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What are Ginko Bonds worth? - 2

Cristalle Karami
Lady of the House
Join date: 4 Dec 2006
Posts: 6,222
09-12-2007 17:25
From: Qie Niangao
Yeah, this is kind of the smoking gun. Original issue GPBs that were sold by Ginko for L$25 indeed traded at about L$25 before the split. But, on August 1st, Ginko Guy represented that subsequent offers of the bonds would be for L$100 (as if there could be any takers at that price), on August 6th split them 1:100, and then on August 9th converted the bank deposits at 1 GPB for each L$1 in deposits--as if that L$100 price had ever been established in the market.

It was simply theft: 75% of Ginko Financials' obligations to depositors just evaporated at that point. For every L$1 in deposits, they got something that was sold and traded for L$0.25. And then GPB's market price declined as the SL financial community recognized that Ginko Guy was just a simple liar and a crook.

It would only vanish if he were allowed to purchase the bonds back for pennies on the Linden. As long as they hold it, he has to pay interest or cancel the debt. For their sake, I hope that he does come up with a way to pay the debt within the next 2 years.
Dzonatas Sol
Visual Learner
Join date: 16 Oct 2006
Posts: 507
09-12-2007 17:28
From: Cristalle Karami
So where does that NOT equal market value, as applied here?


There are two factors that constitute face value: (a) an exchange rate and (b) a given time.

Refer to the question I asked you about awhile ago:

/327/d6/209550/3.html#post1672561

There was some "maturity date" being said when it doesn't actually exist at all. That is simply seen in the name GPB as "perpetual." The given time is infinite.

Perpetual means infinite.

If someone tells you the face value of a perpetual bond is L$1, that someone is actually telling you that in some infinite time it will be worth L$1. Anotherwords, it is a completely bogus statement because you'll never see the market value for a point at infinite time.

From: Colette Meiji
Not in the case of these Ginko Bonds.
[... comment by NP...]
QED


NP is right there because you'll have to wait inifinite time ("a whole lot of time";) until the market value reaches L$1 in order to get it to be worth a L$1 sell per bond. If you sell before then, the worth of the bond is less than L$1.

What wasn't said there is that you never have to sell the bonds in order for it to be worth L$1. In that case, market value never applies because there is no trade. For example, they could be cancelled within infinite time.
Cristalle Karami
Lady of the House
Join date: 4 Dec 2006
Posts: 6,222
09-12-2007 17:42
From: Dzonatas Sol
There are two factors that constitute face value: (a) an exchange rate and (b) a given time.

There was some "maturity date" being said when it doesn't actually exist at all. That is simply seen in the name GPB as "perpetual." The given time is infinite.

Perpetual means infinite.

If someone tells you the face value of a perpetual bond is L$1, that someone is actually telling you that in some infinite time it will be worth L$1. Anotherwords, it is a completely bogus statement because you'll never see the market value for a point at infinite time.
No crap, Dzonatas, as if we all haven't expounded on that point already. No one has said that there is a certain maturity date. You won a point that no one was arguing, feel better now??

The horse is pounded to glue already. We KNOW it's perpetual. But at the same time, *it doesn't matter*, because with THESE bonds, there is a value certain attached to them - and it is 1L/bond, whether they are called, cancelled, or held indefinitely, this is the amount that is going to be paid because Nick showed himself to be quite the shyster and isn't allowed to purchase them for anything less.

From: someone
NP is right there because you'll have to wait inifinite time ("a whole lot of time";) until the market value reaches L$1 in order to get it to be worth a L$1 sell per bond. If you sell before then, the worth of the bond is less than L$1.

What wasn't said there is that you never have to sell the bonds in order for it to be worth L$1. In that case, market value never applies because there is no trade. For example, they could be cancelled within infinite time.
And if/when they are cancelled, called, or whatever by Nick, they will be at a prescribed certain value of 1L/bond. Each of those bonds is worth 1L to *Nick*. That is the debt. Whether he pays it now or never, it doesn't change. What Joe Blow buys the bond for from a Ginko victim is immaterial to Nick. It matters to Joe Blow, if he wants to hold on to it or look for market arbitrage.

Stop trying to compare it to a RL perpetual bond.
Colette Meiji
Registered User
Join date: 25 Mar 2005
Posts: 15,556
09-12-2007 17:47
From: Dzonatas Sol
There are two factors that constitute face value: (a) an exchange rate and (b) a given tim

NP is right there because you'll have to wait inifinite time ("a whole lot of time";) until the market value reaches L$1 in order to get it to be worth a L$1 sell per bond. If you sell before then, the worth of the bond is less than L$1.

What wasn't said there is that you never have to sell the bonds in order for it to be worth L$1. In that case, market value never applies because there is no trade. For example, they could be cancelled within infinite time.


No, Nick Supposedly will buy them back at the 1$L rate Within 1 or 2 years.

From: Nicholas Portocarrero
From: Cristalle Karami

Okay, Nick - do you ever intend to pay back the principal in full? Yes or no. If so, when do you realistically think you can? Answer that straight - I know you probably won't...



Yes. Being allowed to buy the bonds at market would allow me to repay everyone faster and at whatever discount to face value people were willing to take to get put in front of the line (which, as sellers, they are still taking even without my participation in the market). Without this, I still intend to repurchase all bonds. I estimate it will take 1 to 2 years to get this done.



1L is the Ginko defined "Face Value" of the bond - You inability to accept their definition of face value nonwithstanding.

Me? If thats what they call face value, fine. Im able to accept the Number printed on the bond is not the market price without some eternal conflict. I dont see why you cant.

The whole 1$L is entirely the point. Becuase Ginko defines that as the Face value of the bond and thus WSE wont let him buy them back on the market for less.

It actually fits together rather logically.
Colette Meiji
Registered User
Join date: 25 Mar 2005
Posts: 15,556
09-12-2007 17:51
Bit of Irony here -

Since the Market price is a touch under a dime:

From: Nicholas Portocarrero
From: Wilhelm Neumann

This guy he posts the samet hing everyday and everyday we post the same responses and find more holes and everyday it become more obsurd and less likely that anyone will ever see a dime.



A dime is pretty much guaranteed by Ginko Financial's HCL, HCB and BNT holdings.
Qie Niangao
Coin-operated
Join date: 24 May 2006
Posts: 7,138
09-12-2007 17:56
From: Cristalle Karami
It would only vanish if he were allowed to purchase the bonds back for pennies on the Linden. As long as they hold it, he has to pay interest or cancel the debt. For their sake, I hope that he does come up with a way to pay the debt within the next 2 years.
I think it's really more accurate to say that it's already vanished, the crime already committed. Simply put, the depositors suffered a 75% loss at the time of conversion--they got something valued in the market at only L$0.25 for each L$1 they had deposited. And the depositors are getting paid dividends at only 1/4 of the rate the original bondholders are, for the same amount invested. And if GPBs are retired at L$1, those original bondholders will get a substantial risk reward, whereas the depositors would only get back their original investment--which the current market price reveals is not nearly adequate return for the risk.
Colette Meiji
Registered User
Join date: 25 Mar 2005
Posts: 15,556
09-12-2007 17:57
Dzonatas,

Id really suggest you read all of Nicholas Portocarrero's Posts there are only 237 and nearly every single of one of them has something to do with Ginko.




You can get Ginko's explaination the issue thus rather quickly.


Now I think Ginko is a Ponzi scheme, a fraud, and a scam - but somehow I can grasp what they are Trying to say.
Dzonatas Sol
Visual Learner
Join date: 16 Oct 2006
Posts: 507
09-12-2007 18:12
From: Colette Meiji
No, Nick Supposedly will buy them back at the 1$L rate Within 1 or 2 years.


He can't buy them back unless they reach a L$1 market value. He has the option to cancel them, however.

From: someone
The whole 1$L is entirely the point. Becuase Ginko defines that as the Face value of the bond and thus WSE wont let him buy them back on the market for less.


If he cancels (or calls) them and pays L$1 each, that is an out of market transaction. That, out of market context, is a different face value than the face value of being able to buy them on the market. The actual numeric value may be the same, but it is a different face.

QED
Colette Meiji
Registered User
Join date: 25 Mar 2005
Posts: 15,556
09-12-2007 18:17
From: Dzonatas Sol
He can't buy them back unless they reach a L$1 market value. He has the option to cancel them, however.



If he cancels (or calls) them and pays L$1 each, that is an out of market transaction. That, out of market context, is a different face value than the face value of being able to buy them on the market. The actual numeric value may be the same, but it is a different face.

QED


The face value as defined by Ginko is 1L.

This is being enforced as much as it can be by WSE.

The market value isnt 1L.

There is no conflict in definitions.

You are hung up on this. I suggest ESL.
Dzonatas Sol
Visual Learner
Join date: 16 Oct 2006
Posts: 507
09-12-2007 18:33
From: Qie Niangao
And the depositors are getting paid dividends at only 1/4 of the rate the original bondholders are, for the same amount invested.


This was one of my first concerns. It shows that GPB will never in the short time hit L$1 on the market as it floats right now.

It appears by activity it is practical to hit 50 cents, but not often righ t now.

By that we could say in 50 months it is possible to fully liquidate the assets. That being 50 cents gained on each GPB from interest over 50 months plus a market trade at 50 cents to equal %100 value.

If you consider this option, then you will see it would be wise to adjust the "buy back ban" for every interest/dividend payment made. Anotherwords, if NP makes the next payment (3 cents for each bond), the L$1 limit falls to L$0.97 for him.

Fair?
Colette Meiji
Registered User
Join date: 25 Mar 2005
Posts: 15,556
09-12-2007 18:39
From: Dzonatas Sol

If you consider this option, then you will see it would be wise to adjust the "buy back ban" for every interest/dividend payment made. Anotherwords, if NP makes the next payment (3 cents for each bond), the L$1 limit falls to L$0.97 for him.

Fair?


NO LOL not fair.

the 3% is the interest he owes for Still holding peoples money. He decided the Interest rate.

The Interest is NOT part of him paying people back.

At ALL.

Dont forget Ginko has supposedly invested all this money people have given them.
Dzonatas Sol
Visual Learner
Join date: 16 Oct 2006
Posts: 507
09-12-2007 18:51
From: Colette Meiji
The face value as defined by Ginko is 1L.


As I have said, he screwed-up or lied about it.

From: someone
This is being enforced as much as it can be by WSE.


As a result of his screw-up or lie, WSE linked Ginko's "face value" to market value with a buy back ban set to below L$1.

Do we need to pound on this again?
Colette Meiji
Registered User
Join date: 25 Mar 2005
Posts: 15,556
09-12-2007 19:02
From: Dzonatas Sol
As I have said, he screwed-up or lied about it.



As a result of his screw-up or lie, WSE linked Ginko's "face value" to market value with a buy back ban set to below L$1.

Do we need to pound on this again?


:rolleyes:

The Bonds are IOUs - I OWE YOU - in other words Nick said he will someday, somehow pay them back. Thus the Face value of 1L ... DUH

Of course WSE required the buy back at 1$ its a dam IOU.

You are being too fancy with this perpetual bonds business - the reality is FAR simpler.
Dzonatas Sol
Visual Learner
Join date: 16 Oct 2006
Posts: 507
09-12-2007 19:19
The more I talk about this here the more it has convinced me that I should make my own damn perpetual bonds. People say it is simple to understand and well, the feedback is... convincing!

I gotta go dry my feet off...
Colette Meiji
Registered User
Join date: 25 Mar 2005
Posts: 15,556
09-12-2007 19:22
From: Dzonatas Sol
The more I talk about this here the more it has convinced me that I should make my own damn perpetual bonds. People say it is simple to understand and well, the feedback is... convincing!

I gotta go dry my feet off...



:rolleyes: Seriously -

ESL
Dzonatas Sol
Visual Learner
Join date: 16 Oct 2006
Posts: 507
09-12-2007 19:37
From: Colette Meiji
:rolleyes: Seriously -

ESL


That said from someone who says they don't have a crusade against me.

":rolleyes:ESL"... pfsh... I highly suggest you take a break from the"dam" internet. Look at how many posts you have made. I wonder how many of those is wasted time to belittle or crusade against others. Tsk tsk lol
Colette Meiji
Registered User
Join date: 25 Mar 2005
Posts: 15,556
09-12-2007 19:38
From: Dzonatas Sol
That said from someone who says they don't have a crusade against me.

":rolleyes:ESL"... pfsh... I highly suggest you take a break from the"dam" internet. Look at how many posts you have made. I wonder how many of those is wasted time to belittle or crusade against others. Tsk tsk lol


Im not crusading against you -

You are just wrong.

Thats all.
Qie Niangao
Coin-operated
Join date: 24 May 2006
Posts: 7,138
09-12-2007 19:57
From: Colette Meiji
You are being too fancy with this perpetual bonds business - the reality is FAR simpler.
Simpler, and a lot easier on Ginko than if GPBs were RL perpetual bonds. As it is, WSE is letting Ginko retire the debt at only L$1 per bond, any time it wants. RL perpetual bonds have ten years or longer before the first call date.

On the other hand, RL perpetual bonds don't trade at 10% of the call price so, really, this is all uncharted waters.

At this point, I think we're just looking for the most compelling role play in some bizarre ad lib combination of Gordon Gekko's Wall Street, Glengarry GlenRoss, and Brazil (the Terry Gilliam movie, not the South American country).
Colette Meiji
Registered User
Join date: 25 Mar 2005
Posts: 15,556
09-12-2007 20:00
From: Qie Niangao
Simpler, and a lot easier on Ginko than if GPBs were RL perpetual bonds. As it is, WSE is letting Ginko retire the debt at only L$1 per bond, any time it wants. RL perpetual bonds have ten years or longer before the first call date.

On the other hand, RL perpetual bonds don't trade at 10% of the call price so, really, this is all uncharted waters.

At this point, I think we're just looking for the most compelling role play in some bizarre ad lib combination of Gordon Gekko's Wall Street, Glengarry GlenRoss, and Brazil (the Terry Gilliam movie, not the South American country).


This is actually unchartered waters in a lot of ways.

RL ponzi operators go to jail.

Were getting to see what happens when they collapse and how the spin gets done after.
Dzonatas Sol
Visual Learner
Join date: 16 Oct 2006
Posts: 507
09-12-2007 20:12
From: Colette Meiji
Im not crusading against you -

You are just wrong.

Thats all.


That is why I am convinced perpetual bonds are a wonderful tool.

One can simply explain the terminology flat out and others say they are wrong. With that bias, I don't think even a legal dictionary would convince the naysayers. This whole ponzi envelope has people crusading againsts anybody that doesn't follow their peer pressure to yell ponzi... bashing... and anybody who doesn't yell ponzi is "wrong."

lol

NP has it made as this "ponzi"-sayer group actually protects him.
Dzonatas Sol
Visual Learner
Join date: 16 Oct 2006
Posts: 507
09-12-2007 20:16
From: Colette Meiji
RL ponzi operators go to jail.

Were getting to see what happens when they collapse and how the spin gets done after.


No he can't. Because you say it is his bond and his defintions of face value and whatever are are true, and he said it is not a ponzi, so "you are just wrong."
Colette Meiji
Registered User
Join date: 25 Mar 2005
Posts: 15,556
09-12-2007 20:20
From: Dzonatas Sol
No he can't. Because you say it is his bond and his defintions of face value and whatever are are true, and he said it is not a ponzi, so "you are just wrong."


ROFL

This is Merry Go Round logic.

Here - Ill break it down for you.

1) He doesnt get to decide wether Ginko Was a Ponzi or not

2) he does get to decide on the Face Value of his bonds. He printed the nearly worthless things.
Cristalle Karami
Lady of the House
Join date: 4 Dec 2006
Posts: 6,222
09-12-2007 20:23
From: Dzonatas Sol
He can't buy them back unless they reach a L$1 market value. He has the option to cancel them, however.



If he cancels (or calls) them and pays L$1 each, that is an out of market transaction. That, out of market context, is a different face value than the face value of being able to buy them on the market. The actual numeric value may be the same, but it is a different face.

QED

Weren't you the one talking about hidden functionality in the first thread? What makes you think WSE can't code it so that out of market transactions can take place? In the real world you can transfer a certificate or bond physically if you have it in hand. Although WSE is a clearinghouse of sorts, it would be beneficial to allow greater options for dealmaking if it permitted out of market transactions to occur and 1-1 trades to occur at set prices between specific parties, if it doesn't already. (Does it?)

If he waits for the market to reach 1L he never will cancel the debt because it will never get there short of something highly unusual occurring.
Dzonatas Sol
Visual Learner
Join date: 16 Oct 2006
Posts: 507
09-12-2007 20:28
From: Qie Niangao
Simpler, and a lot easier on Ginko than if GPBs were RL perpetual bonds. As it is, WSE is letting Ginko retire the debt at only L$1 per bond, any time it wants. RL perpetual bonds have ten years or longer before the first call date.


Only modern RL perpetual bonds have been more stricter on standard terms, like the greater than ten years call date. What GPB is now is no different from more historic perpetual bonds except one option. That option is the ability to convert perpetual bonds into regular bonds with maturity dates.

I wonder if WSE will support regular maturable bonds. WSE has said from the start it has had such likewise loan motivation for SL properties.
Dzonatas Sol
Visual Learner
Join date: 16 Oct 2006
Posts: 507
09-12-2007 20:42
From: Cristalle Karami
Weren't you the one talking about hidden functionality in the first thread?


I am worried more about the motive than the fact that some functionality exists. The bank run and the gambling ban is still suspicious on the influence here.

From: someone
What makes you think WSE can't code it so that out of market transactions can take place?


Already done.

From: someone
In the real world you can transfer a certificate or bond physically if you have it in hand. Although WSE is a clearinghouse of sorts, it would be beneficial to allow greater options for dealmaking if it permitted out of market transactions to occur and 1-1 trades to occur at set prices between specific parties, if it doesn't already. (Does it?)


Usually, official printed company paper gets a social security number embedded on the note. It is not easy to just hand over such printed paper. International exchanges will have to work differently.

From: someone
If he waits for the market to reach 1L he never will cancel the debt because it will never get there short of something highly unusual occurring.


Thanks for pounding that point again. There is, however, the chance for a partial liquidation to occur. That will no doubt have an upward force on the market but questionable if it reaches L$1 still.
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