Welcome to the Second Life Forums Archive

These forums are CLOSED. Please visit the new forums HERE

we need to do something..

Jopsy Pendragon
Perpetual Outsider
Join date: 15 Jan 2004
Posts: 1,906
03-20-2006 19:18
From: ReserveBank Division
I am retracting my earlier statement about "Black Monday"
and changing it to: "Great L$ Crash of March06"


The Linden is a currency not a company stock, though it may be tradable like one.

Perhaps you should be yelling "Recession!" or "Depression!"

Seriously... comparing this to a "Market Crash" is just boneheaded. Stock's devaluing by 100% over night is a "Crash". Comparing a 12% slump in one tradable commodity to the *entire* market dropping 12% like it did in 1929 is dumb.

It's like comparing a car on a freeway that suddenly has 25% less air in each tire to a car that suddenly had a wheel fall off.

Personally, I don't care what the exchange rate is, so long as people can continue doing business in SL by pushing more volume and/or successfully raising their revenue to compensate for the exchange rate. So what if it eventually hits 500:1 if it's still actively traded? Yes there will be fall-out and changes in SecondLife, but it's not a 'crash'.


--
Wait for it... DOOM! Oh hold on.. not yet.. it's coming... now? DOOM! No no.. not yet. Are we there yet? Just a little further... DOOM! No no.. still not there yet. ZZzz.... Hey wake up... it's upon us! What is? DOOM! DOOM! Huh. Really? Where?
Fade Languish
I just build stuff...
Join date: 20 Oct 2005
Posts: 1,760
03-20-2006 19:21
From: Shaun Altman
I know I wouldn't cancel premium. I'm a land owner and enjoy my land. Not to mention the fact that I must own land on behalf of Cyberland. Maybe I'm the only one who would stay premium, but I think that your doom and gloom ramblings are highly overrated. Or, have you queried every other premium member besides me? :)


I wouldn't cancel premium if the stipend went. I don't factor it in to my thinking. If anything would get me to cancel premium, it'd be if performance issues and bugs made building not fun. Till then I'll always want to own something somewhere.
ReserveBank Division
Senior Member
Join date: 16 Jan 2006
Posts: 1,408
03-20-2006 20:39
From: Jopsy Pendragon


Personally, I don't care what the exchange rate is, so long as people can continue doing business in SL by pushing more volume and/or successfully raising their revenue to compensate for the exchange rate. So what if it eventually hits 500:1 if it's still actively traded? Yes there will be fall-out and changes in SecondLife, but it's not a 'crash'.




Dear Jopsy:

You might not care what the exchange rate is of the L$, but the
rest of SLers actually have assets in SL and do care about the
exchange rate. The rest of normal society feels that a falling
exchange rate devalues their property (ie: Land/Widgets/Services).
Making investments worthless 2/seconds after you buy it.

So you go right ahead feeling that the exchange rate means nothing
to you, while the rest of us debate the macro and micro economics
behind the L$'s decline.

I believe I hear a bell ringing.... Your mother is calling you for school.

Sincerely,
The SL Business Community
_____________________
mcgeeb Gupte
Jolie Femme @}-,-'-,---
Join date: 17 Sep 2005
Posts: 1,152
03-20-2006 20:54
From: Shaun Altman
Raise or lower your prices to reflect current exchange rates as the market moves. Problem solved. If you sold an item for L$25 based on the false assumption that L$250 was worth a dollar, the price should be adjusted to L$28 or so.



To change the price on everything would take days on end. Plus the fact that customers would be turned off by it when they came back to see that the item that they wanted went up in price.
mcgeeb Gupte
Jolie Femme @}-,-'-,---
Join date: 17 Sep 2005
Posts: 1,152
03-20-2006 21:15
From: ReserveBank Division
How about the people still waiting at L$250? Or L$260? Or L$270?

You keep on waiting and watching your US$ sink into the abyss


RBD, what is your plan on your dealings with your linden dollars?
ReserveBank Division
Senior Member
Join date: 16 Jan 2006
Posts: 1,408
03-20-2006 21:48
From: mcgeeb Gupte
RBD, what is your plan on your dealings with your linden dollars?


That information is marked: Classified

You'll just have to experience my grand plan....
_____________________
Fade Languish
I just build stuff...
Join date: 20 Oct 2005
Posts: 1,760
03-20-2006 23:42
From: ReserveBank Division
That information is marked: Classified

You'll just have to experience my grand plan....


Nah, I'll just wait for it to come out on DVD.
Siggy Romulus
DILLIGAF
Join date: 22 Sep 2003
Posts: 5,711
03-20-2006 23:46
From: Fade Languish
Nah, I'll just wait for it to come out on DVD.


I was gonna wait for the TV Original movie, but Comedy Central has already shown what woeful shit they make
_____________________
The Second Life forums are living proof as to why it's illegal for people to have sex with farm animals.

From: Jesse Linden
I, for one, am highly un-helped by this thread
kerunix Flan
Registered User
Join date: 3 Sep 2005
Posts: 393
03-21-2006 00:59
From: ReserveBank Division
Sincerely,
The SL Business Community


HAHA !! Hahaha !! mouahaha !! hahaha !!! oooh lol and roflol !!!! HIHI ! ROFLMAO LOL !!!!!
HAHAHAHAHA !!!111!!1!!!1111oneoneoneelevenone
Maczter Oddfellow
Yep.
Join date: 4 Sep 2005
Posts: 328
03-21-2006 01:28
This thread makes me chuckle.

"Don't try to catch the falling knife." :rolleyes:














...and, no...you don't need to explain to me what that means. I'm well aware. I just find it humorous in this context.
Jopsy Pendragon
Perpetual Outsider
Join date: 15 Jan 2004
Posts: 1,906
03-21-2006 02:03
From: ReserveBank Division
Dear Jopsy:

You might not care what the exchange rate is of the L$, but the
rest of SLers actually have assets in SL and do care about the
exchange rate. The rest of normal society feels that a falling
exchange rate devalues their property (ie: Land/Widgets/Services).
Making investments worthless 2/seconds after you buy it.

So you go right ahead feeling that the exchange rate means nothing
to you, while the rest of us debate the macro and micro economics
behind the L$'s decline.

I believe I hear a bell ringing.... Your mother is calling you for school.

Sincerely,
The SL Business Community



Dear Mr. Unappointed Spokesperson for the SL Business Community-

You seem to be mistaken.
That matronly school call is most definitely aimed at you.

Where's my red pen? "worth less" has value. "worthless" does not.
If I could attribute your gaff to a mere typo I would have let it slide, but
you really do sound like you meant "Worthless". And you are wrong.

Allow me to provide you with an illustrative example:

Case 1: Bob used to be able to sell 25oz of lemonade for 10cents. Now he can only get people to buy the same amount at 9cents. His product is worth 10% "less" now.

Case 2: Bob used to be able to sell his lemonade for 10cents, and now people won't take what he's giving away for free. (perhaps his papercups have Market Crash! slogans on them?) Speaking of worthless... have you been able to sell your alleged 'insider information' to anyone? No? Sounds pretty darned 'worthless' to me then.

If I thought it would help... I would recommend a remedial arithmetic class.

If the L$ value 'crashes' (meaning becomes worth US$0) you can be excused from class long enough to yell 'Told You So' a few times. Until then put a sock in it while the people protecting their assets in SL adapt their business practices to compensate for the increased volumes of L$'s sold at the current deflated value.

--
next?
Reitsuki Kojima
Witchhunter
Join date: 27 Jan 2004
Posts: 5,328
03-21-2006 02:12
From: ReserveBank Division
Sincerely,
The SL Business Community


Speaking as an SL Buisness owner, you don't represent me. I demand a clarification.
_____________________
I am myself indifferent honest; but yet I could accuse me of such things that it were better my mother had not borne me: I am very proud, revengeful, ambitious, with more offenses at my beck than I have thoughts to put them in, imagination to give them shape, or time to act them in. What should such fellows as I do crawling between earth and heaven? We are arrant knaves, all; believe none of us.
Jonas Pierterson
Dark Harlequin
Join date: 27 Dec 2005
Posts: 3,660
03-21-2006 05:03
I am also a business owner and actually laugh at your comments reserve..you don't represent me.
_____________________
Good freebies here and here

I must protest. I am not a merry man! - Warf, ST: TNG, episode: Qpid

You killed my father. Prepare to die. - Inigo Montoya, The Princess Bride

You killed My father. Your a-- is mine! - Hellboy
Loniki Loudon
Homes By Loniki
Join date: 5 Dec 2005
Posts: 176
03-21-2006 06:41
To blame the economy on stipents is comedy. Anyone who really watches the market will see its not being drive by someone posting 500L up for sale. Those people moving 100K to a million credits around didn't get that from saving stipends. I have seen the L drop into the 280s one week only to fall back into the 270s a week later. This kind of flux is nothing and really silly to make these kinds of threads over.

The all so observant economist wannabes failed to notice the Land Store opened last week and the current Linden Market is being driven by land sales. A lot of the current market reflects people converting Lindens to US for Island Purchases which is easy to see if you actually watch the market and see the large blocks of Linden being moved around. And yes, people want to buy now and not wait till the market goes down again. They are willing to pay an extra 20-30 US. If anything, this shows a very healthy market and is good for both LL and the people of SL.
ReserveBank Division
Senior Member
Join date: 16 Jan 2006
Posts: 1,408
03-21-2006 06:44
From: Jonas Pierterson
I am also a business owner and actually laugh at your comments reserve..you don't represent me.



You don't count anyways... Mr. "I Pay For My Stipends" ..

Now that is funny... Hahahaha
_____________________
ReserveBank Division
Senior Member
Join date: 16 Jan 2006
Posts: 1,408
03-21-2006 06:47
From: Loniki Loudon
To blame the economy on stipents is comedy. Anyone who really watches the market will see its not being drive by someone posting 500L up for sale. Those people moving 100K to a million credits around didn't get that from saving stipends. I have seen the L drop into the 280s one week only to fall back into the 270s a week later. This kind of flux is nothing and really silly to make these kinds of threads over.

The all so observant economist wannabes failed to notice the Land Store opened last week and the current Linden Market is being driven by land sales. A lot of the current market reflects people converting Lindens to US for Island Purchases which is easy to see if you actually watch the market and see the large blocks of Linden being moved around. And yes, people want to buy now and not wait till the market goes down again. They are willing to pay an extra 20-30 US. If anything, this shows a very healthy market and is good for both LL and the people of SL.



What country at you from again? You are correct, there aren't
L$500 being posted on the LindenX, its hundreds of thousands or
millions.. What you are missing is the fact that all that new money
is being spent in the economy and filtering up into the hands of
the business owners, who then turn around and put up LindenX
postings for L$1,000,000...

The fact still remains, the constant inflow of new Linden Dollars
is creating a huge imbalance in the Money Supply. And since the
value of the Linden Dollar is based on Supply/Demand, the Supply
Side Economics of the L$ is overwhelming the Demand Side.
The net result is a downward trend in value. Duh!!!
_____________________
George Flan
Registered User
Join date: 21 Sep 2005
Posts: 268
03-21-2006 06:50
From: ReserveBank Division
Dear Jopsy:

You might not care what the exchange rate is of the L$, but the
rest of SLers actually have assets in SL and do care about the
exchange rate. The rest of normal society feels that a falling
exchange rate devalues their property (ie: Land/Widgets/Services).
Making investments worthless 2/seconds after you buy it.

So you go right ahead feeling that the exchange rate means nothing
to you, while the rest of us debate the macro and micro economics
behind the L$'s decline.

I believe I hear a bell ringing.... Your mother is calling you for school.

Sincerely,
The SL Business Community


Come on RBD you only care about your selfish own world and you know it. Poor little man is not making enough.
George Flan
Registered User
Join date: 21 Sep 2005
Posts: 268
Hi Fade
03-21-2006 06:59
From: Fade Languish
Do you realise we have good content because of the exchange market? That many wonderful projects are funded by a business that pays the tier? That highly talented and skilled people are producing content because they can justify their time because they get a return on that investment?
So you think that someone who makes a beautiful sim, and funds it from a business operating in that sim, should pay $195 a month out of their own pocket to provide the rest of us with entertainment/a nice experience/whatever? You wouldn't see projects of the scale and beauty of Lost Gardens of Apollo. Clothes would be a whole lot shittier. Anims would be amateur etc etc.
'Game' money is only attractive for so long. Once your $L balance hits 6 figures, you have more than enough just to 'play'. Shopping for your avi only holds your interest so far... I've got everything I need, I'm set, I already bought out Acedia's.
And why is it so bad that people make money in SL? It's more than just 'land barons' out there making money. If someone is skilled at making anims, clothes, textures, building... well, in my opinion, what a wonderful creative way to make some/all of your living.
Viewing SL as a game is a very narrow way of looking at it. If that's all you see it as, then you are really missing it's true potential and attraction. As I've said before, there's games within it, it's a game for some, but it is not merely a game. If you want to 'play' it that way fine, but why begrudge those who see it as more?
SL is a platform, a creative community, it's lots of things...
Returning to the topic of the thread... I think a component of the $L current woes stems from that fact that SL is not particularly desirable right now. Another crap update, my avatar's been invisble for most of the week (so why would I buy something for my avi right now?), and I'm not the only one, a lot of people have been having this issue with this update.
Important fixes/features that have long been promised are now widely regarded as a joke, while we get trivialities like, and I can't get over this, the whole "editing appearance" thing (like, if I hadn't realised they were editing appearance cos their arms were stuck out, would it matter? What's it to me?). Building is not so much fun anymore, it seems buggier than ever before.
Many people have become quite jaded, to say the least. I'm tiering down, I was going to move, but instead, I'll wait and see if things get any better (like when I can see my avatar again). If SL is not attractive, then neither is the $L.


Very well put. This is the exact reason why the linden rate is the way it is. I can't believe how bad it has gotten since the last update. Rezzing is taking forever and stays grey for so long.......I have a small amount of lindens saved up, but like you I don't want to go out and buy right now until this is straighten up. RBD has no real clue what is going with 95% of residents. He is only interested in his own wallet.
Jesrad Seraph
Nonsense
Join date: 11 Dec 2004
Posts: 1,463
03-21-2006 07:06
From: ReserveBank Division
You don't count anyways... Mr. "I Pay For My Stipends"

You don't represent me at all either, but eh, I hardly count :)

(Welfare is when some people receive while other people pay, so the only welfare in SL is basic account stipends).
_____________________
Either Man can enjoy universal freedom, or Man cannot. If it is possible then everyone can act freely if they don't stop anyone else from doing same. If it is not possible, then conflict will arise anyway so punch those that try to stop you. In conclusion the only strategy that wins in all cases is that of doing what you want against all adversity, as long as you respect that right in others.
Loniki Loudon
Homes By Loniki
Join date: 5 Dec 2005
Posts: 176
03-21-2006 07:19
From: ReserveBank Division
What country at you from again? You are correct, there aren't
L$500 being posted on the LindenX, its hundreds of thousands or
millions.. What you are missing is the fact that all that new money
is being spent in the economy and filtering up into the hands of
the business owners, who then turn around and put up LindenX
postings for L$1,000,000...

The fact still remains, the constant inflow of new Linden Dollars
is creating a huge imbalance in the Money Supply. And since the
value of the Linden Dollar is based on Supply/Demand, the Supply
Side Economics of the L$ is overwhelming the Demand Side.
The net result is a downward trend in value. Duh!!!



Ok, even using your scenerio and its not being driven by land sales as I feel it currently is. So business is healthy and selling off 100k blocks of L which still equates to over $340 US at rates as high or higher then 290L per dollar. Your point? What business do you know of that wouldn't want to cash in on all those 500L stipends, I know of none... The only ones who may hurt are those who want to hold onto vast amounts of Linden in hopes of a better exchange rate. If you are in a panic, then sell, but its not our problem, its yours. If we felt we needed to raise a price or two to compensate, so be it. Its not like its not in our control how we play SL.

The last survey I saw showed the majority of business owners are making an income that isn't worried about a few pennies difference. You are not going to rally them or make them care that someone is going to lose more in this. Most play this game to have fun and perhaps cover their tier. Most have no empathy for land barons or those who want to play the virtual market. Save your breath, you aren't going to change the majority of public opinion. People are not going to give up their stipends for you or care that they can now get an extra 10L for their dollar when they buy.
Jonas Pierterson
Dark Harlequin
Join date: 27 Dec 2005
Posts: 3,660
03-21-2006 07:22
Do bear in mind, stipends put in maybe 4 million a week. Sinks (as of 3 months ago) take out 2 million a day. Theres a heavy flow OUT he <reserve> ignores.
_____________________
Good freebies here and here

I must protest. I am not a merry man! - Warf, ST: TNG, episode: Qpid

You killed my father. Prepare to die. - Inigo Montoya, The Princess Bride

You killed My father. Your a-- is mine! - Hellboy
Cheyenne Marquez
Registered User
Join date: 19 Sep 2005
Posts: 940
03-21-2006 07:29
From: ReserveBank Division
What country at you from again? You are correct, there aren't
L$500 being posted on the LindenX, its hundreds of thousands or
millions.. What you are missing is the fact that all that new money
is being spent in the economy and filtering up into the hands of
the business owners, who then turn around and put up LindenX
postings for L$1,000,000...

The fact still remains, the constant inflow of new Linden Dollars
is creating a huge imbalance in the Money Supply. And since the
value of the Linden Dollar is based on Supply/Demand, the Supply
Side Economics of the L$ is overwhelming the Demand Side.
The net result is a downward trend in value. Duh!!!


I have given up trying to explain basic economic priniciples to the masses.

Some residents either have a very difficult time grasping Basic Econ 101 or chose to ignore the obvious.

It dumbfounds me that people are actually of the opinion that cutting stipends, or the release of cashflow of any type into the economy, will not have an effect on the LindeX. As far as I'm concerned, the question should not be whether stipends should be cut, but what percentage of that stipend cashflow should be eliminated.

Unlike yourself, I do not believe that cutting all stipends would be prudent. That's a drastic measure that IMHO would be disastrous. The best practice would be to, over time, eliminate small percentages of the stipend cashflow, starting with the basic stipend and starting allowance, until a balance is achieved.

There are many positives for proceeding in this manner. One of which is the lack of a "shock factor." If LL were to eliminate all stipends it would shock SL to the core. Premium members expect, and deserve, to receive "something" for their monthly fee subscription. If LL were to eliminate all stipends, as you propose, what would be the difference between a basic membership and a premium membership?

A 512m2 piece of land?

Surely you jest?

Ninety-five percent of SL's residents would immediately switch to basic. This is just a given, and it could prove disastrous for LL's bottom line.

Either way, despite your extreme views, your patience in attempting to explain Basic Economic Principles to the masses, over and over again, is admirable.

Now repeat it 1,000 times more and maybe some of them will start getting it.

In the meantime, I won't be holding my breath :)
Fade Languish
I just build stuff...
Join date: 20 Oct 2005
Posts: 1,760
03-21-2006 07:37
From: Cheyenne Marquez
I have given up trying to explain basic economic priniciples to the masses.

Some residents either have a very difficult time grasping Basic Econ 101 or chose to ignore the obvious.


Not everyone who disagrees is ignorant of economics. It is too easy to say, 'they disagree, they don't know anything'.
Yes, it's simple supply/demand, but you have to look at both sides of the equation, and all variables.
Jonas Pierterson
Dark Harlequin
Join date: 27 Dec 2005
Posts: 3,660
03-21-2006 07:40
And if you 'downgrade' them without lowering the cost of premium monthly by the same percentage you'll still have the same amount drop down to basic. LL still loses.

Edit: Perhaps the stipend could go to 250 for a 'test group' that also get a n inscreased free tier to 1024..

If it worked they could do all new premiums like this. While the size of the first land would not change..that extra 512 tier would increase interest in land ownership, and encourage them to either buy linden dollars or earn them in world- either one helps the economy.
_____________________
Good freebies here and here

I must protest. I am not a merry man! - Warf, ST: TNG, episode: Qpid

You killed my father. Prepare to die. - Inigo Montoya, The Princess Bride

You killed My father. Your a-- is mine! - Hellboy
Loniki Loudon
Homes By Loniki
Join date: 5 Dec 2005
Posts: 176
03-21-2006 07:48
From: Cheyenne Marquez
I have given up trying to explain basic economic priniciples to the masses.

Some residents either have a very difficult time grasping Basic Econ 101 or chose to ignore the obvious.

It dumbfounds me that people are actually of the opinion that cutting stipends, or the release of cashflow of any type into the economy, will not have an effect on the LindeX. As far as I'm concerned, the question should not be whether stipends should be cut, but what percentage of that stipend cashflow should be eliminated.

Unlike yourself, I do not believe that cutting all stipends would be prudent. That's a drastic measure that IMHO would be disastrous. The best practice would be to, over time, eliminate small percentages of the stipend cashflow, starting with the basic stipend and starting allowance, until a balance is achieved.

There are many positives for proceeding in this manner. One of which is the lack of a "shock factor." If LL were to eliminate all stipends it would shock SL to the core. Premium members expect, and deserve, to receive "something" for their monthly fee subscription. If LL were to eliminate all stipends, as you propose, what would be the difference between a basic membership and a premium membership?

A 512m2 piece of land?

Surely you jest?

Ninety-five percent of SL's residents would immediately switch to basic. This is just a given, and it could prove disastrous for LL's bottom line.

Either way, despite your extreme views, your patience in attempting to explain Basic Economic Principles to the masses, over and over again, is admirable.

Now repeat it 1,000 times more and maybe some of them will start getting it.

In the meantime, I won't be holding my breath :)


Lol, you actually think the majority of us care, lol, thats really funny! Yeah keep repeating it, that will do a lot of good as I LMAO. I loved the econ 101 thing too, it had so much influence in my decision to play SL, lol.

You did get one thing right though, drop the stipend and out goes the premium membership, but that didn't take no college degree to figure out either.

LMAO, you guys are killing me! :)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9