Welcome to the Second Life Forums Archive

These forums are CLOSED. Please visit the new forums HERE

How low will it go?

Wilhelm Neumann
Runs with Crayons
Join date: 20 Apr 2006
Posts: 2,204
08-11-2007 08:57
From: Nina Stepford
well, i think your best course of action is to make a plan to buy a region. maybe create a group, get your partners together, have them donate tier, bid/win the sim, then only sell to group members. you would have to carry the upfront cost but you get it back with the land sales. and the tier would be covered by donations (im assuming the $195 isnt just automatically billed).
i dont know if there are any flaws in that plan, but its worth investigating IMO.


yeah i dont want to hold an entire sim while looking for people. I would have to make a deal beforehand and most people say they will do stuff and then dont do it so I dont want to be left holding the bag and I'm not interested in being a landlord at the moment so yeah the only way I would do it is if people were commited enough to go out and purchase in unison on a newly chopped up sim. I have seen many just sitting there for hours with no buyers so its possible. You simply go towards the new regions and often they are chopped up and it takes the search engine on the server awhile to list it.
_____________________
From: Raymond Figtree

I know the competition that will come along someday is learning from LL's mistakes. But do they have to make so many?
Raymond Figtree
Gone, avi, gone
Join date: 17 May 2006
Posts: 6,256
08-11-2007 09:52
From: Nina Stepford
yes but the new mainland is shit. land is so cheap already that people are buying up 4096 parcels, reselling some 512s and 1024s, and adcutting the rest. land on those sims will never be high value. its no coincidence that the oldest mainland sims are the best looking and free of adplots. the land price keeps the cutters out, and the lack of adplots keeps the value high.
That is a blanket statement that is not fully true. The terra of the new continent is very attractive. And some of the land is being sold in bigger chunks. But yes, selfish ad cutters are lowering values and spoiling views. They have distain for the community. That is why I despise them so.

Thanks for posting that link to the article about the drop of premium members, Nina.
_____________________
Read or listen to some Eckhart Tolle. You won't regret it.
Raymond Figtree
Gone, avi, gone
Join date: 17 May 2006
Posts: 6,256
08-11-2007 09:53
From: Kitty Barnett
It might have changed since I asked, but as far as I know LL won't assign an auction to a group, only to a single resident, so the price to be recovered would be at least $195 extra (more if that person already owns mainland, since their existing tier would be bumped up to the 1/2 sim tier category).
One person must buy the land initially, so other folks would have to chip in for tier with cash for the first month until he or she could deed the land to a group and get land tier donations. I think.
_____________________
Read or listen to some Eckhart Tolle. You won't regret it.
Raymond Figtree
Gone, avi, gone
Join date: 17 May 2006
Posts: 6,256
08-11-2007 09:57
From: Wilhelm Neumann
You simply go towards the new regions and often they are chopped up and it takes the search engine on the server awhile to list it.
The map does not update very quickly, but the land search listing page has been working and updating within seconds lately.
_____________________
Read or listen to some Eckhart Tolle. You won't regret it.
Raymond Figtree
Gone, avi, gone
Join date: 17 May 2006
Posts: 6,256
08-11-2007 10:05
From: Brazil Comet
It will have to go at 4,5 at least so nobody will bid on the new sims.

I am amazed though with Lindens that they crash the land market in such way. Land market was one aspect of their economy. Lindens were supposed to keep stability in the market and not to ruin it. They were responsible for prices climbing in the past because they were not releasing sims at all, then they invited people to invest to island business keeping mainland on their own. Now they make mainland compete with island business and they ruin those who trusted lindens to start a business there. And last they crash the market so bad with making all dealing with land to loose money or to say better, they deevaluate all land.

And even some say that deevaluation is not a problem because you can exchange your land at a better rate, it's not completely true since many many people made a side investment on land.Truth is that all people holding land see now their asset value worth less.

Combine that with gambling ban and financial crash due to ginko and the last thing somebody could think is to have lindens crahing also the land market. It is not logical but it happens.

To do such a move just shows to me that this is their only option left to make an upturn in SL. A big shake out in economy hoping that things will change .

Funny thing is to see gods trying to crash their market, and land dealers trying to stabilize it.

Just some thoughts i have
I don't get it either, but Ginko bonds are looking like a better investment today than the mainland.
_____________________
Read or listen to some Eckhart Tolle. You won't regret it.
Brazil Comet
Registered User
Join date: 13 Nov 2006
Posts: 122
08-11-2007 10:53
From: Raymond Figtree
I don't get it either, but Ginko bonds are looking like a better investment today than the mainland.


that's what i am afraid of. Having bonds of a bancrupt bank being safer investment than mainland land investment. That means that mainland land investment has already gone bancrupt.

I hope it's not like that. lol
Sling Trebuchet
Deleted User
Join date: 20 Jan 2007
Posts: 4,548
08-11-2007 13:23
From: Raymond Figtree
One person must buy the land initially, so other folks would have to chip in for tier with cash for the first month until he or she could deed the land to a group and get land tier donations. I think.


Looking at sims that have been won at auction and payment completed, they end up being set for sale at 0L to the named buyer for the actual transfer of ownership.
If the normal land purchase routines are used, as would seem sensible, then the buyer should be able to Buy for Group.
The group would need to have all the tier donated in advance.

Worth a try.
Raymond Figtree
Gone, avi, gone
Join date: 17 May 2006
Posts: 6,256
08-11-2007 13:24
From: Sling Trebuchet
Looking at sims that have been won at auction and payment completed, they end up being set for sale at 0L to the named buyer for the actual transfer of ownership.
If the normal land purchase routines are used, as would seem sensible, then the buyer should be able to Buy for Group.
The group would need to have all the tier donated in advance.

Worth a try.
sounds like that could work. Anyone ever do that who can confirm it?
_____________________
Read or listen to some Eckhart Tolle. You won't regret it.
Svar Beckersted
Registered User
Join date: 14 Apr 2006
Posts: 783
08-11-2007 14:47
I'm not in the real estate business but it has to be the biggest segment of the economy now that gambling is banned. I can't understand why LL seems to be killing the largest remaining investment left in SL when the entire economy seems to be retracting. Most of the successful companies listed in the 3 stock exchanges seem to be in real estate as well as most of the SL banks that popped up in the last 4 months. At the rate LL is killing the real estate ventures we could have all kinds of businesses failing not just the now famous Ginko fiasco.
Raymond Figtree
Gone, avi, gone
Join date: 17 May 2006
Posts: 6,256
08-11-2007 15:36
From: Svar Beckersted
I'm not in the real estate business but it has to be the biggest segment of the economy now that gambling is banned. I can't understand why LL seems to be killing the largest remaining investment left in SL when the entire economy seems to be retracting. Most of the successful companies listed in the 3 stock exchanges seem to be in real estate as well as most of the SL banks that popped up in the last 4 months. At the rate LL is killing the real estate ventures we could have all kinds of businesses failing not just the now famous Ginko fiasco.
Why does LL want SL to fail? Is that easier than fixing the Ruth bug?
_____________________
Read or listen to some Eckhart Tolle. You won't regret it.
Alan Bamboo
summer
Join date: 8 Oct 2006
Posts: 161
Bawk Bawk Bawk
08-11-2007 15:36
I got out of the land business a few months ago

I lost interest in SL during the summer, but now that summer is winding down (for most of us :().........let see how the population is come Autumn-Winter :)
Raymond Figtree
Gone, avi, gone
Join date: 17 May 2006
Posts: 6,256
08-11-2007 15:43
From: Alan Bamboo
Bawk Bawk Bawk
The sky may not be falling, but land prices sure are. L$6.9 base on a list that has not updated in six hours.
_____________________
Read or listen to some Eckhart Tolle. You won't regret it.
Salvador Nakamura
http://www.sl-index.com
Join date: 16 Jan 2007
Posts: 557
08-11-2007 15:54
From: Svar Beckersted
I'm not in the real estate business but it has to be the biggest segment of the economy now that gambling is banned. I can't understand why LL seems to be killing the largest remaining investment left in SL when the entire economy seems to be retracting. Most of the successful companies listed in the 3 stock exchanges seem to be in real estate as well as most of the SL banks that popped up in the last 4 months. At the rate LL is killing the real estate ventures we could have all kinds of businesses failing not just the now famous Ginko fiasco.


perhaps yes in statistics.. but how is real-estate business helping the economy ?
..its not.. in fact its holding the economy down at this moment.
in other words, why should LL care about "investors" who do not bring anything to the economy, but higher prices ?
Nina Stepford
was lied to by LL
Join date: 26 Mar 2007
Posts: 3,373
08-11-2007 16:11
wtf do you have any idea how much tier i pay?
Salvador Nakamura
http://www.sl-index.com
Join date: 16 Jan 2007
Posts: 557
08-11-2007 16:15
no i dont.. but i also dont know how much tier, premium and spending money is not spend because of too high pricings for virtual land
Nina Stepford
was lied to by LL
Join date: 26 Mar 2007
Posts: 3,373
08-11-2007 16:19
i dont follow your logic.
land is expensive when demand is greater than supply.
i do not manufacture land, LL does.
when LL do manufacture land the price drops.
so how am i responsible for land being tot expensive for cheapskates?
Ribald Spittka
Registered User
Join date: 23 Jan 2007
Posts: 2
08-11-2007 16:20
From: Raymond Figtree
sounds like that could work. Anyone ever do that who can confirm it?


Confirmed
Raymond Figtree
Gone, avi, gone
Join date: 17 May 2006
Posts: 6,256
08-11-2007 16:21
From: Salvador Nakamura
perhaps yes in statistics.. but how is real-estate business helping the economy ?
..its not.. in fact its holding the economy down at this moment.
in other words, why should LL care about "investors" who do not bring anything to the economy, but higher prices ?
Um, Linden Lab makes their money from premium memberships (the only reason to go premium is to buy real estate), island sales, mainland auctions, classified ads directing people to stores on people's real estate and tier fees on, you guessed it, real estate.

Without real estate, there would be no Second Life.

/me uses as much restraint as possible to keep from typing one additional comment about your post.
_____________________
Read or listen to some Eckhart Tolle. You won't regret it.
Qie Niangao
Coin-operated
Join date: 24 May 2006
Posts: 7,138
08-11-2007 16:35
There are sorta two different "economic impacts": LL's balance sheet, and the in-world, L$-denominated economy. Tier only directly affects the former. But the distinction is kinda academic anyway, because really, we all have an interest in the health of both. And collapse of land values might well have a not entirely positive ripple effect on the in-world economy.

On balance, I do think it would be better for SL if land prices were much, much lower. But once they got as high as they were--and were permitted to stay for months, long after the loss of the First Land incentive for Premium membership--now, after that, an awful lot of good people could get hurt badly if land prices undergo a sustained, significant correction.

And, as Raymond rightly mentions, it's just up to the Lindens to stop or slow the land-manufacturing process for a while to restore prices to status quo ante. But they haven't. So, that sure suggests a new target price. (Or, who knows? Maybe the Linden who christens the new sims is going on holiday so they gotta stock-up in advance.)
Raymond Figtree
Gone, avi, gone
Join date: 17 May 2006
Posts: 6,256
08-11-2007 16:44
From: Qie Niangao
There are sorta two different "economic impacts": LL's balance sheet, and the in-world, L$-denominated economy. Tier only directly affects the former. But the distinction is kinda academic anyway, because really, we all have an interest in the health of both. And collapse of land values might well have a not entirely positive ripple effect on the in-world economy.

On balance, I do think it would be better for SL if land prices were much, much lower. But once they got as high as they were--and were permitted to stay for months, long after the loss of the First Land incentive for Premium membership--now, after that, an awful lot of good people could get hurt badly if land prices undergo a sustained, significant correction.

And, as Raymond rightly mentions, it's just up to the Lindens to stop or slow the land-manufacturing process for a while to restore prices to status quo ante. But they haven't. So, that sure suggests a new target price. (Or, who knows? Maybe the Linden who christens the new sims is going on holiday so they gotta stock-up in advance.)
I think it's only temporary. So does A.C., the real estate bellweather. But I'm not going to buy 12 sims tomorrow to back it up.
_____________________
Read or listen to some Eckhart Tolle. You won't regret it.
Salvador Nakamura
http://www.sl-index.com
Join date: 16 Jan 2007
Posts: 557
08-12-2007 04:10
From: Nina Stepford
i dont follow your logic.
land is expensive when demand is greater than supply.
i do not manufacture land, LL does.
when LL do manufacture land the price drops.
so how am i responsible for land being tot expensive for cheapskates?


true .."land is expensive when demand is greater than supply" , so how come prices have been stable for months, with no siginificant premium growth, and so many new sims ?
also true, your not responsible by yourself, yes linden can change it, and it seems they are,

btw .....lol ...cheapskates ....(you sound like a spoiled high-school bitch) ?

From: someone
Um, Linden Lab makes their money from premium memberships (the only reason to go premium is to buy real estate), island sales, mainland auctions, classified ads directing people to stores on people's real estate and tier fees on, you guessed it, real estate.

Without real estate, there would be no Second Life.



lol ...you are joking right ? , you cant be serious if you say we need real-estate-investors to keep SL running ? , you lost me here !?


BTW: i have nothing against SL RE-investors ? (when there is an oppertunity go for it), but i certainly Also dont care if they have too turn in part of their winnings because of a land-price adjustment by the lindens.
Qie Niangao
Coin-operated
Join date: 24 May 2006
Posts: 7,138
08-12-2007 05:30
From: Salvador Nakamura
you cant be serious if you say we need real-estate-investors to keep SL running ?
Not sure if this is to suggest SL would still be viable without private land ownership of any kind (LL just owns everything, and squatter's rights at best to whatever parcel a random TP takes you). That would be interesting but somewhat limiting, I think, and certainly much different.

Or perhaps it means real estate "investors" as in the folks who buy whole sims for sale/lease/rental of parcels to others. While one could imagine LL doing that, the closest they came was First Land; since that's gone, now it kinda takes somebody with pockets at least one sim deep just to get the stuff available to end users. Otherwise the rest of us would have no land (back to the first interpretation).

Every market has ups and downs, and everybody has to accept they're at the mercy of any market they're in. But, really, if land prices actually slide down to where they'll be "good for SL" and stay there a while, it could be very harsh for some perfectly decent folks who may have stretched a bit to buy near the peak.
Object Pascale
moshi moshi
Join date: 27 Jan 2007
Posts: 648
08-12-2007 05:55
From: Salvador Nakamura
true .."land is expensive when demand is greater than supply" , so how come prices have been stable for months, with no siginificant premium growth, and so many new sims ?
That's where the logic that she misses kicks in. Land dealers satisfy a significant proportion of the supply/demand cycle by trading amongst themselves. If there are enough of them, they can keep the base value rising even when there's little consumer interest in land. LL dumping tons of sims on the market changes everything though, particularly if population numbers remain static or drop.
_____________________
"Life is a game, play it." -- Mother Teresa.
Alan Bamboo
summer
Join date: 8 Oct 2006
Posts: 161
08-12-2007 06:07
From: Object Pascale
That's where the logic that she misses kicks in. Land dealers satisfy a significant proportion of the supply/demand cycle by trading amongst themselves. If there are enough of them, they can keep the base value rising even when there's little consumer interest in land. LL dumping tons of sims on the market changes everything though, particularly if population numbers remain static or drop.



How long can they keep trading amongst themselves??? Is there any end-users left at all???
Object Pascale
moshi moshi
Join date: 27 Jan 2007
Posts: 648
08-12-2007 07:08
I think Raymond said in one of these threads that it will go on for as long as new land dealers enter the game...and there are apparently lots of them turning up at this time.
_____________________
"Life is a game, play it." -- Mother Teresa.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10