It would be only mainland and only the 1000 or so sims I have 16s on and even then only within 96m of each of those parcels, but it'll be interesting nonetheless.
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Qie Niangao
Coin-operated
Join date: 24 May 2006
Posts: 7,138
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11-18-2008 03:45
It would be only mainland and only the 1000 or so sims I have 16s on and even then only within 96m of each of those parcels, but it'll be interesting nonetheless. |
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Dilbert Dilweg
Loading....
Join date: 27 Jun 2006
Posts: 500
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11-18-2008 03:47
the problem here lies in that as the OP discussed in this thread (i dunno or the other one whoknows... this is the third) she makes judgement calls on everyone, this includes single avies like myself or groups of avies at clubs etc. I have peopel at my club who will stay for a stint of 8 hours at times if we are havign a good party. Some of whom dont cht much in open chat and sometimes it gets quiet esp late at night. Some of those would be classed as bots according to all this becuase they are in the same place, havnt moved and dont talk I fully agree that some of the Ops methods of data collecting is reckless and inaccurate, and the way Private messages work these days with no flashing warning on new messages. IM's will get ignored a lot .. Or answered late . Depending on what the resident is doing at the time, like here posting in the forums, reading blogs, working in photoshop, or busy with some killer cyber sex going on in the back ground.. hahaha _____________________
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Elanthius Flagstaff
Registered User
Join date: 30 Apr 2006
Posts: 1,534
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11-18-2008 03:58
Oooo... that's maybe a problem. A lot of bots are clustered at weird altitudes, so to catch those, you'd pretty much have to send up a probe sensor. I'm not sure anymore what's in the prim on the 16sq.m. parcels... whether that prim could be the probe, or if its inventory contains a remote-scriptable seed prim, or... well, it's solvable, but not completely straightforward. Hmm, I guess you're right. The project is doomed to failure. Maybe I can do it with a bot instead. At least they can see much further. _____________________
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Phil Deakins
Prim Savers = low prims
Join date: 17 Jan 2007
Posts: 9,537
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11-18-2008 04:36
the problem here lies in that as the OP discussed in this thread (i dunno or the other one whoknows... this is the third) she makes judgement calls on everyone, this includes single avies like myself or groups of avies at clubs etc. I have peopel at my club who will stay for a stint of 8 hours at times if we are havign a good party. Some of whom dont cht much in open chat and sometimes it gets quiet esp late at night. Some of those would be classed as bots according to all this becuase they are in the same place, havnt moved and dont talk However, she does count mannequins as bots which, whilst they are usually bots, are not the sort of bots that people are generally against, because they usually serve a useful purpose for users. To be fair, though, she doesn't make any judgemental statements about bots, except that she gives the threads titles that can be read as being judgemental. There are too many grey areas in this topic to be confident of any collected data. The idea of defining the criteria for determining whether or not an av is a bot sounds good, but the definition wouldn't suit everyone's thinking. Camping is especially grey. Is a camper a normal person who is just making a bit of money while s/he sleeps, watches TV or goes out to lunch, in which case it's not a bot. Or is it one of mulptiple avs that a person has just for camping, in which case it is a bot. The idea that some activities mean that a normal av is behaving as a bot, and therefore should be counted as a bot, doesn't hold up in my view. Alts are also grey. Is an alt a bot just because a someone has logged it in for a purpose, but it stands around doing nothing much or most of the time? I say no, but some would say yes. This thread has certainly highlighted why it would be difficult for LL to automatically log bots out, as some people have suggested in the past To the person who wants to see a bot farm: Go to to the NW corner of the Seymour sim and fly up to 4080m. When you get there, you'll see a box with bots inside it, and a normal looking av standing on the top. That one isn't a bot but the others are. It's not a classic example because the bots are white clouds, but it is a traffic bot farm. _____________________
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Phil Deakins
Prim Savers = low prims
Join date: 17 Jan 2007
Posts: 9,537
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11-18-2008 04:43
Hmm, I guess you're right. The project is doomed to failure. Maybe I can do it with a bot instead. At least they can see much further. _____________________
Prim Savers - almost 1000 items of superbly crafted, top quality, very low prim furniture, and all at amazingly low prices.
http://slurl.com/secondlife/Seymour/213/120/251/ |
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Lear Cale
wordy bugger
Join date: 22 Aug 2007
Posts: 3,569
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11-18-2008 04:57
Then she should not call all campers bots. You're absolutely correct: she should have said 52% campers and bots, or perhaps more accurately, 52% inactive avatars. |
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Eclectic Wingtips
Registered User
Join date: 21 Dec 2007
Posts: 795
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11-18-2008 05:01
If I'm not mistaken, she said that she doesn't count club people because she can't tell one way or the other. . If that is the case than that would also create huge errors in the data. Clubs etc are one of the biggest drawers of crowds in SL. So mis counting them while counting the large colelction of bots above stores would of coursse make it appear that there are many more bots then there are becuase she has discounted the 20 or so avies dancing as a club as not relevant data. Like i said. This study isnt even close to accurate. As someone who has studied statistics if you put this data into an assignment of some discription you would be laughed at and reieve a nice big F. This kind of study needs to at least admit biases when it is being conducted in a manner where the colelctor of data needs to make a judgement call as to whether the data is relevant or not and whether it is in one categoryor another. As to whether 50% of the avies logged in are bots? Well who know to be honest. But for those who are tking this data as anythign close to accurate look again at the methods used to collect it. To be honest... the only thing it tells us is the OP thinks that 50%of the avies she saw and didnt discount because they were at a club (if that is what she did. last time i read one of these threads i am surre she said she comes back to clubs to check who is there) but either way, all it shows is 50% of the avies the OP saw and decided were bots were bots.... _____________________
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Lear Cale
wordy bugger
Join date: 22 Aug 2007
Posts: 3,569
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11-18-2008 05:07
I'm not a scientist and, unfortunately, neither are you. The second sweep would have been much more useful if it had used a different set of sims - like people have been saying - more raw data. You can't criticize her for something and then criticize her for eliminating the very problem you raised, from her first data point. Note that this data point simply replaces the first one, rather than adding to it. Also, you can't say that you did either of them at certain concurrency levels because the first one took 10 hours and there is no high or low concurrency that lasts for 10 hours.. Presumably the second one took the same amount of time. Not only that, but a snapshot of avs can't take 10 hours. What is the situation in the first sims several hours later, for instance? Or what was the situation in the later sims at the time you started? But you've presented your data as a snapshot. It doesn't matter whether it's a snapshot or the accumulation of a number of samples. What matters is the conditions during the sample: what's the range of concurrency numbers. |
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Phil Deakins
Prim Savers = low prims
Join date: 17 Jan 2007
Posts: 9,537
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11-18-2008 05:13
If that is the case than that would also create huge errors in the data. Clubs etc are one of the biggest drawers of crowds in SL. So mis counting them while counting the large colelction of bots above stores would of coursse make it appear that there are many more bots then there are becuase she has discounted the 20 or so avies dancing as a club as not relevant data. I agree with you about the data, as you know. In my last post but one, when directing someone to my bot farm, I considered writing a bit about the normal av that stands on top of the box. It stands there almost 24/7 and would certainly be counted as a bot, but it's me - my alt. It's logged in in the normal viewer and I keep an eye on the sim with it - even while I'm asleep at night. I also use it for doing things in the sim sometimes. There is nothing automated about it - it's just me as an alt, and it's not a bot, but it would be counted as one according to Anya's criteria. The 6 models in my store would also be counted as bots, but they are used by customers for a useful purpose, and are not bots in the sense that we usually mean, and yet they would be counted as bots. _____________________
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Lear Cale
wordy bugger
Join date: 22 Aug 2007
Posts: 3,569
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11-18-2008 05:22
Lol! Sure you are! Seriously, tho, what is wrong with my idea to do it statistically? (post 149) Why bother with criteria to decide which exact green dot is a bot and which is not? If a sim has a fairly static, elevated number of avatars over a period of hours, it either has bots or is incredibly popular. If the number of sims surveyed is large enough (easy to do with a bot), the inflation due to the (tiny) number of incredibly popular venues will be cancelled out by missing the sims that only have a small number of traffic bots/campers. . Because there are a number of very popular sims that have active participants 24/7. Your method would provide numbers, but we wouldn't know what the numbers mean: how many of these sims are busy with active residents, and how many are bot farms? How many are both? Also, how much of the online population is in nearly vacant sims versus populous ones? I couldn't guess, but based on looking at the map, it might be a sizeable minority, and more than should be ignored. It might be useful to do this to collect a list of sims to investigate. |
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Phil Deakins
Prim Savers = low prims
Join date: 17 Jan 2007
Posts: 9,537
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11-18-2008 05:27
Sorry Phil, but you're on thin ice here. This scan was in direct response to a point you made, that the most accurate time to do a scan is during highest concurrency. Maybe it was less informative than a more random scan, but instead it shone light on the concurrency issue. Phil, YOU can't say what she can or can't say unless you know what the facts are for the second scan. She didn't say, so we don't know. Since we don't know, that adds to uncertainty. Hopefully she'll answer. It doesn't matter whether it's a snapshot or the accumulation of a number of samples. What matters is the conditions during the sample: what's the range of concurrency numbers. ![]() _____________________
Prim Savers - almost 1000 items of superbly crafted, top quality, very low prim furniture, and all at amazingly low prices.
http://slurl.com/secondlife/Seymour/213/120/251/ |
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Lear Cale
wordy bugger
Join date: 22 Aug 2007
Posts: 3,569
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11-18-2008 05:32
I fully agree that some of the Ops methods of data collecting is reckless and inaccurate, and the way Private messages work these days with no flashing warning on new messages. IM's will get ignored a lot .. Or answered late . Depending on what the resident is doing at the time, like here posting in the forums, reading blogs, working in photoshop, or busy with some killer cyber sex going on in the back ground.. hahaha Have you read her method? If not, you're being reckless. Her method has nothing to do with IMs. The main valid criticisms are that (a) it's just one data point, and can't be assumed to reflect the whole grid, or even all of mainland, and (b) it lumps campers and bots into the same category. Which is fine, but it's important to be clear and not say "52% bots". |
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Eli Schlegal
Registered User
Join date: 20 Nov 2007
Posts: 2,387
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11-18-2008 05:33
Personally I find this data intersting. If the OP is going to sweep another set of sims next weekend I would absolutely like to see it posted here so we can compare.
To anyone that questions the ways she chose the sims or the criteria she used to identify a bot... you are either not reading the posts or you don't retain what you read. Also... it seemed plain to me that when it was difficult to determine bot vs real person she favored real person. |
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Lear Cale
wordy bugger
Join date: 22 Aug 2007
Posts: 3,569
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11-18-2008 05:37
If that is the case than that would also create huge errors in the data. Clubs etc are one of the biggest drawers of crowds in SL. So mis counting them while counting the large colelction of bots above stores would of coursse make it appear that there are many more bots then there are becuase she has discounted the 20 or so avies dancing as a club as not relevant data. Like i said. This study isnt even close to accurate. As someone who has studied statistics if you put this data into an assignment of some discription you would be laughed at and reieve a nice big F. This kind of study needs to at least admit biases when it is being conducted in a manner where the colelctor of data needs to make a judgement call as to whether the data is relevant or not and whether it is in one categoryor another. As to whether 50% of the avies logged in are bots? Well who know to be honest. But for those who are tking this data as anythign close to accurate look again at the methods used to collect it. To be honest... the only thing it tells us is the OP thinks that 50%of the avies she saw and didnt discount because they were at a club (if that is what she did. last time i read one of these threads i am surre she said she comes back to clubs to check who is there) but either way, all it shows is 50% of the avies the OP saw and decided were bots were bots.... Sorry, they'd give you the F for assigning a grade without having all the relevant facts. She counted the population in clubs as PEOPLE, not bots/campers. Therefore, this simplification would cause bots to be undercounted. There are no stats involved yet, other than calculating a percentage. Stats comes in when we have multiple data points. I doubt that the number for the whole grid is even nearly 50%. That's why we need more data points. But if it takes 10 hours to get such a data point, we won't be getting many, and need a more efficient way. |
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Lear Cale
wordy bugger
Join date: 22 Aug 2007
Posts: 3,569
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11-18-2008 05:44
I am not remaining ignorant, because I choose to not do a survey that I know would not be valid and just and I sure as heck would not post it on a forum, without some proof to back it up This is what gets me, people seem to be taking her word as gospel, that she can do not wrong, and that her numbers are fact, then attack those of us who feel the opposite that her numbers are flawed, and most likely the flaw is human judgment and error, and because we choose to not do the same thing it makes us ignorant... ok... if that is the way you see it, then so be it I stand by my opinion, her 2 survey's or whatever they are called, are in my opinion, not worth the time or effort of putting them out there (even if the time and effort were to make up bogus numbers) I am not saying she made it up, but there is always that possibility, which is why I do not trust it, or put any emphasis on it *shrug* obviously others will disagree, and therefor we will be on opposite sides of the fence (for the record, I do not know the OP, never spoke to them in my recollection, and do not even recall seeing any posts of theirs before this bot survey thing) and thank you for insulting my intelligence asking if I have ever seen a bot farm... I have been in SL nearly 3 years, yes I have seen bot farms, I have also worked for a guy that set up massive camping dance things, which some were bots some were people, part of my job was to determine which were ppl and eject the bots... on a small scale (2 sims max 100 campers each sim) it was still not easy to determine without a doubt if it was a bot or person.. I did my best, and sometimes was in error... however I am not stupid... thank you I'm sorry, Rha! I in no way meant to insult your intelligence! In this study, campers and bots are considered the same, which makes it considerably easier. That may not be what some folks want to count, but it is what the OP counted. Your point is valid that it is very difficult to tell bots from campers, except in the obvious case of bot farms where no attempt was made to hide the fact that they're bots. However, this study ignores that distinction. Here are the criteria she used: /327/cc/293027/4.html#post2223537/327/cc/293027/4.html#post2223537 I think that most people would come up with pretty similar numbers, following that kind of method, assuming they're being honest. |
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Eli Schlegal
Registered User
Join date: 20 Nov 2007
Posts: 2,387
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11-18-2008 06:21
It showed that, during the different concurrency periods when the two sweeps were made, the number of bots stayed pretty much the same, which tends to show that bots are pretty much 24/7. No. There were actually 18 bots that were turned on exclusively late at night which makes sense. If you run a store and you are smart, you kill some of your bots during the peak periods when most people are shopping so that they don't arrive to a laggy store. |
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Rhaorth Antonelli
Registered User
Join date: 15 Apr 2006
Posts: 7,425
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11-18-2008 08:56
http://ninjaland.net/scripts/index.php. I'm currently working on a way to get the scanner distributed to as many sims as possible. I suppose the fact that I'll eventually know the exact location of most avatars in the game at all times will creep people out, but welcome to the future. if you want to put one in my store, to have one in that sim, I am ok with it either send the object or come over and place it ![]() _____________________
Morpheus Linden: But then I change avs pretty often too, so often, I look nothing like my avatar. ![]() They are taking away the forums... it could be worse, they could be taking away the forums AND Second Life... |
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Rhaorth Antonelli
Registered User
Join date: 15 Apr 2006
Posts: 7,425
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11-18-2008 09:00
\ I'm sorry, Rha! I in no way meant to insult your intelligence! In this study, campers and bots are considered the same, which makes it considerably easier. That may not be what some folks want to count, but it is what the OP counted. Your point is valid that it is very difficult to tell bots from campers, except in the obvious case of bot farms where no attempt was made to hide the fact that they're bots. However, this study ignores that distinction. Here are the criteria she used: /327/cc/293027/4.html#post2223537/327/cc/293027/4.html#post2223537 I think that most people would come up with pretty similar numbers, following that kind of method, assuming they're being honest. tis ok, I am a bit edgy anyway, meds are kicking my ass, so maybe my best option is to not say anything on the subject or any subject for that matter LOL not upset with you (or anyone) just not thinking very well either... and I tend to word things badly to begin with, so I know some of my posts came out more harshly than intended just because I put no value on her bot counting survey things, doesn't mean others don't, and I do not fault her, or them... I just have my own opinion about it, just like everyone else does ![]() _____________________
Morpheus Linden: But then I change avs pretty often too, so often, I look nothing like my avatar. ![]() They are taking away the forums... it could be worse, they could be taking away the forums AND Second Life... |
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Sling Trebuchet
Deleted User
Join date: 20 Jan 2007
Posts: 4,548
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11-18-2008 09:09
.........! In this study, campers and bots are considered the same, which makes it considerably easier. That may not be what some folks want to count, but it is what the OP counted. .... The distinction between 'bots' and campers is largely one of semantics. A human who parks their one avatar on a comping pad and then leaves it there while doing something else is effectively running one bot. Why the fuss about bots and camping bots? 1. They exist solely to dishonestly game the Traffic metric 2. In a largely deserted grid, the collection of dots on the map or the high traffic number if Search screams "people!!!" at the uninformed. (2) is the most insidious aspect. Now users will intuitively be drawn to what are apparently popular places - and be sorely disappointed. _____________________
Maggie: We give our residents a lot of tools, to build, create, and manage their lands and objects. That flexibility also requires people to exercise judgment about when things should be used.
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Nika Talaj
now you see her ...
Join date: 2 Jan 2007
Posts: 5,449
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11-18-2008 10:20
Because there are a number of very popular sims that have active participants 24/7. Your method would provide numbers, but we wouldn't know what the numbers mean: how many of these sims are busy with active residents, and how many are bot farms? How many are both? There are a number of very popular sims, but ... the number is small! Over time, one could weed out the "popular" vs. "bot-full" sims and exclude them from the bots/camper category by name. I also think that, having 24 hours of data for several days or a month, you'd see that popular sims have correlations to grid-wide concurrency that bots do not. One could check out such sims manually to see if there are bots, and, again, exclude them by name. If anyone is interested, here's an example: ------------------- In "bot-full" sims, one could count as bots the "floor" of the agent count over each contiguous 6-hour period. For example, say you are processing the data gathered from 12-1 PM. If you had this data for the preceeding 6 hours at that sim: 7-8: 34 8-9 33 9-10: 50 10-11: 45 11-12: 30 12-1: 33 One would count 30 bots for the sim for the hour from 12-1. Next hour the data might look like: 8-9 33 9-10: 50 10-11: 45 11-12: 30 12-1: 33 1-2: 4 One would count zero bots for the sim for the hour from 1-2. This method would result in a conservative bot count ... but I bet it would still be higher than LL's 10%. Also, how much of the online population is in nearly vacant sims versus populous ones? I couldn't guess, but based on looking at the map, it might be a sizeable minority, and more than should be ignored. Anyway, enough of that. I just thought the results would be both quicker and (since a larger sample) more robust than doing it by hand. . |
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Vlad Bjornson
Virtual Gardener
Join date: 11 Nov 2005
Posts: 650
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11-18-2008 10:33
In a population of tens of thousands (that is, too many for large random variation) that's mathematically the same as saying 10-15% of the users online are bots. Maybe it is, I'm certainly not a statistician. But it seems to me that the average traffic bot would spend far more time on-line per day than the average human. I know some people who are in-world a lot but I don't know any who are logged in 24/7. _____________________
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Bee Mizser
Registered User
Join date: 22 Apr 2007
Posts: 329
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11-18-2008 11:03
Seems like as good a guesstimate as any other. The grid is vast and varied. I don't think that sampling a slice of the mainland is going to produce any stats that are accurate for the grid as a whole. Phil is right - What we really need to do is get rid of the reasons for having traffic bots and the problem will be eliminated or at least greatly reduced. I'm in favor of just eliminating the Traffic counts all together, but removing Traffic's effect on the search results might be enough. QFT I agree entirely. |
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Lindal Kidd
Dances With Noobs
Join date: 26 Jun 2007
Posts: 8,371
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11-18-2008 11:26
You're absolutely correct: she should have said 52% campers and bots, or perhaps more accurately, 52% inactive avatars. I agree with what Anya said in her first post, when she discussed this. AFK campers are hard to distinguish from bots...but we probably don't need to distinguish them. They behave in the same way, sitting around all day sucking up resources (and in this case, the campers are worse than the bots, because they suck lindens out of the economy without adding either value or RL $). Nuke them all, and let God sort 'em out. _____________________
It's still My World and My Imagination! So there.
Lindal Kidd |
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Anya Ristow
Vengeance Studio
Join date: 21 Sep 2006
Posts: 1,243
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11-18-2008 11:30
If that is the case than that would also create huge errors in the data. Clubs etc are one of the biggest drawers of crowds in SL. So mis counting them while counting the large colelction of bots above stores would of coursse make it appear that there are many more bots then there are becuase she has discounted the 20 or so avies dancing as a club as not relevant data. If I can't tell, I assume it's human. I don't discard any data. In the first data set clubs accounted for about 60 avatars (of 700). If I recall there were two larg-ish clubs in that survey. In the second data set they accounted for perhaps 20 (of 600). I don't think there were any large clubs in that survey. _____________________
The Vengeance Studio Gadget Store is closed!
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Taylor Lubezki
Bratty - Neko
Join date: 12 Aug 2007
Posts: 498
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11-18-2008 11:32
/me Puts her head in her hands... "Leave the Bots Alone!!" lol j/k I just saw that video of the guy cryin bout Brittany Spears again.. Please continue..
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