Ginko Financial
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Nicholas Portocarrero
Registered User
Join date: 13 Jul 2004
Posts: 237
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11-18-2005 00:28
From: Michael Seraph Wow, are you investing Ginko money with Berkshire Hattaway? Or are you comparing Ginko to Berkshire Hattaway? Are you saying Berkshire Hattaway paid 70% and more in interest the first year and then the interest declined? No, I'm saying returns for early Berkshire Hattaway investors were significantly higher than current returns and even higher than average returns. There were years of 70% profits though, if remember correctly.
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Nathan Stewart
Registered User
Join date: 2 Feb 2005
Posts: 1,039
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11-18-2005 00:46
From: Michael Seraph No the amount was not guaranteed. Why would you think it was? If you sell something do you agree to buy it back at the same price? If you want to start a thread talking about Anshe's business do so. In this thread we're all wondering where the money given to YOU went. You don't have to answer of course, but don't try to side track the thread. Erm excuse me now, please provide me with an apology for accusing me of taking anybodys money, for i do no work or have no association with ginko or any empoyees of ginko and thank god i have no association with anshe either. If you have gained the wrong facts about me this quickly how can you make assumptions about ginko so quickly.
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Michael Seraph
Second Life Resident
Join date: 9 Nov 2004
Posts: 849
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11-18-2005 00:47
From: Nicholas Portocarrero No, I'm saying returns for early Berkshire Hattaway investors were significantly higher than current returns and even higher than average returns. What exactly does this mean? Did the returns start very high and then decline as more people invested? From: Nicholas Portocarrero There were years of 70% profits though, if remember correctly. 70% profit does not mean 70% interest paid to investors.
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Michael Seraph
Second Life Resident
Join date: 9 Nov 2004
Posts: 849
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11-18-2005 00:54
From: Nathan Stewart Erm excuse me now, please provide me with an apology for accusing me of taking anybodys money, for i do no work or have no association with ginko or any empoyees of ginko and thank god i have no association with anshe either. If you have gained the wrong facts about me this quickly how can you make assumptions about ginko so quickly. I'm sorry. I should have said "Ginko" and not "you". And you're so right, my confusion of the two completely invalidates everything I said about Ginko. It is a solid investment opportunity. I encourage everyone to give money to Ginko. The fact that the owner will not disclose in even the most general terms his investment strategy, the fact that they haven't collapsed in a fiscal sinkhole after a whole year of business is absolute proof it's a good buy.
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Nathan Stewart
Registered User
Join date: 2 Feb 2005
Posts: 1,039
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11-18-2005 01:01
From: Michael Seraph I'm sorry. I should have said "Ginko" and not "you". And you're so right, my confusion of the two completely invalidates everything I said about Ginko. It is a solid investment opportunity. I encourage everyone to give money to Ginko. The fact that the owner will not disclose in even the most general terms his investment strategy, the fact that they haven't collapsed in a fiscal sinkhole after a whole year of business is absolute proof it's a good buy. Oh if you want most general details then you should read there website https://ginkofinancial.com/aboutus.phpClear text, not hidden in any terms of service.
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Nicholas Portocarrero
Registered User
Join date: 13 Jul 2004
Posts: 237
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11-18-2005 02:06
I'm tired of listening to this nonsense about how impossible 70% a year is. Let me point out something very simple, that more than a few people do or have done. It has its risks as history shows, but everyone knows it is done and it happens. There are many other examples, some of which are safer, some of which are riskier, but that all make getting cash for 70% interest viable in the short term. Now, an example:
You have 20k dollars. You find a house in a good area selling for 200k dollars. You go to the bank and get a 180k dollar mortgage to buy the house. Now you have a 200k dollar asset with a 180k dollar liability for a 20k dollar investment. Say you rent the house for about the same as its costs in interest and maintenance. Next year, the market is up by 10%, making your house worth 220k dollars. Your liabilities are the same as is your cash investment. So essentialy you made 20k dollars in one year on a 20k dollar investment, which amounts to a 100% yearly return. There are real estate markets in the world where prices go up steadily by that much for real, fundamental and sustainable reasons. There are real estate markets that go up by 20%, 30%, even more in one year, sometimes year after year. And there are ways to get a mortgage for more than 90% of the value of the property. Someone with good knowledge of real estate, how to get bank credit and willingness to take risks can make very significant returns on his cash investment.
Important: This is not what we do. We have zero real estate investments.
It's not a perfect example but it ilustrates just fine how ridiculous the notion that simply paying 70% (the real, compound annual rate we were paying when Anshe started this thread) or 66% (the real, compound annual rate we are paying right now) proves Ginko Financial is a ponzi. Don't get me wrong, I understand why people have their doubts, and I respect their right to have them and even spread them. But I believe people are innocent until proven guilty, not the other way around and Anshe's threat sounds like she wants to burn me alive regardless of guilt, just because she has made up her mind about me.
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Malachi Petunia
Gentle Miscreant
Join date: 21 Sep 2003
Posts: 3,414
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11-18-2005 02:31
Would someone just liken someone else to Hitler so we could be done with this already?
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Kris Ritter
paradoxical embolism
Join date: 31 Oct 2003
Posts: 6,627
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11-18-2005 02:35
From: Malachi Petunia Would someone just liken someone else to Hitler so we could be done with this already? Ok. You are a would-be dictator from Austria with one non functional testicle and a silly moustache. Does that help?
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Malachi Petunia
Gentle Miscreant
Join date: 21 Sep 2003
Posts: 3,414
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11-18-2005 02:50
From: Kris Ritter Ok. You are a would-be dictator from Austria with one non functional testicle and a silly moustache. Does that help? Yes! Thank you! No wait, you outed my mustache which isn't in my FL profile (and which I couldn't actually grow if I tried because I still haven't reached puberty). Now which of us do I AR? 
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Kris Ritter
paradoxical embolism
Join date: 31 Oct 2003
Posts: 6,627
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11-18-2005 02:53
From: Malachi Petunia Yes! Thank you! No wait, you outed my mustache which isn't in my FL profile (and which I couldn't actually grow if I tried because I still haven't reached puberty). Now which of us do I AR?  Well, Imma AR you for being underage due to your above confession. Report back to us from the teen grid, won't you?  They start these Nazi dictators young these days, huh?
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Alexa Hope
Registered User
Join date: 8 Dec 2004
Posts: 670
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11-18-2005 03:10
Reading this whole thread again, I just want to say that the people who have invested with Nicholas and Ginko are all adults and can make up their own minds whether they want to invest or not.
It is really no-one else's business to rip Ginko to shreds because they disagree with it. Mind your own business is really what I'm trying to say.
Anshe's original post was totally out of order and should have been edited or locked for revealing real life information about someone when that info is not in their profile. Plenty of people have been censured for doing that and so should Anshe. I still believe she wants any competition out of the way and will do anything to achieve that. Hopefully she will not succeed.
Alexa
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Kris Ritter
paradoxical embolism
Join date: 31 Oct 2003
Posts: 6,627
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11-18-2005 03:15
From: Alexa Hope Anshe's original post was totally out of order and should have been edited or locked for revealing real life information about someone when that info is not in their profile. Plenty of people have been censured for doing that and so should Anshe. I still believe she wants any competition out of the way and will do anything to achieve that. Hopefully she will not succeed. Yup. I think we just have to give people credit to realise bullshit when they see it. I AR'd Anshe's posts twice. But since she has complete inworld and forum immunity because Money > ToS, she pretty much gets to say and do what she likes. If anyone else had made that post, it WOULD have been locked and edited.
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Malachi Petunia
Gentle Miscreant
Join date: 21 Sep 2003
Posts: 3,414
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11-18-2005 04:44
From: someone I AR'd Anshe's posts twice. But since she has complete inworld and forum immunity because Money > ToS, she pretty much gets to say and do what she likes. If anyone else had made that post, it WOULD have been locked and edited. So in this land, both money and bullshit talk... interesting. The irony - to me anyway - is that for all the handwaving by the original poster (subtle allusion there, no?) did in this thread about the longevity of Ginko is that I believe that she/he/it/they are "investing" real capital, as a customer, in what I believe to be a failing enterprise and so will neither be able to realize the expected return but will have the carpet rudely pulled out from underneath those "investments" with no recourse at all. Now before the pitchforks are drawn, I'd like to try and dull the tines a little bit. I really, truly, deeply do not want to see SL/LL fail and have been doing everything in my limited power to help them succeed. However, unless some relatively drastic changes are made in the operations, I think their days are numbered. This would be a sad thing, as the concept was so promising, the community that it attracted is on the whole creative and clever and kind, and I've seen firms of this size fail and real people with real families would lose their jobs thus adding to the aggregate unhappiness in the universe. I don't want LL to fail but I cannot see them succeeding given their current direction. I think I've seen an analysis somewhere here which shows that SL is trying to increase mindshare with the free accounts, but that the majority of free accounts are not converting to revenue generating customers and that each active free account has a very real cost to LL. I'm reminded of the old quip "sure we lose money on every sale, but we make it up on volume"; in other words, if current trends continue, SL's "loss leader" accounts will make their balance sheets increasingly red to the point of unsustainability. Yes, they are getting quite a bit of press these days which I fear is only drawing potential customers in only to have their expectations violated because at present 1.7 is pretty performance-challenged. Another SF-Bay start-up is also crumbling under their own successes at present and I know that some Lindens would strenuously object to the comparison, but much of what made Friendster appealing ("hey geeks, get in touch with other geeks"  is what really drives the meaningful part of SL. Yep, this appears to be a hijack of the thread (which was pretty dead already) but I think we'll likely see more of these as various "make money here" expecations fail to come to fruition.
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Jonny Dingo
An den, an den, an den...
Join date: 24 Feb 2005
Posts: 42
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11-18-2005 06:55
From: Aaron Levy How noble of you Anshe. Wouldn't the millions you plan on spending to end this be better off sent to your family in China or something? You are not the moral compass of Second Life. You started here as a friggen call girl. Go away. From: someone
Ouch, Bang, Splat
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Ellie Edo
Registered User
Join date: 13 Mar 2005
Posts: 1,425
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11-18-2005 07:18
From: Kris Ritter If anyone else had made that post, it WOULD have been locked and edited. I'm not so sure you are right. She is promulgating warnings about a business. Publically expressing concerns many of us share - doubtless many that remain silent here. It's not the same as insulting a person. I have attacked AnsheCorp dealings quite vigorously, and not had every such thread locked - less recently. I have argued strongly that an SL business of significant size, asking for our trust, should not have the same TOS and forum protection as an individual. I have argued it mostly against Anshe. I suspect Jeska has partly accepted it. I'm not sure that some of you aren't the ones guilty of what you complain of. Special treatment for Anshe. But in the reverse direction. As for the huge dreadful TOS violation on revealing a private communication - come on, grow up. Wasn't it about the willingness of South American banks to lend at European rates ? Didnt he post the same thing himself again here a short time later ? Is that personal information? Was there something more I missed ? It feels really bizarre for me, defending Anshe like this, but I really do try hard to look at the issues alone, and ignore the personalities. I am really concerned about Ginko. A possible Ponzi operation is a very serious legal matter. If SL were found to be sheltering one via its currency it would be almost tantamount to allowing money laundering. Ginko could repel these doubts with ease if they are a genuine operation. Just disseminate a document telling us a lot more about what they are doing, at least some of it verifiable. If he won't, he invites the expression of doubt in public.If the investor has to accept risk of loss of funds with no accountability, then the investee has to accept the risk that his business will be damaged by adverse comment and speculation of possible wrongdoing in public. We take one risk. Fair enough, he takes the other. Two sides of a coin. What's unfair about that? You want him to have his cake and eat it ? We know his investors risk. This risk (public criticism, doubts amd warnings) is his.We invite our risk by giving him money when he won't speak. He invites his risk by refusing to speak.
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Jonny Dingo
An den, an den, an den...
Join date: 24 Feb 2005
Posts: 42
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Warning!!!
11-18-2005 07:30
DO NOT BUY LAND FROM ANSHE! Her land is really just "quicksand" covered by fake grass!! You will fall in and never live to tell! DO NOT BUY LAND FROM ANSHE CHUNG! ---------------------------------------------- Dear Anshe, I WARN YOU and I DEMAND! That you show us all proof that your land is not all quick sand covered by fake grass! Untill then no one will buy your quicksand land! Ohh and Anshe dont say I never WARNED you! Muhaha (evil grin). Thank you 
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Kris Ritter
paradoxical embolism
Join date: 31 Oct 2003
Posts: 6,627
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11-18-2005 07:33
ALL land is quicksand covered in fake grass if you're in a vehicle 
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DogSpot Boxer
vortex thruster
Join date: 23 Aug 2005
Posts: 671
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11-18-2005 08:22
From: Ellie Edo I'm not so sure you are right. She is promulgating warnings about a business. Nope. What she's doing is making accusations about a business (that she, incidentally has no financial interest in) , that she can't possibly prove.
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Nyx Divine
never say never!
Join date: 11 Dec 2004
Posts: 1,052
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11-18-2005 08:55
From: Clinton Oddfellow Just to clarify to those without a sense of humour, Tren is joking. Although this is a question for Nick to answer in detail, I can assure you in brief that none of the investor money goes to evil organizations, such as child porn/sex slavery rings, drug runners, terrorist groups, gun-smugglers, or
the republican party. Hey now
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Tiger Crossing
The Prim Maker
Join date: 18 Aug 2003
Posts: 1,560
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11-18-2005 09:01
EDIT: The following post is all kinds of wrong (I need more sleep) and should be ignored. I started with incorrect data, and made my own mistakes to boot. From: someone *skips the rest of the thread after reading two pages and brings up Excel*
EDIT: (I should have stopped there.... Please pretend I did and skip the rest.  ) From: someone If L$250,000 was deposited each day, at 0.15 daily compound interest, and no one withdrew...
Then at the end of 2 months, 16 million L$ will have been collected. That equates to US$64,000 at current echange rate (1:250). To even be CAPABLE of honoring the terms should all investors choose to then cash out, the organization would need to have made a PROFIT off the invested money totaling a sum of US$2,173,500. That's US Dollars, not Linden Dollars (which of course would be half a billion).
If some percentage of participants withdraw their money over the course of that two months, the total sum will be less.
If it instead took twice as long, 4 months, to accrue the 16 million at a stedy rate with no withdrawls, the total necessary RL profit needed to cover all investors would be 4 million US dollars.
I personally don't know how to make 2 million US$ out of US$64,000 in two months.
Nor do I know how to make 4 million US$ out of the same 64 grand in four months.
If I did, I wouldn't play Second Life... I'd pay someone to play it for me.
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Tiger Crossing
The Prim Maker
Join date: 18 Aug 2003
Posts: 1,560
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11-18-2005 09:08
EDIT: The following post is all kinds of wrong (I need more sleep) and should be ignored. From: someone Quick clarification:
The preceeding numbers are not a reflection on any real activity. Real activity will be far more complex, with varying levels of investments each day as well as a continuous flow of withdrawls. Only with complete access to the inputs and outputs to an actual system could an exact calculation be made. But regardless of absoulte accuracy, the ravages of compound interest should be made clear in the preceeding examples.
And even if the actual numbers are an order of magnitude less, hundress of thousands of dollars will need to be made off just a couple thousand to make interest rates this high work ove the long term.
Ponzi thought he really COULD make the money he promised, but the bulk of his investors only got a third of their money back, and that was WITH the government's intervention without which many would have lost everything.
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~ Tiger Crossing ~ (Nonsanity)
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Schwanson Schlegel
SL's Tokin' Villain
Join date: 15 Nov 2003
Posts: 2,721
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11-18-2005 09:11
I think your math may be broken Tiger. I am too busy atm to figure where you went wrong, but I believe there is an error.
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blaze Spinnaker
1/2 Serious
Join date: 12 Aug 2004
Posts: 5,898
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11-18-2005 09:13
Yeah, Ginko is paying about 70-80% annual ROI.
THat's still very improbable.
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Bob Bravo
Registered User
Join date: 10 Jun 2004
Posts: 210
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11-18-2005 09:24
Improbable is not the word Blaze, unsustainable is more suited.
Even if Tiger's numbers are out an order of magnitude the future of this enterprise is shaky indeed.
Thank goodness I did not invest!
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Bob Bravo
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Tiger Crossing
The Prim Maker
Join date: 18 Aug 2003
Posts: 1,560
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11-18-2005 09:25
EDIT: The following post is all kinds of wrong (I need more sleep) and should be ignored. From: someone People always underestimate the POWER of compound interest.
Let's skip the compound and look at a single day...
If L$16,000,000 were given to me today, with the promise that I would pay it back tomorrow with 15% interest, I would need to give back L$18,400,000 the next day.
That means I need to make US$9,600 in the next 24 hours, using the US$64,000 at my disposal.
I WISH I could make US$9,600 today off of 64 grand.
Then the next day, after I paid you all your money, you decided to give it all back to me, including the interest you made, for another day... You'd expect to get back L$21,160,000.
I would need to make US$11,040 in the NEXT 24 hours to live up to my promise.
And it jsut gets worse every day.
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~ Tiger Crossing ~ (Nonsanity)
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