What are Ginko Bonds worth?
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Kyrah Abattoir
cruelty delight
Join date: 4 Jun 2004
Posts: 2,786
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08-29-2007 04:23
something I thought about was the big scam that happened in Eve online and that the developers of the game declared totally legit (some guy abused of the trust of several large corps by making them deposit credits on his account similar as you would do with a bank and in the end he ran with all the deposits).
Now what would happen (it'z just an hypothesis) if LL declared that frauds in SL are part of the game, (and thus totally legit) ?
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Colette Meiji
Registered User
Join date: 25 Mar 2005
Posts: 15,556
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08-29-2007 04:25
From: John Horner This comes full circle to the core of the issue relating to financial services within Second Life
In first life the analogy above is a reasonably accurate description of how markets work. Individual governments have limited tools to control and regulate markets, BUT they do have two collective tools that normally function fairly well, that is a discount or minimum lending rate for credit, and a regulatory framework.
Within Second Life Linden Labs can only undertake those functions and to date they have refused to do so, unless it directly effects their own commercial interests.
Thus in theory a new enterprise could apply for a listing on Second Life’s virtual stock exchange via an IPO, and regardless of what is contained within the prospectus, refuse to honour it post initial listing. This has happened, avatars have run off with the IPO monies raised from prospective investors, and there is no recourse that I have seen to date.
Also various Uncle Tom Cobbles and all can start a virtual bank, offer sky-high rates of interest on deposited Linden dollars, and when the new deposits dry up, can default on the deposited capital, again with no effective recourse.
In first life these actions can lead to consequences, aka Lord Black (still pending on appeal) Enron, WorldCom, and the like.
But in Second Life to date (and to my own knowledge) there is very little if zero recourse.
How then can any financial market work, except to potentially enrich the few at the expense of the many?
Personally I have no material investment in any virtual financial market and neither have I lost any money (except some personal time spent thinking and researching it, when I could have been doing other more profitable things)
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As a footnote to the above post there is one partial exception, and that is the Dreamland Continents run by Anshe Chung (and Master Quantro). There, they do appear to have some rules of conduct, which could include confiscation of land and property in a default A legitimate case could be made for LL to ban ALL Second Life "Financial Ventures" On the grounds they are portentially skirting US Tax Law and Investment Regulatory Practices.
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Colette Meiji
Registered User
Join date: 25 Mar 2005
Posts: 15,556
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08-29-2007 04:31
From: Kyrah Abattoir something I thought about was the big scam that happened in Eve online and that the developers of the game declared totally legit (some guy abused of the trust of several large corps by making them deposit credits on his account similar as you would do with a bank and in the end he ran with all the deposits).
Now what would happen (it'z just an hypothesis) if LL declared that frauds in SL are part of the game, (and thus totally legit) ? During that big Scam in Eve there was some serious speculation that part of the money ended up in a couple of the Devs pockets. From what I heard it was very shady. It was after I played EVE, but scamming people definitely was considered part of the game. It was common for Characters to join Corporations (EVE's groups/guilds etc) and make off with starships and assets. The Corporation could at that point put a price on that Character's head and Bounty hunters would track them down and kill them.
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Qie Niangao
Coin-operated
Join date: 24 May 2006
Posts: 7,138
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08-29-2007 06:35
From: Colette Meiji ... It was after I played EVE, but scamming people definitely was considered part of the game. ... And I guess that might be fun. But not very productive. Seems to me that someday, somebody's legal counsel will have the courage to declare their VR world to be something other than a game, and the in-world assets--IP and financial--to be subject to law and regulation, in-world and/or RL. Whichever virtual world that takes that step will instantly relegate all others to irrelevance (or, at best, "toys"  . I think it's reasonable for LL to be reluctant to do that with SL for all sorts of reasons (not the least of which is the assumption of liability for technology with fairly unknown security), but if somebody else does it first, SL could be empty in a month.
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Cristalle Karami
Lady of the House
Join date: 4 Dec 2006
Posts: 6,222
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08-29-2007 07:27
LL/Philip has basically stated that he prefers that the economy be structured so that people live and die on their reputation. This kind of fraud, however, is so much bigger than "this dude didn't deliver my shoes." I understand caveat emptor, but this has greater potential for worse consequences - theoretically, laundering drug money or raising cash for terrorist activity. If people are going to launder the cash, make them learn Blender or Photoshop and pay tens of thousands for advertising first! 
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Watermelon Tokyo
Square
Join date: 20 Nov 2006
Posts: 93
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08-29-2007 09:29
From: John Horner In first life these actions can lead to consequences, aka Lord Black (still pending on appeal) Enron, WorldCom, and the like.
But in Second Life to date (and to my own knowledge) there is very little if zero recourse.
How then can any financial market work, except to potentially enrich the few at the expense of the many?
From: Cristalle Karami LL/Philip has basically stated that he prefers that the economy be structured so that people live and die on their reputation. ... and thus, identify verification is born! Time to round up the posse and look for Mr. Ginko?
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John Horner
Registered User
Join date: 27 Jun 2006
Posts: 626
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08-30-2007 03:17
From: Watermelon Tokyo ... and thus, identify verification is born! Time to round up the posse and look for Mr. Ginko? That is another difficult issue. My own research within SL over a period of around 2 years tells me most people are not comfortable with full open and unfettered disclosure of their RL ID. In fact many people prefer their RL ID to remain private even to their SL friends. One poster summed things up very well when she stated her RL ID and her SL ID were entirely separate and the twain would never meet. To a certain extent I would go along with that, for example another regular poster here told me that the core issue could be summed up as the Pizza issue. Have an argument with an online person Monday and then have numerous Pizzas delivered (unasked for) for the rest of the week/month/year, I am sure we all get the idea. But Facebook, various countless blogs and other social networking sites do seem to work, perhaps that is a different structure/environment.
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Cristalle Karami
Lady of the House
Join date: 4 Dec 2006
Posts: 6,222
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08-30-2007 07:38
From: John Horner That is another difficult issue.
My own research within SL over a period of around 2 years tells me most people are not comfortable with full open and unfettered disclosure of their RL ID. In fact many people prefer their RL ID to remain private even to their SL friends. One poster summed things up very well when she stated her RL ID and her SL ID were entirely separate and the twain would never meet.
To a certain extent I would go along with that, for example another regular poster here told me that the core issue could be summed up as the Pizza issue. Have an argument with an online person Monday and then have numerous Pizzas delivered (unasked for) for the rest of the week/month/year, I am sure we all get the idea.
But Facebook, various countless blogs and other social networking sites do seem to work, perhaps that is a different structure/environment. Facebook/myspace is a different entity in that people willingly divulge way too much information there. It's scary how many people, especially teens, put out info about where they live, their families, their friends, and with pictures. But in terms of finances in SL - there must be some measure of accountability if you are going to invest other people's money. For me, yes, SL is SL and what goes on here stays here - but not when you are talking about managing a fund. I understand Nicholas wanting to maintain his personal privacy but it's gone beyond that now - it's just part of the price you pay for being a fund manager. People want to know what is being done with their money, and that the institution is trustworthy. It just comes with the territory.
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Colette Meiji
Registered User
Join date: 25 Mar 2005
Posts: 15,556
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08-30-2007 07:44
From: Cristalle Karami Facebook/myspace is a different entity in that people willingly divulge way too much information there. It's scary how many people, especially teens, put out info about where they live, their families, their friends, and with pictures.
But in terms of finances in SL - there must be some measure of accountability if you are going to invest other people's money. For me, yes, SL is SL and what goes on here stays here - but not when you are talking about managing a fund. I understand Nicholas wanting to maintain his personal privacy but it's gone beyond that now - it's just part of the price you pay for being a fund manager. People want to know what is being done with their money, and that the institution is trustworthy. It just comes with the territory. Are the funds really important enough to be a reason to include all this Identity posting garbage. All the Ponzis, and other quasi legal investment shenangians in SL arent really worth saving, in my opinion.
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Cristalle Karami
Lady of the House
Join date: 4 Dec 2006
Posts: 6,222
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08-30-2007 07:58
From: Colette Meiji Are the funds really important enough to be a reason to include all this Identity posting garbage.
All the Ponzis, and other quasi legal investment shenangians in SL arent really worth saving, in my opinion. I don't think Nicholas intended for it to be a ponzi, but to function as an investment fund with heavy returns from gambling, both rl and sl. Now that both have taken a hit, there is no way he can pull the money out without losing his shirt. I don't think they are worth saving, but the reason Ginko is in the trouble it is is because Nicholas wouldn't reveal the destinations for the cash, as they would compromise his rl identity. Supposedly.
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Colette Meiji
Registered User
Join date: 25 Mar 2005
Posts: 15,556
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08-30-2007 08:07
From: Cristalle Karami I don't think Nicholas intended for it to be a ponzi, but to function as an investment fund with heavy returns from gambling, both rl and sl. Now that both have taken a hit, there is no way he can pull the money out without losing his shirt.
I don't think they are worth saving, but the reason Ginko is in the trouble it is is because Nicholas wouldn't reveal the destinations for the cash, as they would compromise his rl identity. Supposedly. Yet he also gave out his RL name and city eventually, Supposedly. Didnt bother telling investors where the money went still. 
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Dzonatas Sol
Visual Learner
Join date: 16 Oct 2006
Posts: 507
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08-30-2007 08:09
The gambling bit is more like a secondary option that spiked the higher interest returns, which also provided competition.
I think it was S.L. Bank that was based on gambling, but is it still even in business?
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Cristalle Karami
Lady of the House
Join date: 4 Dec 2006
Posts: 6,222
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08-30-2007 08:18
From: Colette Meiji Yet he also gave out his RL name and city eventually, Supposedly. Didnt bother telling investors where the money went still.  When I left Ginko, that was the reason he cited for not doing it. But I imagine it was the WSE forcing him to pony up the "real name." Now, he withholds because "the investments are still subject to attack." WTFE. The bonds are still toilet paper and I'll be surprised to see if he even makes the dividend payment.
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Colette Meiji
Registered User
Join date: 25 Mar 2005
Posts: 15,556
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08-30-2007 08:30
From: Cristalle Karami When I left Ginko, that was the reason he cited for not doing it. But I imagine it was the WSE forcing him to pony up the "real name." Now, he withholds because "the investments are still subject to attack."
WTFE.
The bonds are still toilet paper and I'll be surprised to see if he even makes the dividend payment. How can the investments be subject to attack? And why couldnt he provide disclosure without being general enough to prevent that? If its selling ads on Pron sites - he doesnt need to say which ones. LOL. Just list the invested $, the change in value, and the returns. ------ Im going to go back to what Desmond said early on in this mess Why would someone who has a goldmine of an investment need to Borrow money off people at 60+ % interest. ------ If its a solid investment - he could have gotten the money FAR cheaper.
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Colette Meiji
Registered User
Join date: 25 Mar 2005
Posts: 15,556
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08-30-2007 08:32
From: Cristalle Karami W The bonds are still toilet paper and I'll be surprised to see if he even makes the dividend payment. I agree - Im pretty sure he was hoping to buy the debt down at pennies on the dollar to Frankenstien his fund back to life. (he still might be but slowly and quietly through alts)
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Brodsky Zapedzki
Registered User
Join date: 30 Mar 2007
Posts: 337
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08-30-2007 15:37
From: Kyrah Abattoir Now what would happen (it'z just an hypothesis) if LL declared that frauds in SL are part of the game, (and thus totally legit) ? Well, maybe I'm missing something. But I thought that's essentially what the blog announcement said.
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Colette Meiji
Registered User
Join date: 25 Mar 2005
Posts: 15,556
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08-30-2007 15:39
From: Brodsky Zapedzki Well, maybe I'm missing something. But I thought that's essentially what the blog announcement said. Nah - they didnt really say that. Since you agree to do nothing illegal when you agree to the TOS. What they did say is they wont bother checking into whether people are commiting fraud in any of these banks and investmnet schemes.
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Carl Metropolitan
Registered User
Join date: 7 Jul 2005
Posts: 1,031
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08-30-2007 16:19
From: Rebecca Proudhon When I first heard about SL, the idea of Lindens being convertible to real money, sounded exciting. In the back of my mind, however I knew that it was ultimately illegal. Now I wonder how I managed to repress this obvious reality? Under what law is the exchange of L$ for US$ illegal? That's a rhetorical question. There is no such law. Alternative currencies are quite legal (under US law, which applies to the US-based Second Life & Linden Lab). From: Rebecca Proudhon Recently, Linden carelessly induced a run on the bank. Not covering the loss of Lindens is irresponsible and sets a horrible example. Are they cultivating money scams for their own profit? LL did not "induce a run on the bank". 1) The "inducement" you are problably refering to was LL's ban on gambling. That ban was required by US law. 2) The "run" was people realizing that they had been scammed and trying to get some money out. 3) The "bank" was not a bank; it was a ponzi scheme, and would have eventually crashed no matter what Linden Lab did or did not do. Why would you expect LL to make good on Ginko's fraud? Would you expect a RL government to reimburse the victims of a similar scam (they don't)? As for a horrible example--bailing out Ginko's depositors would have only encouraged more ponzi schemes in SL. As people would be incentivised to put money into other "High Yield Investments" like Ginko, secure in the knowledge that LL would cover their investments. By NOT bailing out Ginko, LL is sending the message that you invest in similar scams at your own risk. Had they bailed out Ginko, they would indeed be "cultivating" more scams. How does LL make profit off of Ginko (or any other ponzi scheme)? I can't see any way. From: Rebecca Proudhon IP theft would probably decrease tremendously, were the rabid real world profit motive removed and whatever is created would be as it should be an act of love, art and invention. Your "love, art, and invention" would put thousands of people who make some or all of their living off of Second Life out of business. Of course they don't matter, do they? They are not creating for the "right" reasons.
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Rebecca Proudhon
(TM)
Join date: 3 May 2006
Posts: 1,686
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08-30-2007 18:26
From: Carl Metropolitan Under what law is the exchange of L$ for US$ illegal? That's a rhetorical question. There is no such law. Alternative currencies are quite legal (under US law, which applies to the US-based Second Life & Linden Lab).
You aren't understanding. When "private currencies" are legal in some countries, they require something backing it up and is also taxed. LL says the Linden is a fiction and clearly it is not backed by anything. From: Carl Metropolitan LL did not "induce a run on the bank". 1) The "inducement" you are problably refering to was LL's ban on gambling. That ban was required by US law. . Yes they were so sensitive to a possible result of their sudden anti-gambling proclamation. That's called "causing a run on the bank." From: someone 2) The "run" was people realizing that they had been scammed and trying to get some money out.
We don't really know that, because had there not been a run it could conceivably grow and the "investments" could have paid off. Same thing is true of real world historical bank runs sparked by careless or purposeful remarks. From: someone 3) The "bank" was not a bank; it was a ponzi scheme, and would have eventually crashed no matter what Linden Lab did or did not do. Maybe the odds could be it would turn out to be a failed scheme, but in the event that SL kept growing and investments grow, then it could be possible that it could be a good thing in SL. It's really no different from any business risk. To call it a ponzi scheme, you would have to prove scheming intent, rather then good faith. From: someone Why would you expect LL to make good on Ginko's fraud? Would you expect a RL government to reimburse the victims of a similar scam (they don't)? As for a horrible example--bailing out Ginko's depositors would have only encouraged more ponzi schemes in SL. As people would be incentivised to put money into other "High Yield Investments" like Ginko, secure in the knowledge that LL would cover their investments. By NOT bailing out Ginko, LL is sending the message that you invest in similar scams at your own risk. Had they bailed out Ginko, they would indeed be "cultivating" more scams. How does LL make profit off of Ginko (or any other ponzi scheme)? I can't see any way. Your "love, art, and invention" would put thousands of people who make some or all of their living off of Second Life out of business. Of course they don't matter, do they? They are not creating for the "right" reasons. In the RL people who have caused runs on banks have been in trouble. Scream fire in a theater that has a smoldering butt in a trash cans panic the whole theater and they all burn to death climbing over each other.
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Uvas Umarov
Phone Weasel Advocate
Join date: 8 Feb 2007
Posts: 622
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08-30-2007 19:02
My opinion is that the ginko bonds are worthless.
I may change my mind if they should for some unbelievable reason, pay out the interest due...
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"On the other hand, if you are convinced that I spent all the money on a new sports car, then getting even 2.5% instead of 0% back would be quite a deal, wouldn't it?" ---ginko bank owner on his financial dealings
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Wilhelm Neumann
Runs with Crayons
Join date: 20 Apr 2006
Posts: 2,204
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08-30-2007 19:24
From: Uvas Umarov My opinion is that the ginko bonds are worthless.
I may change my mind if they should for some unbelievable reason, pay out the interest due... i thought it was something like 10 years or so until the interest is due. Will SL still exist at that time? lol I mean yes its a neat thingy but it will evolve and this here platform as it is now may not even exist
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From: Raymond Figtree I know the competition that will come along someday is learning from LL's mistakes. But do they have to make so many?
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Rebecca Proudhon
(TM)
Join date: 3 May 2006
Posts: 1,686
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08-30-2007 19:26
From: Uvas Umarov My opinion is that the ginko bonds are worthless. I may change my mind if they should for some unbelievable reason, pay out the interest due... Unless LL realizes their mistake and the role they played in it and reimburse people, they (the bonds) are worthless. Just print some $L's and pay it back as an error and then prohibit exchanging Lindens for real currency. Stop the madness. Keep it all fictional in terms of real world finances. So what if Money scammers leave SL? There can be plenty of good businessed in SL involving creativity, design, creation and invention in exchange for Lindens.
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Rada Fizir
SLinux >/dev/null 2>&1 &
Join date: 8 Oct 2006
Posts: 14
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08-30-2007 23:28
These bonds are worth what people will pay for them. Currently that is L$0.17 per bond on WSE wselive.com Ginko has contracted to pay L$0.03 per bond each quarter, next payment due by 1 November 2007, not ten years from now.
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Colette Meiji
Registered User
Join date: 25 Mar 2005
Posts: 15,556
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08-30-2007 23:33
From: Rada Fizir These bonds are worth what people will pay for them. Currently that is L$0.17 per bond on WSE wselive.com Ginko has contracted to pay L$0.03 per bond each quarter, next payment due by 1 November 2007, not ten years from now. Sure. They are definite worth that.. Assuming he pays. Hes made sure to explain in good faith where the money will come from too. 
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Raynor Hammerer
Linguistic Rabbit
Join date: 21 Feb 2007
Posts: 404
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08-31-2007 03:02
Helpful hint:
Look at Wilhelm Neumann's signature. It's just a few posts up.
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