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Kaz's market analys: updated

Kazanture Aleixandre
Here I am.
Join date: 5 Oct 2005
Posts: 524
03-30-2006 23:36
march-08: 15:00 26676598 279
march-09: 16:29 27171853 279
march-10: 13:22 27578312 280
march-13: 14.05 27975892 280
march-14: 17:49 28286899 282
march-15: 17:28 27808106 281
march-16: 16:42 28256826 282
march-17: 15:21 28234515 281
march-19: 15:09 30064421 282
march-20: 14:41 32049378 286
march-21: 06:09 31267334 287
march-22: 08:05 30715728 285
march-23: 08:28 34995039 300
march-27: 16:57 26238115 292
march-28: 12:03 28860747 294
march-29: 12:39 29840571 296
march-30: 12:36 28820208 301
march-31: 12:36 26416043 296
time/ L$stock /L$rate

Market stock over 250/usd is even below march.08 value(which the rate was 279/usd). I think market started to heal itself after some people's money dumps to the market. Due to the weekend and start of the month the market stock will be better and better. This 296/usd is a psychological effect. with this stock it should be near 279-278/usd. Now it is time to stop panic. You can sell your L$ s at better values for sure after this time. Just cancel your sell orders and put them for better values.
Jamie Bergman
SL's Largest Distributor
Join date: 17 Feb 2005
Posts: 1,752
03-31-2006 06:19
The osteriches will deny your analysis.

Everything is fine, comarde.
Marc Woebegone
Registered User
Join date: 8 Dec 2005
Posts: 27
I've put my sells at the lower rate
03-31-2006 06:39
Today, the trade value is already better than yesterday. I for one will continue to put my lindens for sale a the lower value and avoid the "run" to the panic sell.
Jon Rolland
Registered User
Join date: 3 Oct 2005
Posts: 705
03-31-2006 13:47
From: Jamie Bergman
The osteriches will deny your analysis.

Everything is fine, comarde.


By osteriches do you mean you, RDB, Anshe and other fearmongers? Kaz just said the market is recovering. lol
mcgeeb Gupte
Jolie Femme @}-,-'-,---
Join date: 17 Sep 2005
Posts: 1,152
03-31-2006 13:50
From: Jamie Bergman
The osteriches will deny your analysis.

Everything is fine, comarde.


LOL
mcgeeb Gupte
Jolie Femme @}-,-'-,---
Join date: 17 Sep 2005
Posts: 1,152
03-31-2006 13:56
From: Kazanture Aleixandre
march-08: 15:00 26676598 279
march-09: 16:29 27171853 279
march-10: 13:22 27578312 280
march-13: 14.05 27975892 280
march-14: 17:49 28286899 282
march-15: 17:28 27808106 281
march-16: 16:42 28256826 282
march-17: 15:21 28234515 281
march-19: 15:09 30064421 282
march-20: 14:41 32049378 286
march-21: 06:09 31267334 287
march-22: 08:05 30715728 285
march-23: 08:28 34995039 300
march-27: 16:57 26238115 292
march-28: 12:03 28860747 294
march-29: 12:39 29840571 296
march-30: 12:36 28820208 301
march-31: 12:36 26416043 296
time/ L$stock /L$rate

Market stock over 250/usd is even below march.08 value(which the rate was 279/usd). I think market started to heal itself after some people's money dumps to the market. Due to the weekend and start of the month the market stock will be better and better. This 296/usd is a psychological effect. with this stock it should be near 279-278/usd. Now it is time to stop panic. You can sell your L$ s at better values for sure after this time. Just cancel your sell orders and put them for better values.


Kaz can you do this daily and keep resident numbers along side too? This is good data :)
ReserveBank Division
Senior Member
Join date: 16 Jan 2006
Posts: 1,408
03-31-2006 19:20
From: Kazanture Aleixandre
march-08: 15:00 26676598 279
march-09: 16:29 27171853 279
march-10: 13:22 27578312 280
march-13: 14.05 27975892 280
march-14: 17:49 28286899 282
march-15: 17:28 27808106 281
march-16: 16:42 28256826 282
march-17: 15:21 28234515 281
march-19: 15:09 30064421 282
march-20: 14:41 32049378 286
march-21: 06:09 31267334 287
march-22: 08:05 30715728 285
march-23: 08:28 34995039 300
march-27: 16:57 26238115 292
march-28: 12:03 28860747 294
march-29: 12:39 29840571 296
march-30: 12:36 28820208 301
march-31: 12:36 26416043 296
time/ L$stock /L$rate

Market stock over 250/usd is even below march.08 value(which the rate was 279/usd). I think market started to heal itself after some people's money dumps to the market. Due to the weekend and start of the month the market stock will be better and better. This 296/usd is a psychological effect. with this stock it should be near 279-278/usd. Now it is time to stop panic. You can sell your L$ s at better values for sure after this time. Just cancel your sell orders and put them for better values.




Hahhahaah.. I'll be looking for this post in about 1 month to
laugh in your face when the L$ is L$320 and you are calling for
L$278 on March 31st..
_____________________
Jon Rolland
Registered User
Join date: 3 Oct 2005
Posts: 705
03-31-2006 19:53
From: ReserveBank Division
Hahhahaah.. I'll be looking for this post in about 1 month to
laugh in your face when the L$ is L$320 and you are calling for
L$278 on March 31st..


I'll file this one right along side the expired option you wanted to buy lol I don't think kaz is calling for 278 TODAY! ROFL! Fearmongers are so ignorant ROFL!
ReserveBank Division
Senior Member
Join date: 16 Jan 2006
Posts: 1,408
03-31-2006 20:04
From: Jon Rolland
I'll file this one right along side the expired option you wanted to buy lol I don't think kaz is calling for 278 TODAY! ROFL! Fearmongers are so ignorant ROFL!




Funny.. I was called the fearmonger when the L$ was
L$272 and I said it'll drop to L$300 and look where we
are 1/month later?

The ones who call it fear are themselves fearfull of
seeing it decline and not having sold sooner. Think
of all the suckers at L$272 who wish they could get that
price now.. Hahahahahaha
_____________________
mcgeeb Gupte
Jolie Femme @}-,-'-,---
Join date: 17 Sep 2005
Posts: 1,152
03-31-2006 20:15
From: ReserveBank Division
Funny.. I was called the fearmonger when the L$ was
L$272 and I said it'll drop to L$300 and look where we
are 1/month later?

The ones who call it fear are themselves fearfull of
seeing it decline and not having sold sooner. Think
of all the suckers at L$272 who wish they could get that
price now.. Hahahahahaha


Think about everyone who could of waited two days to sell at 292 instead of 300. Instead they might've listened to some of the posts saying hurry up and time to get out before it gets worse posts. It just goes to show that sometimes things gets hipped up too much and panic selling does happen. This is a good market analys and does show facts that the amount of Lindens up for sale is fewer than it was a few days ago. If you are a seller, this is something good. If you are a buyer, it is time to buy before it gets more expensive to.
Jon Rolland
Registered User
Join date: 3 Oct 2005
Posts: 705
03-31-2006 22:13
From: ReserveBank Division
Funny.. I was called the fearmonger when the L$ was
L$272 and I said it'll drop to L$300 and look where we
are 1/month later?

The ones who call it fear are themselves fearfull of
seeing it decline and not having sold sooner. Think
of all the suckers at L$272 who wish they could get that
price now.. Hahahahahaha


And I'll bet you'll never admit how much YOU personally contributed to that artificial drop. :-)
Dmitri Polonsky
Registered User
Join date: 26 Aug 2005
Posts: 562
03-31-2006 23:26
From: Jon Rolland
And I'll bet you'll never admit how much YOU personally contributed to that artificial drop. :-)


Like you really expect RBD to admit anything?LMMFAO now that's funny.hehehe
Selador Cellardoor
Registered User
Join date: 16 Nov 2003
Posts: 3,082
04-01-2006 00:28
From: Jamie Bergman
The osteriches will deny your analysis.



I think the Austrians have been very quiet over the issue.
_____________________
Fade Languish
I just build stuff...
Join date: 20 Oct 2005
Posts: 1,760
04-01-2006 00:35
From: Jon Rolland
And I'll bet you'll never admit how much YOU personally contributed to that artificial drop. :-)


If someone was trying to prove a point, they've proved that the market is quite robust. It's withstood repeated orders at L$300/$, recovering a bit each time.
Jon Rolland
Registered User
Join date: 3 Oct 2005
Posts: 705
04-01-2006 00:40
From: Fade Languish
If someone was trying to prove a point, they've proved that the market is quite robust. It's withstood repeated orders at L$300/$, recovering a bit each time.


Indeed in 2 days the market has recovered 9 points and did over 9mil volume today a new record.
Kazanture Aleixandre
Here I am.
Join date: 5 Oct 2005
Posts: 524
04-01-2006 03:06
From: Kazanture Aleixandre
march-08: 15:00 26676598 279
march-09: 16:29 27171853 279
march-10: 13:22 27578312 280
march-13: 14.05 27975892 280
march-14: 17:49 28286899 282
march-15: 17:28 27808106 281
march-16: 16:42 28256826 282
march-17: 15:21 28234515 281
march-19: 15:09 30064421 282
march-20: 14:41 32049378 286
march-21: 06:09 31267334 287
march-22: 08:05 30715728 285
march-23: 08:28 34995039 300
march-27: 16:57 26238115 292
march-28: 12:03 28860747 294
march-29: 12:39 29840571 296
march-30: 12:36 28820208 301
march-31: 12:36 26416043 296
time/ L$stock /L$rate

Market stock over 250/usd is even below march.08 value(which the rate was 279/usd). I think market started to heal itself after some people's money dumps to the market. Due to the weekend and start of the month the market stock will be better and better. This 296/usd is a psychological effect. with this stock it should be near 279-278/usd. Now it is time to stop panic. You can sell your L$ s at better values for sure after this time. Just cancel your sell orders and put them for better values.


march-08: 15:00 26676598 279
march-09: 16:29 27171853 279
march-10: 13:22 27578312 280
march-13: 14.05 27975892 280
march-14: 17:49 28286899 282
march-15: 17:28 27808106 281
march-16: 16:42 28256826 282
march-17: 15:21 28234515 281
march-19: 15:09 30064421 282
march-20: 14:41 32049378 286
march-21: 06:09 31267334 287
march-22: 08:05 30715728 285
march-23: 08:28 34995039 300
march-27: 16:57 26238115 292
march-28: 12:03 28860747 294
march-29: 12:39 29840571 296
march-30: 12:36 28820208 301
march-31: 12:36 26416043 296
--april-01: 12:03 22698162 292

Repeating with the re-updated data:
Market stock over 250/usd is even below march.08 value(which the rate was 279/usd). I think market started to heal itself after some people's money dumps to the market. Due to the weekend and start of the month the market stock will be better and better.Now it is time to stop panic. You can sell your L$ s at better values for sure after this time. Just cancel your sell orders and put them for better values.
ReserveBank Division
Senior Member
Join date: 16 Jan 2006
Posts: 1,408
04-01-2006 03:10
From: Jon Rolland
And I'll bet you'll never admit how much YOU personally contributed to that artificial drop. :-)



I take the 5th... :)
_____________________
ReserveBank Division
Senior Member
Join date: 16 Jan 2006
Posts: 1,408
04-01-2006 03:15
From: Jon Rolland
Indeed in 2 days the market has recovered 9 points and did over 9mil volume today a new record.



Dead Cat Bounce....
Don't be fooled my young Padawan...
The Dark Side is Strong in SL. Use the force Jon,
don't trust your eyes, feel the market.....




A dead cat bounce is a term used in market economics to describe a pattern wherein a sharp rise in the price of a stock follows a spectacular fall, with the connotation that the rise does not indicate improving circumstances. It is derived from the notion that "even a dead cat will bounce if it falls hard enough".

_____________________
Kazanture Aleixandre
Here I am.
Join date: 5 Oct 2005
Posts: 524
04-01-2006 03:28
From: ReserveBank Division
Dead Cat Bounce....
Don't be fooled my young Padawan...
The Dark Side is Strong in SL. Use the force Jon,
don't trust your eyes, feel the market.....




A dead cat bounce is a term used in market economics to describe a pattern wherein a sharp rise in the price of a stock follows a spectacular fall, with the connotation that the rise does not indicate improving circumstances. It is derived from the notion that "even a dead cat will bounce if it falls hard enough".



vice versa
ReserveBank Division
Senior Member
Join date: 16 Jan 2006
Posts: 1,408
04-01-2006 03:48
From: Kazanture Aleixandre
vice versa



You are talking out the side of your neck....

Translation for those non-Southerners: "Liar"
_____________________
Kazanture Aleixandre
Here I am.
Join date: 5 Oct 2005
Posts: 524
04-01-2006 03:52
Sorry all, i made a mistake, replied to RBD.






Kaz's new policy: ignore brainless mouths after this time.
ReserveBank Division
Senior Member
Join date: 16 Jan 2006
Posts: 1,408
04-01-2006 03:56
From: Kazanture Aleixandre
Sorry all, i made a mistake, replied to RBD.

Kaz's new policy: ignore brainless mouths after this time.



Thank You... One less person to oppose me. Now my words will
ring to the masses without opposition from the likes of Kazy..

Kneel to your Mastah... The weak shall yield...
_____________________
Jopsy Pendragon
Perpetual Outsider
Join date: 15 Jan 2004
Posts: 1,906
04-01-2006 04:05
From: ReserveBank Division
Funny.. I was called the fearmonger when the L$ was
L$272 and I said it'll drop to L$300 and look where we
are 1/month later?

The ones who call it fear are themselves fearfull of
seeing it decline and not having sold sooner. Think
of all the suckers at L$272 who wish they could get that
price now.. Hahahahahaha


I called you fearmonger. Not because you cited L$300:US$1... but because you kept predicting doom and the end, and 'worthless' L$. (not "worth less" L$).

My only financial fear in SecondLife is that one of my neighbors might sell and drive for emminent domain may push me up into the next allocation tier.

It's past time for your meds RBD ;)

--
There are no E's in Ostrich.
ReserveBank Division
Senior Member
Join date: 16 Jan 2006
Posts: 1,408
04-01-2006 04:07
From: Jopsy Pendragon
I called you fearmonger. Not because you cited L$300:US$1... but because you kept predicting doom and the end, and 'worthless' L$. (not "worth less" L$).

My only financial fear in SecondLife is that one of my neighbors might sell and drive for emminent domain may push me up into the next allocation tier.

It's past time for your meds RBD ;)

--
There are no E's in Ostrich.




Sure would be a wonderful world if Land Tier didn't exist...
And land was finite.
_____________________
Jon Rolland
Registered User
Join date: 3 Oct 2005
Posts: 705
04-01-2006 11:28
From: ReserveBank Division
Dead Cat Bounce....
Don't be fooled my young Padawan...
The Dark Side is Strong in SL. Use the force Jon,
don't trust your eyes, feel the market.....




A dead cat bounce is a term used in market economics to describe a pattern wherein a sharp rise in the price of a stock follows a spectacular fall, with the connotation that the rise does not indicate improving circumstances. It is derived from the notion that "even a dead cat will bounce if it falls hard enough".



The market hasn't been proved a dead cat only that you, Jamie, Anshe, and a few other fearmongers want it dead.
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