Second Life Residents logged nearly 400 million hours in 2008, growing 61% over 2007
|
Zee Linden
Senior Member
Join date: 17 Sep 2006
Posts: 153
|
01-15-2009 21:00
From: Bob Bunderfeld Would be nice if you would tell us WHY you won't argue to grandfather the people that had OS's before Jan. 5 and had to give them up?
It's one thing to say you care about your customers, it's another to actually DO something about it.
Words aren't worth anything. Show me what you mean, don't tell me what you mean. We did consider grandfathering as we did with the original regions with $195 maintenance fees. We found that while grandfathering works well in the short term that it creates some odd distortions in the land market over time. So we decided not to do it this time. Was it the right call? I'm not sure. Time will tell and we'll learn more this way.
|
Zee Linden
Senior Member
Join date: 17 Sep 2006
Posts: 153
|
01-15-2009 21:07
From: Talarus Luan Thanks for the offer, but I think Bob is the one more interested in a job.  I'm a tech geek. Software/game development/etc. I'm just your average technical customer, which means I am probably more of a pain in the tail than the users who are simply torn up over which kind of shoes they want to buy today.  I'm happy to throw out questions and critiques, and I realize that it tends to be rather pointed, but I want you to understand it comes from a general weariness and irritability in dealing with "the stinky end" of LL/SL for a year or so now, as a customer. It's not your fault, really; it's probably just a sore spot with a lot of folks right now. So few Lindens actually attempt to communicate with the customers at all, let alone without spin and ridiculous levels of hubris, that we tend to latch on to the ones who do try, with them becoming lightning rods for the massive amount of storm clouds brewing out here. In your case, it is even harder, because you're publishing and analyzing metrics, so your "lightning rod" reaches up high enough to poke the clouds directly. That said, I'd be delighted to help however I can. I think the main issue is that you need to be finding answers in addition to questions. Adding more questions without answers isn't going to help the situation a whole bunch. Thanks Talarus. That's good feedback about hubris - I hope that's not too widespread. I'll pass on your message to the team. Personally, I'm humbled by lot of things I see around Linden Lab. I'm humbled by the passion of the Residents and my coworkers for improving Second Life and making virtual worlds be all they can be. I'm humbled by the amount of work that went into Second Life by residents and Lindens in the 7 years before I got here. I'm humbled by the amount of downtime and crashes that are residents have put up with for a long time. I'm humbled by the recent progress we've made on stability & crash rate and then by the amount of work we need to do to make it as good as we all want it to be. Anyway, its a humbling experience for a lot of folks here. Its a big challenge & its a lot of fun - even when you have to get hit by lightning every once in a while. 
|
Zee Linden
Senior Member
Join date: 17 Sep 2006
Posts: 153
|
01-15-2009 21:13
From: Ciaran Laval Where are you getting this statistic from? The economic stats show it as 4,600 lost, if you add the 675 new islands to that, that suggests you're down 5,200 openspaces, whereas if you subtract 675 from 4,600 that brings you to around 3,900, which is the figure you're citing. There's a note about an issue with those particular statistics on that page. Sorry for the confusion. The numbers that I'm quoting come directly from our billing system & take into account numbers through about last Monday. Because they come from the billing system they only count regions that are active and being billed/paid. I don't think the stats page pulls them that way. Nice post here: http://your2ndplace.com/node/1415I've never been told I'm good at spin - so this is a new one for me. Thanks! ?
|
Zee Linden
Senior Member
Join date: 17 Sep 2006
Posts: 153
|
01-15-2009 21:24
From: Gordon Wendt 1) I generally don't really care about how many alts a person has or who's an alt of who but the first thing to do is to keep track of this information and automatically remove transactions solely to and from characters by one person
I think we do some of this but its not perfect. From: Gordon Wendt 2) For [insert diety you believe in here]'s sake track all transactions and translate this to a web system where a person can pull up their transaction history in full as well as statistics such as amount incoming/outgoing for a selected period, graphed date on spending/recieving, categorization of expenses and transactions recieved. If you don't know what I mean see something like http://mint.com. This would take bandwith and processing power galore but it would go far in making business and even casual record keeping and data gathering possible. Mint is great. We totally need this. From: someone 3) This is the controversial one, set a throttle on how many transactions between any two given residents and/or the rate and/or amounts of money exchanged are counted towards the statistics, currently only LL has the data to make this determination and like the proposals for doing this with traffic numbers and bots it will cause a lot of strife and controversy but blatant fraud aside (avatar A -> avatar B -> A -> B -> etc...) there are situations where many micro transactions occur in fairly quick succession, such as freeplay games which require 1L to play then immediately send it back to you, where there is no real transaction taking place. This threshold would have to be constantly updated and would probably have to be several different thresholds for rate (speed), amount, and avatars involved (not always 2). This would also have to apply not just to A -> B transactions but also if A were exceeding the rate limit for example the freeplay example where A could be sending 1L back and forth hundreds of times an hour in each direction if A owned a popular freeplay destination.
Definitely controversial but I see your point. This was definitely more of an issue before gambling was officially banned. From: someone 4. Create a system to do avatar to avatar transactions directly from the website and has been a feature request for quite some time. It would not only allow commerce at times and places where people are unable to access SL proper but properly implemented I believe it would also cause less load on the SL proper system and have less of a chance of dropped transactions during times of high load on SL proper (see #5). This would be big & would enable the L$ to be used for lots of good transactions outside of Second Life and on other sites as well. This is something I push on all the time here. From: someone 5. This is another please for the love of [insert deity here], use a three party handshake or similar system for transactions to ensure that even if all the above are not implemented or fail to work in times of high load and/or server instability then even if transactions fail there will be no risk of L$'s either being stuck in limbo until a ticket can be filed and they can be manually found or lost entirely during a transaction. This would also go along well with #6 towards making sure that the destination of the transaction always recieves the L$ that has been sent and can always recognize that they have recieved them.
I forget the technical name for this one but I know that there is a project like this one that folks have worked on. I'm not sure where it stands now. From: someone 6. Implement much needed LSL calls. I don't think I really need to clarify this one, there is a very short list of calls that have been requested forever to give scripts access to more much needed financial information.
6b. Give LSL calls to allow access to needed financial information for the owner or a given avatar who has given permission. Currently the way that a transaction is checked is through a workaround call to the person's transaction log, this is a hack that while semi effective causes excessive load for the script and for the web server as well as being potentially slow and/or inaccurate. My suggestion is to add calls to get selected information on a given transaction by transaction number if nothing else. Either through the permission system or preferably through a limited access key system, similar to what EVE Online does, allow access to certain information for an account such as the L$ balance, the USD balance, the transaction limits for that account, and any number of useful points of data. The way I envision doing this securely is possibly direct LSL calls for the owner of a script to be able to do this and for others a way of generating an unique key by selecting parameters of what that key would be able to give access to which could be then put into a script and call read access to the allowed information. These keys would of course be able to be managed through the web interface and possibly in world and would not only show who accessed what information and when using that key but would also be instantly revocable by the owner of the key.
Not an expert on these types of things, but what you say looks like it makes a lot of sense. Overall, we have no shortage of good ideas for things to work on. The problem right now is that we have too many things to work on and not enough resources to get everything done. Our development team continues to grow & we're making lots of progress, but prioritizing against an infinite list of potential improvements to Second Life is one of our biggest challenges right now. Its obvious you get that & I appreciate your suggestions.
|
Zee Linden
Senior Member
Join date: 17 Sep 2006
Posts: 153
|
01-15-2009 21:27
From: Bryon Ruxton LL as a company is just exposing numbers just as any other company would indeed.
At least, it clearly explains and validates the virtual real estate bubble that has taken place, as well as the reason why LL has done so well because of it in Q2, Q3 and Q4 of 2008
In a normal healthy market, the mass of land should have been 1,600 million sqm in Q4. The terrible decision to shift the openspace price offering in April 2008 without a comprehensive plan or any long term strategy seem to be the sole contributor for this bubble. I would rather call the contraction of approximately 10% a "correction" as a result.
The question forward for 2009 is whether the land market will continue to grow as well as in 2007, once corrected to a normal market level in Q1 of 2009.
I want to seriously caution LL for 2009 and ask that no further mainland auction supply be released unless all factors justifying it are met. That is: Land value going back above L$7/sqm, amount of overall land for sale down, and peak concurrent users increasing in a way that the market can absorb it.
In a ironic way it might serve LL to sit on this extra cash for a possible downturn or lack of revenue growth in 2009. It's just sad that it was gained in a such a disingenuous way on the back of part of the residents who are being thanked for here.
I guess we can consider this a success for having replicated a real life crisis in a virtual environment on a smaller scale and make us learn from it. Definitely a correction. Well said. I believe we have held the mainland supply quite constant for some time and we do watch that price per sqm before releasing it. We've tested different approaches at times, but I think we've figured out (by trial and error) that your suggest is very close to what we do now. I can see why you think it was disingenuous. As one of the people who helped to make the decision, I can tell you it wasn't done intentionally, but I know that sounds thin. I learned a lot and I know others on the team would say the same thing.
|
Zee Linden
Senior Member
Join date: 17 Sep 2006
Posts: 153
|
01-15-2009 21:35
From: Lyla Tunwarm You are a numbers man. Tell me how the asset server is going to handle unlimited content creation for the next 10 years and still operate. Tell me how if SL can't handle 70K reliably now how it will handle the growth every year for 10 years in order to maintain profitability. LL had 10 years to figure this out and hasn't. What gives you the optimism to think they can? The numbers do not add up. Great question. As I mentioned in an early comment, I was here when our peak concurrency was less than 10,000 (I think it was all bots back then too - KIDDING  ) Along the way from 10k to 80k we've hit a number of technical limits. Some of which we could foresee and some of which we couldn't. I think FJ mentioned 3 main systems that we need to make some improvements to for the next level of scaling: our network, our asset server & our database system. We have projects in each of these areas that will give us significant headroom. I also have reviewed the longer term designs for much broader scalability. In looking at our growth in peak concurrency - its been surprisingly linear. Its been relatively easy to predict where it will be in a few months, just by laying a piece of paper across our daily concurrency chart and continuing the trend. Because of that trend, I don't think we need to be ready for 10x the number of residents in the next few months. That will give us time to implement all near term improvements and longer term architectural required to scale. I'm even more optimistic with the new technical leaders we have on board. Its a pleasure to sit in the executive team meetings with them and to hear how they're thinking about improving the system and building their teams. At the end of the day, I think that's the main reason. We've been able to attract some great people including M & all the new leaders he's added to the team.
|
Zee Linden
Senior Member
Join date: 17 Sep 2006
Posts: 153
|
01-15-2009 21:42
From: Ann Otoole Decouple traffic from the search system relevance and see what happens.
Just as LL cannot do anything about content theft except wring hands as an act to look like LL cares, LL cannot tell who is a bot and who is not. Maybe a few bots running old bot apps that have to use the --channel parameter to get on. Those are in decline. In addition people just park avatars on parcels with anti away on when they go to bed. Traffic is a bogus metric because it is gamed. And then there are the services that send in the bots that walk around and jabber via gestures on timers. And the list goes on and on. The bot arms race as it were.
Just decouple traffic from search. The whole "bad bots" issue will evaporate. Sure there will still be some dorks that refuse to believe bots are a waste of resources. And eventually they will leave SL because nobody will go near their parcels.
You guys should look at what Daden Research is doing with bots. Actually let's call them NPC units. It won't be too long before it will take more than a few minutes to spot the NPC units.
And why do you guys act like you are working on something when people are upset and then drop it? The Rosedale promise to deal with content theft that should really not have been promised at all due to the obvious technical reasons rofl. The whole traffic futures thing was a farce. All those meetings. And nothing was done about the traffic fraud. Absolutely nothing. There was the big promise to deliver estate control of windlight environment settings and user shareable windlight settings. Poof. Not even on the radar to deliver. And most recently the premium thing. All those meetings, surveys and such. Yet we see nothing. No progress report. Zilch. So naturally we toss it off as another one of those fakes in LL's play book. The play action fakes need to be torn out of the play book lol. We see them coming right away. Right now you guys need to be focused on the texture reloading issue before the ISPs start filtering Second Life out at the hubs to get rid of the massive bandwidth transfer issue. And the offlining of "old stuff". What happens to "old stuff" in boxes that are vend prims? Will stuff be offlined and then not delivered with the transactions? Have you tested this? How could you have tested it? etc etc.
I hope 2009 is a banner year. January is not looking so good. Fair points. We often bite off more than we can chew. But we have come a long way. I'll tell you now so you're not surprised - 2009 won't grow as quickly as 2008. (January is looking pretty good on a number of metrics I've seen though - Q1 is always pretty strong). Hopefully we'll set ourselves up to grow faster and get more done as the year progresses. I think we're well positioned to continue to build momentum as our team keeps coming together. I'm a believer & thanks for your hope as well! 
|
Zee Linden
Senior Member
Join date: 17 Sep 2006
Posts: 153
|
01-15-2009 21:43
From: Sindy Tsure /me lets Zee off easy and just asks for a bear.  I need a bear that looks like a beagle. L$ 5000 to the best Beagle Bear.
|
Zee Linden
Senior Member
Join date: 17 Sep 2006
Posts: 153
|
New Map on SLurl.com
01-15-2009 21:45
From: Jean Swashbuckler Terrific improvement. While it took me some time to find Nautilus City on it, that was worthwhile. The green texture is soooo much better than the brown. Yeah isn't that cool? I think we "soft launched" that today. Interesting how that came together. I won't steal the thunder of that story in case its soon to be posted about. The rendering of the images look great don't they? http://slurl.com
|
Zee Linden
Senior Member
Join date: 17 Sep 2006
Posts: 153
|
01-15-2009 21:47
Signing off for the night. Thanks for your comments and questions. I'll be back online in the morning. And likely inworld as well. See you tomorrow.
|
Hern Worsley
Registered User
Join date: 11 Aug 2006
Posts: 122
|
01-15-2009 22:12
From: Zee Linden I'm wondering what kind of product you might switch to if it were available? What could meet your needs better? We already had a product that met our needs in the previous Open Space definition i have had one for going on 2 years now before and after you doubled prim levels and opened up the flood gates by making them oh so tempting.. Then suddenly over use was "unexpected" but anyway weve all been over this many many times and its become clear LL simply are not listening no matter how many times they claim they are. I still have my "homestead" and after putting months of work into building it id like to be able to justify keeping it please. Converting to Open Space is not an option this is a ridiculous product and even though its at the lowest end price wise i think it is considered a luxury item in hard economic terms as the resources you get for your money is so pitiful. So now im paying the slightly higher rate for my Homestead and actually i think this new price introduced in January is a fair one for me and for LL. Its this extra price jump looming in July i believe? or June that has me worried when this time comes around it will be a lot harder for me to justify keeping my Homestead as again in hard economic terms it makes no sense to me. I am ofcourse always looking to maximise prim count / costs this is how the majority of residents percieve value in SL. Currently the new Open Space SIM no longer works within this context and come the summer your Homestead product will be yet another that simply falls off the radar of all but the few that can afford such a "luxury". So what would make me comfortable and happy would be that the next price rise in tier levels on Homesteads does not come to pass. If you think you have seen SIMs being abandoned currently wait for then because i think youll see an even greater number of yet again dissapointed customers left with no choice but to leave the Homesteads and ofcourse the knock on effect to the landlords. This sort of trend in any economy is nothing but bad. Downsizing and or the upheavel caused for many residents will yet again put a dampener on real growth. Also about growth id like to add that wether or not your stats are accurate etc i do believe SL is growing but that this growth has and will be stunted by poor decisions. Now i use my Homestead as a Mainstore for my shop id like to add that at no point over the 2 years that i have had this SIM has my script usage been anything much over 0.05ms and visitors to my store have numbered maybe 10 at 1 time at the most. I did hold an occasional event sure but that was very rarely anyway i digress. Id like to help you help me by explaining to you how the price hike in July (or june) will affect my activities in SL. It wont be just be a hit to my profits making all my economic activity in SL that bit less if i chose to stay. If i feel i must leave then its like a step backwards possibly to 1/4 of a SIM thus damaging my overall momentum towards growth. Upsizing to a Full SIM i doubt would be an option but i will admit its a possiblity but again it will make my activities so much the harder to justify carrying on. Ofcourse moving yet again means my energies are pointed toward developing and building yet another Mainstore and not on new products and content or other economic activity id rather be involved in. So in short the next price jump is going to leave with no options that actually encourage me to grow and motivate me to keep putting in the time and effort to the platform although i am stubborn and motivated in general theres only so much we can all take before wondering when LL will actually make a REAL move to encourage and nurture the micro business that breath so much life into SL. Work with us not against us and we will all reap the rewards. I dont envy you Zee all alone dealing with us lot but we do it because we care and we want SL to succeed and we believe it will. ps. Plz stop the marketing spin its insulting.
|
Elanthius Flagstaff
Registered User
Join date: 30 Apr 2006
Posts: 1,534
|
01-15-2009 23:41
I think it's a little harsh of people to complain about spin. It's only natural for the employees to be proud of what they've achieved and want to brag about it. Besides I imagine you need a positive attitude to be able to put up with responding to comments on the forums. I have a couple of questions though: What happened with the LindeX over Christmas where it crashed to 200L$/$? Can you give more details on this "lower priced full region offering along with a premium full region for higher load situations." it seems very intriguing. Perhaps just an ETA on when details will be available if nothing else. See this: http://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=p9UvVVpXKcynkZrFANzphLw Do you think that the reduced LindeX volume and user to user transactions were largely because of the reduced value of land in Q4? Or does mainland trading constitute only a small part of the LindeX data? Perhaps it's impossible to tell. It's awesome that you publish this data but my thirst for information remains unquenched! Is there any hope of improving this page http://secondlife.com/whatis/economy_stats.php to contain finer grained information? For a start, all the historic data from past months would be interesting. I'd love to see more detail on the land for sale section and would especially like to see "Land that actually sold already". It would also be extremely interesting to see the results of resident surveys on economic matters. Did you make profit this month? Is your business a success? What category is your business in?
_____________________
Visit http://ninjaland.net for mainland and covenant rentals or visit our amazing land store at Steamboat (199, 56). Also, we pay L$0.15/sqm/week for tier donated to our group and we rent pure tier to your group for L$0.25/sqm/week. Free L$ for Everyone - http://ninjaland.net/tools/search-scumming/
|
Daniel Regenbogen
Registered User
Join date: 9 Nov 2006
Posts: 684
|
01-16-2009 00:18
From: Zee Linden The real world economy is also having an impact - the real world economy is very disturbing right now. Yes, and something like SL should be able to actually take advantage of that. What do people do in times of crisis? They turn to "cheap entertainment", and SL is exactly that (I don't mean it bad, lol, just compared to lets say a trip to Hawaii, recreating your very own Hawaiian beach in SL *is* cheap). In times of a crisis, people tend to move into fantasy worlds, to dream about things they can't really do anymore. What better place than SL for that? But people just *won't* turn to a company they don't trust. Especially in the light of the RL economy crisis I expected more people to start owning land, and I expected more people who already owned to land to expand. My partner and I planned to add another OS region in december for private fun, building projects and so on. Nothing outside of the "light usage" those regions were meant for. Of course, this all went down the drain. And in my case it isn't even because of not being able to afford the higher price, it simply is a question of trust and feeling not the slightest bit of respect for the customers from LL. About the amount of landmass loss: I think there isn't much more to compare than the number of regions running at any given time. Right now, without the fiasco, there would be some 2,500 more regions than at the end of october - but we are more in the range of 5,000 less regions. Sure, there were conversions, still it is a giant landmass loss. Before the fiasco, LL boasted about "look how many regions were added each and every month!", using exactly that number of total running regions. Now you have to live with us saying "look how many regions were lost!", using the same number. LL had a chance to be a big winner of the RL economic crisis. With the OS debacle, an amok running g-team, a CEO that promisses to talk to and with the customers regulary but never again shows up and generally showing the customers how little they are worth in the "big picture" LL didn't only miss this chance, it actually turned into another loser.
|
Dave Herbst
Registered User
Join date: 4 Sep 2004
Posts: 343
|
01-16-2009 01:33
Zee,
I'll tell you why our business is running at a loss.
LL co-opted it, so we diversified, then LL took it away from us and gave it to the land bot monopoly, so we diversified one more time, then LL co-opted us yet again. You give us no reason whatsover, to try again a fourth time.
Why LL turns a blind eye to the monopolism of landbots and misuse of traffic or camping bots is a mystery to me. My guess is, so Lindens can pull the wool over investor and resident eyes, for the purpose of false impression. This thread is tantamount to the assertion.
Since 2004, we have spent thousands of unpaid hours trading parcels and managing customer service issues with our neighboring residents. NEVER ONCE has our group been disciplined for a single TOS infraction and we have gone to great lengths to return mistakes, resolve land/group issues, report bugs and exploits. Yet LL sees fit, simply take our business and innovations for it's own profit, while undoing every community effort we implimented.
We warned LL more than three years ago about the threat of ad cutting and extortion and had automated systems to thwart it, yet it fell on deaf ears when LL co-opted us the first time around.
Zee.... diversification, re-invention and innovation are no match for LL's flaky and selfish policies.
Kicking that ball back into our court, is insulting at best.
Before long, our group will be abandoning two thousand plots to the governor. We can't even notify the neighbors of our intention to sell locally, because apparently LL has been banning that as "spam". There is no possible way we are willing to spend 100's of more wasted hours, setting them for sale, at any price. Meanwhile, the invites from groups, unsolicited IM spam from others, and notecards pile up, with no action whatsoever.
Double standards are a way of life at LL.
LL itself, is our greatest threat. EVERY DAY, we have to run our records against LL records to be sure LL has not wrongfully reclaimed our land. And when it happens, we have to fight tooth and nail to prove it's rightfully ours, dodging outrageous accusations of "ostentatious advertising", denial or whatever. Some incidents took WEEKS to resolve.
The business-in-a-box model has removed the profitability from respected creators and shifted it to scoundrels and IP thieves, so again, your figures are skewed. Robbing Peter to pay Paul might look good on paper, but the list of disenfranchised residents grows longer every day.
In my other business, I have created and sold radios since streaming audio was implimented, but sales are less than 30% of what they used to be when SL had less than 40,000 residents. Sales barely cover half my tier, when it used to pay the rent, bills, food and the occasional movie.
I've learned to take what LL says, with a grain of salt.
|
Weedy Herbst
Too many parameters
Join date: 5 Aug 2004
Posts: 2,255
|
01-16-2009 01:39
Zee,
I'll tell you why our business is running at a loss.
LL co-opted it, so we diversified, then LL took it away from us and gave it to the land bot monopoly, so we diversified one more time, then LL co-opted us yet again. You give us no reason whatsover, to try again a fourth time.
Why LL turns a blind eye to the monopolism of landbots and misuse of traffic or camping bots is a mystery to me. My guess is, so Lindens can pull the wool over investor and resident eyes, for the purpose of false impression. This thread is tantamount to the assertion.
Since 2004, we have spent thousands of unpaid hours trading parcels and managing customer service issues with our neighboring residents. NEVER ONCE has our group been disciplined for a single TOS infraction and we have gone to great lengths to return mistakes, resolve land/group issues, report bugs and exploits. Yet LL sees fit, simply take our business and innovations for it's own profit, while undoing every community effort we implimented.
We warned LL more than three years ago about the threat of ad cutting and extortion and had automated systems to thwart it, yet it fell on deaf ears when LL co-opted us the first time around.
Zee.... diversification, re-invention and innovation are no match for LL's flaky and selfish policies.
Kicking that ball back into our court, is insulting at best.
Before long, our group will be abandoning two thousand plots to the governor. We can't even notify the neighbors of our intention to sell locally, because apparently LL has been banning that as "spam". There is no possible way we are willing to spend 100's of more wasted hours, setting them for sale, at any price. Meanwhile, the invites from groups, unsolicited IM spam from others, and notecards pile up, with no action whatsoever.
Double standards are a way of life at LL.
LL itself, is our greatest threat. EVERY DAY, we have to run our records against LL records to be sure LL has not wrongfully reclaimed our land. And when it happens, we have to fight tooth and nail to prove it's rightfully ours, dodging outrageous accusations of "ostentatious advertising", denial or whatever. Some incidents took WEEKS to resolve.
The business-in-a-box model has removed the profitability from respected creators and shifted it to scoundrels and IP thieves, so again, your figures are skewed. Robbing Peter to pay Paul might look good on paper, but the list of disenfranchised residents grows longer every day.
In my other business, I have created and sold radios since streaming audio was implimented, but sales are less than 30% of what they used to be when SL had less than 40,000 residents. Sales barely cover half my tier, when it used to pay the rent, bills, food and the occasional movie.
I've learned to take what LL says, with a grain of salt.
|
Qie Niangao
Coin-operated
Join date: 24 May 2006
Posts: 7,138
|
01-16-2009 02:37
Interesting numbers, and glad to have them. Just a couple suggestions. From: Zee Linden I hear you on the second [Homestead product] price increase [by July]. We're going to watch it closely. There is a business opportunity for LL between now and July: Offer standalone Homesteads to Premium members--no other Estate ownership necessary--at the US$125/mo fee rate, and retain the US$95/mo rate for Estate owners. This will create more new private island Concierge customers while protecting the existing Estate customers, and will offer an ongoing path for customers to move into Estate ownership with a lower barrier to entry. Many of those new, non-Estate Homestead buyers will like the experience and move on to pay full sim Estate fees. And existing Estate owners will still have a US$30/mo pricing advantage with which to make margin on a product that, at US$125/mo, is nearly unmarketable by Estates. Continuing with the announced increase will be much less profitable for LL in 2009, and offers no longer-term advantages. I can't guess what LL's internal revenue projections currently assume about the July increase. Realistically, it can't be a pretty picture: most all conversions have already occurred now; in July, Estates will just pull the plug on Homesteads, not try to work conversions, so the lost revenue then could be substantially worse than what's been experienced so far. It's possible to turn all this into a win. I sure don't see why LL wouldn't do it, and there's no obvious reason not to decide and announce now. Second suggestion: If there were ever a time when spin just isn't necessary, it's when the world economy is depressed. The next few months would be a great time to start taking the write-offs and mark-downs that set a realistic base for future growth numbers. One place to do that, and without delay, is removing Traffic from Search rankings. There are good technical reasons why this step is eventually inevitable, but the concurrency numbers will dive at the time it's done. The current economic downturn gives every reason to do it now, when everyone's numbers look bad. Do it now, so future numbers will have some credibility.
|
Garmin Kawaguichi
Registered User
Join date: 21 Jan 2007
Posts: 13
|
Premium numbers
01-16-2009 04:00
Since it could be very improbable that bots impact on Premium accounts (and Premium accounts are deleted when the resident close the account), I have looked for Premium figures. Nothing. Could you please add a graph with Premium accounts in the same way than the others (2006 - 2007 - 200  ? Cordially Garmin
|
MenuBar Memorial
WaterMoon Artist
Join date: 20 Nov 2005
Posts: 214
|
Heya Zee
01-16-2009 05:23
I don't envy you your job Zee, I'm awful when it comes to numbers.
I'm one of the people hurt by the OS price raise, especially since I'm recently unemployed in RL. But there are people who fared much worse than me, so I'm just going to keep my little homestead and "beard the season" as it were.
I have noticed improvements, and have actually seen some results where LL has promised them. The new online map is SO NICE! Zooms so smoothly, and with such great detail!
I've recently done some extensive exploring on the mainland and noticed a great improvement in the scenery since ad farms have been reduced.
I've had over 20 years experience in advertising, so I can appreciate spin. If you show me 2 identical shiny new nickels, I'll give you 20 very good reasons why my shiny nickel is better than yours. I can see that you're not as versed in spin as I am, so I trust that you're doing your job to the best of your ability, and are not maliciously trying to deceive. Statistics are a tough sell to tough customers, and can be interpreted in many ways - SL is a good example of how tough true metrics can be to measure accurately when there are such immeasurable factors and unknowables. It's a great case study for those interested in that field.
I often find myself shaking my fist at the (virtual) sky and cussing Linden Labs when strange things happen to ruin my day, but we work with what we've got, right? I understand that improvements on such a vast scale as SL involve a lot of experimentation, trial and error, testing and fail, before implementation. In my life experience I've learned that practically everybody on earth thinks they can do my job better than me, so I try to avoid telling anybody how to do their job.
SL is easy to take for granted when things are going well, and easy to complain about when things are not so well. When economic downturns affect my business, I increase and diversify my advertising to get the word out - SL is a huge place, and with so many people scattered about with countless differing interests, you can't afford to rest on your laurels. Personally, I'm enjoying a slight increase in sales lately. Not a GREAT increase, but at least not a decrease.
We can only trust that the people who are employed by LL were hired because they are good at their job, and have no incentive to run the ship aground. Thanks for posting what you can.
|
Khamon Fate
fategardens.net
Join date: 21 Nov 2003
Posts: 4,177
|
01-16-2009 06:58
Concerning the new Homestead offering, has the lab yet considered running just two of them per processor? Is there any hope that the price increase will result in that effort to provide some better performance for us?
_____________________
Visit the Fate Gardens Website @ fategardens.net
|
Nber Medici
Registered User
Join date: 18 Feb 2004
Posts: 108
|
Impact of Real World Economy
01-16-2009 07:33
From: Zee Linden .... Finally you make a great point about how new land stimulates the economy. Land contraction is likely to have a negative impact on the economy. The real world economy is also having an impact - the real world economy is very disturbing right now. Zee, I rarely post here in these forums...but I DO read them. As the ORIGINAL purchaser of the Open Space product I would say that I always used them as they were intended to be used... then got gored with the price increase. I can tolerate the 95$ tier. I am NOT sure that the Real World economy will support the planned increase in July to $125. PLEASE think long and hard about that. I will be having to make decisions then about what I do with my Homesteads. My sims are part of the USS (currently moving to the Blake Sea next to Nautilus). [ /me ducks to keep from getting hit ] That does help me... but might not help in July. Linden Lab should think long and hard about going ahead with that price increase.
|
Katarina Malthus
Registered User
Join date: 30 Apr 2006
Posts: 9
|
01-16-2009 07:52
So now that you're officially rife with cash, how about making the user experience better by taking care of overburdened servers and hiring some staff to fix some of your outstanding bugs and get us a little more performance. We all love SL, but it's absurd that its average memory footprint when you correct the <2gb allocation space issue is almost 3x that of crysis, at a lower framerate.
Also, 64-bit viewer '09!
|
Katarina Malthus
Registered User
Join date: 30 Apr 2006
Posts: 9
|
01-16-2009 07:54
From: Khamon Fate Concerning the new Homestead offering, has the lab yet considered running just two of them per processor? Is there any hope that the price increase will result in that effort to provide some better performance for us? I don't think they should. People violated the contract issued for openspaces on a large scale. Simply because a percentage didn't doesn't mean you should reward those who did.
|
Eli Schlegal
Registered User
Join date: 20 Nov 2007
Posts: 2,387
|
01-16-2009 07:55
From: Zee Linden Hi Bob - I'm definitely not blaming you. I'm asking to learn more about your business - not to say that you "should have" launched new products. What kind of business do you have? You could go in world and bring up people search (wait for it to load) then pop in Bob's name and click search (wait wait wait). Then Bob's profile will come up but you will have to wait a while for it to load up... (go get a cup of coffee) when it eventually loads you can read about Bob's business there. All of these waits are are longer than they were before the last viewer update. Also... if you were standing next to Bob you could just right click his avatar and choose "profile" from the pie menu. Oh but you might have to do it 6 or 7 times before it actually works.
|
Khamon Fate
fategardens.net
Join date: 21 Nov 2003
Posts: 4,177
|
01-16-2009 08:09
From: Katarina Malthus From: Khamon Fate Concerning the new Homestead offering, has the lab yet considered running just two of them per processor? Is there any hope that the price increase will result in that effort to provide some better performance for us? I don't think they should. People violated the contract issued for openspaces on a large scale. Simply because a percentage didn't doesn't mean you should reward those who did. I'm referring to the new Homestead offering, not the newly revised Openspace product. The original Openspace "contract" has been voided by the lab and is no longer available for discussion in the context of future enhancement or enforcement.
_____________________
Visit the Fate Gardens Website @ fategardens.net
|
Katarina Malthus
Registered User
Join date: 30 Apr 2006
Posts: 9
|
01-16-2009 08:27
Had to lulz about this on second read:
"It’s possible that the decline in Q4 was driven by uncertainty in the land market created by the pricing and configuration changes or simply that the economy overheated slightly in September when we saw significant growth in volume."
Or perhaps... the massive global economic recession? Living under rock much?
|