Doomsday? What do you think will ultimate end SecondLife?
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Jopsy Pendragon
Perpetual Outsider
Join date: 15 Jan 2004
Posts: 1,906
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06-10-2006 23:12
Interesting results so far... "victim of it's own success" a nose ahead and 4 are tied for 2nd place: performance, security, litigation and lost incentives. I really did want to add a option for "poison pen - moral and alienation caused by forum trolls and prophets of doom", but stuck with the more plausible ones. -- Megatron... of COURSE!
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Laukosargas Svarog
Angel ?
Join date: 18 Aug 2004
Posts: 1,304
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06-11-2006 05:34
From: Jopsy Pendragon Interesting results so far... "victim of it's own success" a nose ahead and 4 are tied for 2nd place: performance, security, litigation and lost incentives. I really did want to add a option for "poison pen - moral and alienation caused by forum trolls and prophets of doom", but stuck with the more plausible ones. -- Megatron... of COURSE! Where is "all of above" ? ... and you forgot the possibility of a highly censored, very expensive, multi tiered internet emerging from the recent decisions being made on our behalf by our capitalist leadership  If that doesn't happen, then , as I've always said, and I still havn't changed my mind, something will come along to replace SL eventually, cheaper, probably more open source and without the silly play money.
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Geometry is music frozen...
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Usagi Musashi
UM ™®
Join date: 24 Oct 2004
Posts: 6,083
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06-11-2006 06:21
ALL OF THE ABOVE WHERE?!?!??! YOU needed it included............. 
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Laukosargas Svarog
Angel ?
Join date: 18 Aug 2004
Posts: 1,304
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06-11-2006 07:11
From: Usagi Musashi ALL OF THE ABOVE WHERE?!?!??! YOU needed it included.............  hehe, maybe not, I didn't notice it let you select multiple options 
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Geometry is music frozen...
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Usagi Musashi
UM ™®
Join date: 24 Oct 2004
Posts: 6,083
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06-11-2006 07:23
From: Laukosargas Svarog hehe, maybe not, I didn't notice it let you select multiple options  hahah takes two to be crazy as the bf says  hehehhe joking
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Jopsy Pendragon
Perpetual Outsider
Join date: 15 Jan 2004
Posts: 1,906
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06-11-2006 11:30
From: Laukosargas Svarog ... and you forgot the possibility of a highly censored, very expensive, multi tiered internet emerging from the recent decisions being made on our behalf by our capitalist leadership If that doesn't happen, then , as I've always said, and I still havn't changed my mind, something will come along to replace SL eventually, cheaper, probably more open source and without the silly play money. It'd be a shame to see secondlife shunted off into the *.xxx domain. Personally I think all of the strictly e-commerce stuff needs some sort of globalized 'silly play money'. Scribing for online content, peridicals, helping support favorite web sites... paypal seemed like it was doing well in that area but I've never really felt comfortable using it.
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WantYour Wood
Registered User
Join date: 11 Jun 2006
Posts: 2
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erm??
06-11-2006 11:49
From: Teeny Leviathan A thick shell of alts created this weekend, 200 meters thick. There I go thinking it would be a PROTECTIVE layer
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Jopsy Pendragon
Perpetual Outsider
Join date: 15 Jan 2004
Posts: 1,906
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06-11-2006 11:57
From: Usagi Musashi ALL OF THE ABOVE WHERE?!?!??! YOU needed it included.............  Also it was intended to be "which do you think are MORE likely" certainly all pose a threat in some degree. 
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Laukosargas Svarog
Angel ?
Join date: 18 Aug 2004
Posts: 1,304
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06-11-2006 12:38
From: Jopsy Pendragon It'd be a shame to see secondlife shunted off into the *.xxx domain. Sure would, also a disaster if unlimited broadband becomes a thing of the past or's only available if you pay through the nose for it. From: Jopsy Pendragon Personally I think all of the strictly e-commerce stuff needs some sort of globalized 'silly play money'. Scribing for online content, peridicals, helping support favorite web sites... paypal seemed like it was doing well in that area but I've never really felt comfortable using it. Been using PayPal for years, never had a problem with it, apart from the sites that don't support it  If you're worried the trick is not have huge amounts of money in it at any one time, just keep it topped up with a little. But I know what you mean, some kind of global micropayment system would be cool. And the "silly play money" is actualy a step toward that I guess.
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Geometry is music frozen...
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Noel Marlowe
Victim of Occam's Razor
Join date: 18 Apr 2005
Posts: 275
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06-11-2006 13:04
Actually it will all end when the apes rise up against us and throw us all into slavery.
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Julia Banshee
Perplexed Pixie
Join date: 16 Jan 2006
Posts: 97
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06-11-2006 13:06
From: Jopsy Pendragon Also it was intended to be "which do you think are MORE likely" certainly all pose a threat in some degree.  I think they mean they think the most likely end is all of those things happening at the same time... 
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Introvert Petunia
over 2 billion posts
Join date: 11 Sep 2004
Posts: 2,065
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06-11-2006 13:10
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Jopsy Pendragon
Perpetual Outsider
Join date: 15 Jan 2004
Posts: 1,906
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06-11-2006 14:46
Other not-so-serious runner-ups: Roll over of the unix clock in 2038 or a planetary convergence The internet crippled by fanatical terrorists... all internet backbone routers stop what they're doing and route packets east, towards Mecca, 5 times a day. Planetary Invasion - by aliens that looks somewhat like John Travolta dressed up as a Klingon. Neo jumps out of the matrix, not realizing there's one of those evil self-replicating binary fish tailing him... the grey goo attack brings down the FirstLife grid. In geological time, it's just past 5:15pm on a Friday and god turned off his pager for the weekend. Advances in graphics capabilities makes SecondLife so much like FirstLife that it's no longer a pleasant escape.
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Steve Steed
Premium account
Join date: 2 Sep 2004
Posts: 420
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06-11-2006 17:50
A big very bad earthquake in CA = no more CA, or the RL world coming to a end.
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Second Life is based on the values of tolerance and free expression. Residents are asked to adhere to community standards that are based on the golden rule, but beyond those standards, there are few to no restrictions.
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Jopsy Pendragon
Perpetual Outsider
Join date: 15 Jan 2004
Posts: 1,906
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06-11-2006 23:28
From: Steve Steed A big very bad earthquake in CA = no more CA, or the RL world coming to a end. I still say.. when the big one comes... it'll be everything east of the San Andreas that's sliding into the Atlantic, not CA dropping into the Pacific. 
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Nicola Escher
512 by 512
Join date: 1 May 2003
Posts: 200
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06-12-2006 01:24
Competition should be on that list. But competition could also be a nice wake-up call for LL...
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Richie Waves
Predictable
Join date: 29 Jun 2005
Posts: 1,424
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06-12-2006 01:48
all these fucking threads about it ending will overload LL's servers
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Aldo Stern
wandering madman
Join date: 15 Jan 2005
Posts: 121
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06-12-2006 03:00
From: Nepenthes Ixchel I'd like to suggest a general, non-specific fear that takes control of our lives and makes us prisoners of our own minds. That way no matter how the world ends you can say "Told you so!" As good as any, Nep. After all, everything has a life span...everything will, at some point, come to an end. The nice thing about this fact is that eventually somebody, somewhere, gets to say "Hey, lookylookylooky! I was right! World's ending! I TOLD you so! I TOLD you we shoulda sacrificed a REAL virgin!" and they get to feel self righteous and take the title of Grand All-Seeing Nostradumbass. In fact, the more you predict the end of the something in more diverse ways, and from a greater diversity of causes, the more you increase your chances of winning the prediction lottery. My own personal contribution to the speculative stewpot--I was thinking entropy or Darwin, but decided instead to go with my own favorite bit of paranoia: I think this particular transitional product will end when LL has gathered sufficient information, ideas, and marketing data, and is satisfied it has recruited enough of the right kinds of employees, and incubated the necesssary diverse population of semi-autonomous content and program creation companies and sub-contractors that it needs in order to move on and develope its next generation of metaversal product.
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Blip Lowell
Plywood cube baron
Join date: 19 Mar 2006
Posts: 26
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06-12-2006 03:30
I would bet on the plywood cube flu  The other reason could be the competence appearing in the future; eventually someone would do it better, or Linden Labs would develop another world from zero and drop Second Life.
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George Flan
Registered User
Join date: 21 Sep 2005
Posts: 268
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Dooms Day For SL
06-12-2006 03:49
First, I hope it never happens. I enjoy SL. The biggest problem I see is that they want to put as many new things as possible into SL and ignore the problems it already has. Fix what is broken before you introduce new fancy things. Plus there are several basic things we all need that never gets worked on, i.e., better privacy items such as being able to be invisible when you want to just work on things without being bothered. If I make a car for example and keep adding extras but the car doesn't run how many am I going to sell?
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Magnum Serpentine
Registered User
Join date: 20 Nov 2003
Posts: 1,811
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06-12-2006 05:31
From: Jopsy Pendragon Interesting results so far... "victim of it's own success" a nose ahead and 4 are tied for 2nd place: performance, security, litigation and lost incentives. I really did want to add a option for "poison pen - moral and alienation caused by forum trolls and prophets of doom", but stuck with the more plausible ones. -- Megatron... of COURSE! I doubt Megatron will be the end of SL, I can't even find it using Yahoo or Google.
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Khamon Fate
fategardens.net
Join date: 21 Nov 2003
Posts: 4,177
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06-12-2006 05:50
Thank you Magnum. I needed a good laugh this Monday morning.
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Jarod Godel
Utilitarian
Join date: 6 Nov 2003
Posts: 729
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06-12-2006 08:00
From: Magnum Serpentine I doubt Megatron will be the end of SL, I can't even find it using Yahoo or Google. Try looking for Galvatron or Megaplex, I think those are some of his known aliases. Although, what is this, 2006? I imagine that most of the Decepticons are still hiding out on Chaar, waiting for Cyclonus, Scourge, and the Sweeps to show up and enlist them to help revive Unicron. Mostly, I predict Megatron because right now, Second Life is "like the Matrix, but without the evil machines." Presumably if it's just good machines (re: Autobots), then at some point the Decepticons are going to come after it since they require a Matrix to repower the god of chaos, Unicron. On the other hand, maybe The Sims Online should be considered the Decepticon Matrix and we have nothing to worry about. Personally, I'm cashing my Lindens out for Energon as soon as I can.
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Jopsy Pendragon
Perpetual Outsider
Join date: 15 Jan 2004
Posts: 1,906
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06-12-2006 09:02
Performance issues took #1 for a while, but has been bumped to second place by Security. Tied for third are problems affecting LL directly and loss of L$ incentives. Nicola- competition was under 'stagnation' actually Magnum- Um... you're being sarcastic yes? (Google: about 1,900,000 for megatron.) Blip- plywood prim flu... derived from the asian bird flu? Eeek! =) Richie- I know, I know. This poll was partly in protest to all the doom threads... and partly to try putting things into perspective. The .com bubble showed that even successful companies stumbled and failed, sometimes for no better reason than they had planned for and counted on being more successful then they were. Most things taken to some extreme can be fatal. Because SecondLife itself is such an odd elephant the blind men around it grasp and find whatever 'certain doom' ends up in their hands... and assuming they're the only one that is aware of it they shout out to the forums before bothering to search to see if the issue has already been beaten to death. Bleah, I'm wrambling. -- My doom will certainly be insufficient caffeination or hyperinflation of birthdays. (it's June's Ide's Eve again already?!)
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Julia Banshee
Perplexed Pixie
Join date: 16 Jan 2006
Posts: 97
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06-12-2006 10:09
From: Jopsy Pendragon Performance issues took #1 for a while, but has been bumped to second place by Security. Tied for third are problems affecting LL directly and loss of L$ incentives. How very odd. The #1 thing that brings down successful software titles is the release of a better competitor. And yet that's barely in the top five here. Instead, we see things history has shown people are more than willing to put up with, at least until a better alternative comes along. None of the big issues people worry are going to make a much of a difference until then, with the possible exception of problems at LL.
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