07-04-2006 10:50
From: Musuko Massiel
"Hiya and happy 4th!"

Why do you assume I celebrate your indepence? I'm British for pete's sake. :P

"This is my only alt and no, I NEVER said anything about 500/1 or whatever."

Eh. All you doom-predicting alts are the same person in my head.

Musuko.


Funny thing is, this is my only avatar or at least the only one I've ever posted on the boards with. Doom is not coming, but a loss in L$ by a bit is. Why is that so hard to understand? Why doesn't anyone post an idea with backing of something else which the L$ may do rather than just getting on here and calling me names and trying to say I'm somoen I'm not?
Svar Beckersted
Registered User
Join date: 14 Apr 2006
Posts: 783
07-04-2006 10:51
From: Pan Fan

The holiday HAS made the pop higher than normal at this time. It would be a good thousand or two lower if there were no holiday today. I know I wouldn’t be on, which I am.


At 10:00 SL time the population was 5,031 6/20, 5,492 6/27, and 5,888 today. That looks lika function of the higher overall population to me not as a result of the 4th of July.
Pan Fan
Registered User
Join date: 2 Jul 2006
Posts: 306
07-04-2006 10:54
From: Svar Beckersted
At 10:00 SL time the population was 5,031 6/20, 5,492 6/27, and 5,888 today. That looks lika function of the higher overall population to me not as a result of the 4th of July.


Most people in the US don't get online until mid day on holidays or after work on workdays. I have never seen a pop this high at this time unless it is was a weekend or a holiday.

But no matter what, the value of the L$ is down, just as I said it would be, pop growth or not. Just wait until Wed afternoon.
Tiger Zobel
hoarder
Join date: 13 Jan 2006
Posts: 391
07-04-2006 11:23
From: Pan Fan
Wow man. You seem to be really upset. Try having a drink and smile or something.
Just emphasising certain facts that you keep ignoring/don't even know about...
From: someone
Also, please don't tell me to "stick it" or I'm going to have to report you for verbal abuse as now I feel as though you are threatening me.
Oh honestly... do you even know what that slang term means?
From: someone
I'm trying to have a fun conversation here and all you do is seem to yell at me and try to force me to think what you want me to.
As opposed to the way you've been yelling at everyone here and trying to force us all into thinking the way you do?
From: someone
The holiday HAS made the pop higher than normal at this time. It would be a good thousand or two lower if there were no holiday today. I know I wouldn’t be on, which I am.

*sigh* Again, thanks to the European players, the inworld population at this time is almost always 6k+
Joannah Cramer
Registered User
Join date: 12 Apr 2006
Posts: 1,539
07-04-2006 11:41
From: Pan Fan
I'd say 301-306 by Wed afternoon.

Well that's quite a wide margin, will be pretty hard to not meet that ^^

Incidentally yes, i think the value is given to drop eventually but rather in a week-two, as fresh wave of incoming people seems to be quite strong still, and it's too early for large amounts to grow bored. On the other hand, i wouldn't be attributing current holiday as important factor of L$ bounce -- if anything, it seems to have opposite effect -- there's _less_ people around and less sales because people are out partying in RL. Most of people on the friend list weren't present online in the last 3+ days of weekend, and they are usually online each day, and for long hours...
Pan Fan
Registered User
Join date: 2 Jul 2006
Posts: 306
07-04-2006 11:44
From: Tiger Zobel
Just emphasising certain facts that you keep ignoring/don't even know about...Oh honestly... do you even know what that slang term means?As opposed to the way you've been yelling at everyone here and trying to force us all into thinking the way you do?
*sigh* Again, thanks to the European players, the inworld population at this time is almost always 6k+


And I'm forcing you to read my thread? No.

You can still get a pretty good deal if you SELL right now.
Pan Fan
Registered User
Join date: 2 Jul 2006
Posts: 306
07-04-2006 11:46
From: Joannah Cramer
Well that's quite a wide margin, will be pretty hard to not meet that ^^

Incidentally yes, i think the value is given to drop eventually but rather in a week-two, as fresh wave of incoming people seems to be quite strong still, and it's too early for large amounts to grow bored. On the other hand, i wouldn't be attributing current holiday as important factor of L$ bounce -- if anything, it seems to have opposite effect -- there's _less_ people around and less sales because people are out partying in RL. Most of people on the friend list weren't present online in the last 3+ days of weekend, and they are usually online each day, and for long hours...


Well if you want more exact then I'd say 303 by Wed afternoon. Thanks for the post with actual ideas and info.
Musuko Massiel
Registered User
Join date: 4 Nov 2005
Posts: 435
07-05-2006 06:12
"Funny thing is, this is my only avatar or at least the only one I've ever posted on the boards with."

Uhuh.

"Doom is not coming, but a loss in L$ by a bit is."

Would you care to explain your prediction? Would you like to give a time-scale and specific amount of loss to us? After all, if you're not talking out of your behind, you will have some kind of formula or methodology that will give you a prediction more accurate than "the exchange rate will fall at some time in some way by some amount", which is what you're giving now.

Musuko.
Fade Languish
I just build stuff...
Join date: 20 Oct 2005
Posts: 1,760
07-05-2006 08:24
From: Jon Rolland
Pan = JB JB was always the hyper one.


I did some digging in the archives a little while ago, and followed the trail of alts way, way back, examining commonalities. I concluded that JB does in fact = RBD, and a lot more besides. Anyone interested in having a look for themselves, feel free to PM me.

:D
_____________________
ReserveBank Division
Senior Member
Join date: 16 Jan 2006
Posts: 1,408
07-05-2006 08:41
From: Fade Languish
I did some digging in the archives a little while ago, and followed the trail of alts way, way back, examining commonalities. I concluded that JB does in fact = RBD, and a lot more besides. Anyone interested in having a look for themselves, feel free to PM me.

:D



Who on earth is JB?
_____________________
Joannah Cramer
Registered User
Join date: 12 Apr 2006
Posts: 1,539
07-05-2006 08:49
From: ReserveBank Division
Who on earth is JB?

SL's greatest economic mind and distributor.
Pan Fan
Registered User
Join date: 2 Jul 2006
Posts: 306
"300+ By Wed Afternoon" JUST AS I SAID
07-05-2006 10:05
OK everyone. It is now Wed afternoon and what do you know!? 301L$/1USD. Sounds like 300+ by Wed afternoon to me! That's an instant sell rate at 202L$/1USD! Where are all those people telling me to "wait until 240" or that it will "never be in the 300s again and will only be stronger by Wed?" lol.

Now, where are you all going to meet me in game to eat your virtual shorts/pants/hats? I have an extra virtual hat someone can eat as I won't be eating it. Ok, bring the denials on!

The L$ will only continue to lose value form here on but at a slower rate than before, until Sat where it will gain its normal weekend pop and then continue downhill slow but sure. In other words, SELL NOW!
Pan Fan
Registered User
Join date: 2 Jul 2006
Posts: 306
07-05-2006 10:08
From: Musuko Massiel
"Funny thing is, this is my only avatar or at least the only one I've ever posted on the boards with."

Uhuh.

"Doom is not coming, but a loss in L$ by a bit is."

Would you care to explain your prediction? Would you like to give a time-scale and specific amount of loss to us? After all, if you're not talking out of your behind, you will have some kind of formula or methodology that will give you a prediction more accurate than "the exchange rate will fall at some time in some way by some amount", which is what you're giving now.

Musuko.


My models are my secret. Come up with your own.
Svar Beckersted
Registered User
Join date: 14 Apr 2006
Posts: 783
07-05-2006 10:12
From: Pan Fan
OK everyone. It is now Wed afternoon and what do you know!? 301L$/1USD. Sounds like 300+ by Wed afternoon to me! That's an instant sell rate at 202L$/1USD! Where are all those people telling me to "wait until 240" or that it will "never be in the 300s again and will only be stronger by Wed?" lol.

Now, where are you all going to meet me in game to eat your virtual shorts/pants/hats? I have an extra virtual hat someone can eat as I won't be eating it. Ok, bring the denials on!

The L$ will only continue to lose value form here on but at a slower rate than before, until Sat where it will gain its normal weekend pop and then continue downhill slow but sure. In other words, SELL NOW!


My clock says 10:13 AM, wait 2 more hours please then I'll be glad to meet you ingame. Where would you like to meet?
Tiger Zobel
hoarder
Join date: 13 Jan 2006
Posts: 391
07-05-2006 10:47
From: Pan Fan
OK everyone. It is now Wed afternoon and what do you know!? 301L$/1USD. Sounds like 300+ by Wed afternoon to me! That's an instant sell rate at 202L$/1USD! Where are all those people telling me to "wait until 240" or that it will "never be in the 300s again and will only be stronger by Wed?" lol.
Were there ever any? Note that saying they believe that it could reach a certain figure or that they beleive it has a strong chance of keeping the value don't count...

Go on... go look for them. We'll wait for you to find the people who didn't bother posting on this thread...
From: someone
Now, where are you all going to meet me in game to eat your virtual shorts/pants/hats? I have an extra virtual hat someone can eat as I won't be eating it. Ok, bring the denials on!
no hon... that's because you've already eaten it... remember your "it'll never get below 297 or I'll eat my virtual hat"?
From: someone
The L$ will only continue to lose value form here on but at a slower rate than before, until Sat where it will gain its normal weekend pop and then continue downhill slow but sure. In other words, SELL NOW!

Uh-huh... Given your track record so far, you'll excuse me if I don't...


Besides, if it's going to gain value on Saturday, then selling now is a MISTAKE.
Pan Fan
Registered User
Join date: 2 Jul 2006
Posts: 306
07-05-2006 11:06
From: Tiger Zobel
Were there ever any? Note that saying they believe that it could reach a certain figure or that they beleive it has a strong chance of keeping the value don't count...

Go on... go look for them. We'll wait for you to find the people who didn't bother posting on this thread...no hon... that's because you've already eaten it... remember your "it'll never get below 297 or I'll eat my virtual hat"?
Uh-huh... Given your track record so far, you'll excuse me if I don't...


Besides, if it's going to gain value on Saturday, then selling now is a MISTAKE.


My track record? My track record has been almost 100%. I called the time when the L was going to stop gaining with a small margin of error (about 3 L$) and called the value at what it would be today, right on (my exact price of 303 was off by 2L$). That is not bad at all. I also said it would be 300+ by Wed afternoon, over and over again and everyone kept saying I was just some other people I was not instead or rebuffing my prediction with another prediction or at least some reason why I would be wrong. All I eheard was people praying the L$ would keep gaining (Say enough and maybe it will happen). Anyone who knows anything about currency trading knew that trend couldn't go on much longer. The instant sell rate NEVER went below 297. 296 sold for a bit that day, yes, but if you put your money on it then, it would not have gotten sold. I'd say my "track record" is about 90-92%. Your track record = 0% as you never give any info or ideas, but rather just jump on here and yell fallacies at me. Once again, if you don't like what I have to say, don't read my thread.

SELL NOW!
Tiger Zobel
hoarder
Join date: 13 Jan 2006
Posts: 391
07-05-2006 11:55
From: Pan Fan
My track record? My track record has been almost 100%. I called the time when the L was going to stop gaining with a small margin of error (about 3 L$) and called the value at what it would be today, right on (my exact price of 303 was off by 2L$).
You also called it to be stopping at 301... it hit 296 24 hours later. (ooops... missed that didn't you?) You called it to be 308 on Tuesday... you seriously got that wrong.
From: someone
That is not bad at all. I also said it would be 300+ by Wed afternoon, over and over again and everyone kept saying I was just some other people I was not instead or rebuffing my prediction with another prediction or at least some reason why I would be wrong.
You also predicted over and over that it would be 308 on Tuesday... you got that spectacularly wrong. Oh, and don't forget your insistence that it'd hit 315... :)
From: someone
All I eheard was people praying the L$ would keep gaining (Say enough and maybe it will happen). Anyone who knows anything about currency trading knew that trend couldn't go on much longer. The instant sell rate NEVER went below 297. 296 sold for a bit that day, yes, but if you put your money on it then, it would not have gotten sold. I'd say my "track record" is about 90-92%.
Nice... you make a lot of very specific predictions that end up being wrong and some vague ones that are backed up by previous trends that I AGREED WOULD HAPPEN... and you really think you're hitting .9?
From: someone
Your track record = 0% as you never give any info or ideas, but rather just jump on here and yell fallacies at me.
Hmm... I believe that me stating that the value would drop due to the stipend blip, the fact that we can't use the small amount of data we have to make any kind of accurate long-term predictions, the fact that I kept on pointing out the false and mistaken assumptions you were using to come to your conclusions, the fact that YOU have been yelling about the fallacies in an attempt to avoid having to deal with info that doesn't agree with you, the fact that you jumped right in at the start with your "ZOMG!"!!!!11!! SELL NOW!!!11!" garbage...

I'm batting with much more precision that you are right now... but I'm busy thinking about what I say rather than blurting out any old rubbish.
From: someone
Once again, if you don't like what I have to say, don't read my thread.
Why? So that you can spout your inaccurate garbage without having it corrected? Sorry... these are open forums and I can post where I like... and posting corrections to some of the most blatent scaremongering I've seen in a long while is a public service
From: someone
SELL NOW!

Wait until Saturday, the value will likely be better... or in other words, don't panic, no matter how much someone wants you to...
Pan Fan
Registered User
Join date: 2 Jul 2006
Posts: 306
Stll crying...
07-05-2006 12:00
From: Tiger Zobel
You also called it to be stopping at 301... it hit 296 24 hours later. (ooops... missed that didn't you?) You called it to be 308 on Tuesday... you seriously got that wrong.You also predicted over and over that it would be 308 on Tuesday... you got that spectacularly wrong. Oh, and don't forget your insistence that it'd hit 315... :)Nice... you make a lot of very specific predictions that end up being wrong and some vague ones that are backed up by previous trends that I AGREED WOULD HAPPEN... and you really think you're hitting .9?Hmm... I believe that me stating that the value would drop due to the stipend blip, the fact that we can't use the small amount of data we have to make any kind of accurate long-term predictions, the fact that I kept on pointing out the false and mistaken assumptions you were using to come to your conclusions, the fact that YOU have been yelling about the fallacies in an attempt to avoid having to deal with info that doesn't agree with you, the fact that you jumped right in at the start with your "ZOMG!"!!!!11!! SELL NOW!!!11!" garbage...

I'm batting with much more precision that you are right now... but I'm busy thinking about what I say rather than blurting out any old rubbish.Why? So that you can spout your inaccurate garbage without having it corrected? Sorry... these are open forums and I can post where I like... and posting corrections to some of the most blatent scaremongering I've seen in a long while is a public service
Wait until Saturday, the value will likely be better... or in other words, don't panic, no matter how much someone wants you to...


lol, whatever man. Now you're pulling stuff out of your butt. I called it to stop at 301 and it stopped at 297, that is not bad. Everyone else was calling for it to get to 240, lol. My main prediction was 300+ by this afternoon and that is exactly what it is. It may gain a little this evening as people get online and then back down it will go 302, 303, etc. Look, we disagree, you have your opinion and I have mine. End of story. The only difference is, I have the guts to say what I think is going to happen while you just sit back and say I'm wrong or whatever and don;t give any info of your own. BoooHooo.
Pan Fan
Registered User
Join date: 2 Jul 2006
Posts: 306
07-05-2006 12:02
From: Svar Beckersted
My clock says 10:13 AM, wait 2 more hours please then I'll be glad to meet you ingame. Where would you like to meet?


Hola! Well now it is even noon over in your neck of the woods and yet we are still at 300+. Being the admirable person which you are and due to the fact you actually posted some interesting info and even offered to meet me in game to eat hats, your avatar no longer must eat a virtual item of clothing. Congrats!
Svar Beckersted
Registered User
Join date: 14 Apr 2006
Posts: 783
07-05-2006 12:23
From: Pan Fan
Hola! Well now it is even noon over in your neck of the woods and yet we are still at 300+. Being the admirable person which you are and due to the fact you actually posted some interesting info and even offered to meet me in game to eat hats, your avatar no longer must eat a virtual item of clothing. Congrats!


Ty, I'm in the middle of a Greedy game anyway.
Tiger Zobel
hoarder
Join date: 13 Jan 2006
Posts: 391
07-05-2006 12:24
From: Pan Fan
lol, whatever man. Now you're pulling stuff out of your butt. I called it to stop at 301 and it stopped at 297, that is not bad. Everyone else was calling for it to get to 240, lol.
Want me to pull the wuotes up showing exactly where you made those claims?
From: someone
My main prediction was 300+ by this afternoon and that is exactly what it is.
AFTER your earlier predictions were proven very wrong...
From: someone
It may gain a little this evening as people get online and then back down it will go 302, 303, etc. Look, we disagree, you have your opinion and I have mine. End of story. The only difference is, I have the guts to say what I think is going to happen while you just sit back and say I'm wrong or whatever and don;t give any info of your own. BoooHooo.

Hell, I've been saying what I think would happen for ages... why don't you try reading what I post instead of trying to claim something that is provably false?


By the way... you still remind me of a little kid trying their best to goad someone by teasing them... and pitiful teasing at that.
Pan Fan
Registered User
Join date: 2 Jul 2006
Posts: 306
07-05-2006 12:52
From: Tiger Zobel
Want me to pull the wuotes up showing exactly where you made those claims?AFTER your earlier predictions were proven very wrong...
Hell, I've been saying what I think would happen for ages... why don't you try reading what I post instead of trying to claim something that is provably false?


By the way... you still remind me of a little kid trying their best to goad someone by teasing them... and pitiful teasing at that.


That's pretty great. All while there is now half a million on 301L$/USD. Told you to sell. And once again I said a few times now already that I didn't hit the nail right on the head, but I was a hell of a lot closer than ANYONE else. The L$ did gain a little more value than I thought for one whole day, but then came right back to where I was first posting and is right in my predicted range of 300+.

Ahh, and back to the name calling fallacies you go. But then again, you probably still think I'm RBD, lol.
Tiger Zobel
hoarder
Join date: 13 Jan 2006
Posts: 391
07-05-2006 13:03
From: Pan Fan
That's pretty great. All while there is now half a million on 301L$/USD. Told you to sell. And once again I said a few times now already that I didn't hit the nail right on the head, but I was a hell of a lot closer than ANYONE else. The L$ did gain a little more value than I thought for one whole day, but then came right back to where I was first posting and is right in my predicted range of 300+.
Which prediction? 305? 308? 315?

Oh, that's right, it's the FOURTH prediction, the one that is so vague it has no value to it at all.
From: someone
Ahh, and back to the name calling fallacies you go. But then again, you probably still think I'm RBD, lol.

*yawn* You screaming about fallacies again? And, no... never thought you were RBD... please get your attempted put-downs right.
Pan Fan
Registered User
Join date: 2 Jul 2006
Posts: 306
Sounding like I love Lucy Lucy "Waaaaaaaa!"
07-05-2006 13:30
From: Tiger Zobel
Which prediction? 305? 308? 315?

Oh, that's right, it's the FOURTH prediction, the one that is so vague it has no value to it at all.
*yawn* You screaming about fallacies again? And, no... never thought you were RBD... please get your attempted put-downs right.


LOL,

I have had one prediction all along: That the L$ would stop gaining value around 300, and that is exactly what it did. I said it could get from 301-306 by today, which it has. I have been right all along and even my very first prediction of 301 only took an extra day to hit. That's a better track record than most real world economists. Remember that econ is not a perfect science and is up for speculation. Lucky for me, I was right! Better SELL!
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