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Ginko vis-a-vis Northern Rock

Domaiv Decosta
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Join date: 3 Jun 2007
Posts: 243
09-20-2007 08:26
From: John Horner




In hindsight would it have been better for Linden to bite the bullet and bail out Ginko to avoid loss of confidence within the SL economy?




Why should LL compensate people for making bad investments?



From: Colette Meiji
Then it stands to reason in the long run not having these "investments" around at all would be more beneficial to the economy overall.



You have a choice. I have not seen one comment mention that anyone was forced to invest.



From: Qie Niangao
I think the only reason LL ever should have considered "bailing out" Ginko was if the SL economy was suffering recession
From: someone



Nobody wants LL to interfere unless the shit hits the fan, then they complain LL does not do enough. Which way do you want it?

SL is a game, an experiment even. LL sould let things run. the only time LL should get involved is if RL laws may be broken.

How about a system where residents decide how much new land is released, and how many $L should be introduced to the econemy?
Dzonatas Sol
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Join date: 16 Oct 2006
Posts: 507
09-20-2007 08:32
From: Domaiv Decosta
How about a system where residents decide how much new land is released, and how many $L should be introduced to the econemy?


That would be a very democratic decision, but I don't see the need for that transparency. How would it help?
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Colette Meiji
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09-20-2007 08:35
From: Domaiv Decosta

You have a choice. I have not seen one comment mention that anyone was forced to invest.



Ginko was billed as a bank - not an investment.

People do not generally consider a Savings account in the same catagory as a high risk investment.

Of course it was too good to be true - but people beleived their friends' recomendations.
Domaiv Decosta
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09-20-2007 08:48
From: Dzonatas Sol
That would be a very democratic decision, but I don't see the need for that transparency. How would it help?



Just my opinion, I see SL as a game therefore the players in the game should dictate its direction. LL should be there to maintain the grid and enforce TOS.
Katier Reitveld
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Join date: 13 Sep 2005
Posts: 412
09-20-2007 08:51
From: John Horner

Northern Rock depended on inter-bank lending (or CDO CLO's) to fund 75% of its business. Only around 25% of lending was/are supported by standard depositors. Hence the current issues.

In Ginkos case I believe you are broadly correct, but the business model only became flawed when the virtual environment changed. Longer-term SL residents will remember it traded quite well right the way through 2005/2006/ into the earlier part of 2007.


Whilst it's undeniable that NR overstretched it's self severely ( it would apear massively ), it does at least have a valid income.

Ginko's business model was allways flawed and likely to fail at some point, from memory in this case wasn't it actually triggered by a major theft of funds?
Domaiv Decosta
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09-20-2007 08:51
From: Colette Meiji
Ginko was billed as a bank - not an investment.

People do not generally consider a Savings account in the same catagory as a high risk investment.

Of course it was too good to be true - but people beleived their friends' recomendations.



Understand, but i would consider putting money into an account offering intrest rates that high or even a couple of points above my countrys base rate as an investment.
Dzonatas Sol
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Join date: 16 Oct 2006
Posts: 507
09-20-2007 08:54
The economy may be more open to such decision as the grid extends beyond LL's control.

http://blog.secondlife.com/2007/09/19/slgarchwg1/
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Domaiv Decosta
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09-20-2007 09:03
From: Dzonatas Sol
The economy may be more open to such decision as the grid extends beyond LL's control.

http://blog.secondlife.com/2007/09/19/slgarchwg1/


Not exactly what i was thinking but theres nothing like ambition.
Dzonatas Sol
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Join date: 16 Oct 2006
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09-20-2007 09:09
From: Domaiv Decosta
Understand, but i would consider putting money into an account offering intrest rates that high or even a couple of points above my countrys base rate as an investment.


It would also be a good idea to consider it a loss at that point. If the fund turns success, then claim income for what is withdrawn.

That would be like an angel investor on virtual reality. Even the grounds of LL had a partial intake as such. That's a harsh comparison, because angels can afford the loss.

When I first saw Ginko, I read it as an investment more than a bank. The liquidity at the ATM made it look just like any other bank in SL. The daily interest is what all in-world banks/financials used as a competitive measure.

That competitive measure seemed to be more popular than a in-world bank that just advertises solid security on savings with interest.
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Domaiv Decosta
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09-20-2007 09:18
From: Dzonatas Sol
It would also be a good idea to consider it a loss at that point. If the fund turns success, then claim income for what is withdrawn.

That would be like an angel investor on virtual reality. Even the grounds of LL had a partial intake as such. That's a harsh comparison, because angels can afford the loss.

When I first saw Ginko, I read it as an investment more than a bank. The liquidity at the ATM made it look just like any other bank in SL. The daily interest is what all in-world banks/financials used as a competitive measure.

That competitive measure seemed to be more popular than a in-world bank that just advertises solid security on savings with interest.



Why would anyone need a bank in SL? The way $L are handled by LL is very similer to a current account anyway. I don't think anyone making a deposit into Ginko saw it as a bank, I would have thought they looked at it as a money making scheme.
Colette Meiji
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Join date: 25 Mar 2005
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09-20-2007 09:35
From: Domaiv Decosta
Why would anyone need a bank in SL? The way $L are handled by LL is very similer to a current account anyway. I don't think anyone making a deposit into Ginko saw it as a bank, I would have thought they looked at it as a money making scheme.


Actually no - a lot saw it like a savings account.

People I know well enough to beleive.

Not everyone is savy on investment concepts.


No one needs a bank in SL

- No one needs investment schemes either. The whole concept of non taxed unregulated investments which lie in some shadow juristiction is uneccessary.
Dzonatas Sol
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Join date: 16 Oct 2006
Posts: 507
09-20-2007 09:48
From: Domaiv Decosta
Why would anyone need a bank in SL? The way $L are handled by LL is very similer to a current account anyway. I don't think anyone making a deposit into Ginko saw it as a bank, I would have thought they looked at it as a money making scheme.


Why would anybody sit on their arse and camp an avatar all day instead of actually use SL? Yes, a money making scheme.

If you don't actually add real money to SL, it can be fun to find ways to earn it from nothing. Camp, interest, and sell First Land were all key in the scheme.

The avatar's account works as a bank with no interest (despite lindex trading), but if someone wanted to earn more without a business tier then these were the in-world options.

I'm pretty sure that the extinction of First Land caused some panic before the gambling hysteria. Look at today's land value, however. On my region, some bought first land and turned around and sold it for L$50k/1024sqm, and someone else bought it! I wonder who lost more, the land buyer or the Ginko investor.
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Qie Niangao
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09-20-2007 10:06
From: Domaiv Decosta
From: Qie Niangao
I think the only reason LL ever should have considered "bailing out" Ginko was if the SL economy was suffering recession
Nobody wants LL to interfere unless the shit hits the fan, then they complain LL does not do enough. Which way do you want it?

SL is a game, an experiment even. LL sould let things run. the only time LL should get involved is if RL laws may be broken.
Not to LL; to them, it's a business. If it benefits that business to interfere in the economy (as if they didn't already), then why ever not? (That's just an abstract argument, though: I don't really think LL should have bailed out Ginko, given the relatively small impact its failure seems to have had. But really: if instead the economy were gonna tank because somebody made off with some huge percentage of the L$s in circulation--with the result that nobody wanted to be in-world anymore--then yeah, I'd want LL to protect its business.)
Brodsky Zapedzki
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09-20-2007 10:12
From: Dzonatas Sol
This is interesting because UK is famous to make such bonds when in a financial disaster.

Such as when?
Brodsky Zapedzki
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09-20-2007 10:20
From: Dzonatas Sol
The core business was advertsing just like Google. It was never scalable like Google, however. That is why as more people were added, less interest was paid.

Well, that's fascinating, Dzonatos. I don't suppose you could share a few more details about Ginko's sources of income with us.

You know. Just a teeny weeny tiny bit. ;)
Colette Meiji
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Join date: 25 Mar 2005
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09-20-2007 10:34
From: Brodsky Zapedzki
Such as when?


Not that it would matter - the UK isnt gonna pack its suitcase and run away in the middle of the night.
John Horner
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09-20-2007 12:03
From: Brodsky Zapedzki
Such as when?


I am UK based and support my country but he does have a point.

A clear example is undated gilt stock.

War Loan is the most frequently mentioned instrument. It trades today at around £76.15 per £100.00 bond I think it has interest coupon at 3.5% on par value, that should equal around 4.67% yield.

It was issued in the Second World War (I think) to raise money. People paid that £100 thinking they may get their money back at some point.

Please note no part of this post or thread from me is designed to offer financial advice folks. Just interested in what I see are some obvious parallels between VR and real life in this instance
Brodsky Zapedzki
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09-20-2007 12:22
It's nothing uncommon for governments around the world to issue war bonds. Dzonatas was suggesting the UK is famous for this especially in financial disasters (I'd say WW2 was more of a human disaster than a financial one). Hence I was curious what specific cases she has in mind.
Colette Meiji
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Join date: 25 Mar 2005
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09-20-2007 12:25
From: John Horner
I am UK based and support my country but he does have a point.

A clear example is undated gilt stock.

War Loan is the most frequently mentioned instrument. It trades today at around £76.15 per £100.00 bond I think it has interest coupon at 3.5% on par value, that should equal around 4.67% yield.

It was issued in the Second World War (I think) to raise money. People paid that £100 thinking they may get their money back at some point.

Please note no part of this post or thread from me is designed to offer financial advice folks. Just interested in what I see are some obvious parallels between VR and real life in this instance



A difference definitely being people paid for those bonds - knowing they were perpetual bonds. They had faith in their government though.

Most of the Ginko Bonds were forced on people in exchange for what they though were liquid savings account balances.
Brodsky Zapedzki
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09-20-2007 12:33
Also, I think comparing Ginko with Northern Rock is fundamentally flawed for two reasons:

1) To ask "Should Linden Labs bail out Ginko?" implies that without a bailout Ginko has failed whereas in fact the exact opposite is the case. As I posted earlier on another thread, back in June 2005 Ginko publicly announced their goal was to be paying around 12% interest per annum within 3 to 5 years. How much are the GPB bonds paying? 12%. So one could be cynical and say they actually achieved one of their goals a whole year earlier than planned.

2) Northern Rock depositors are getting all their money back, Ginko depositors received bonds worth 1/4 of what they had on their accounts at the time Ginko securitised its debt.
Colette Meiji
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09-20-2007 12:36
From: Brodsky Zapedzki
Also, I think comparing Ginko with Northern Rock is fundamentally flawed for two reasons:

1) To ask "Should Linden Labs bail out Ginko?" implies that without a bailout Ginko has failed whereas in fact the exact opposite is the case. As I posted earlier on another thread, back in June 2005 Ginko publicly announced their goal was to be paying around 12% interest per annum within 3 to 5 years. How much are the GPB bonds paying? 12%. So one could be cynical and say they actually achieved one of their goals a whole year earlier than planned.

2) Northern Rock depositors are getting all their money back, Ginko depositors received bonds worth 1/4 of what they had on their accounts at the time Ginko securitised its debt.


Besides from LL's point of view Ginko didnt have any issues at all.

From their standpoint all that happened Nick P was gifted a lot of money from people.

They musta figured he was a popular guy. Or the best Escort in SL.
Brodsky Zapedzki
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Join date: 30 Mar 2007
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09-20-2007 12:49
From: Colette Meiji
Besides from LL's point of view Ginko didnt have any issues at all.

From their standpoint all that happened Nick P was gifted a lot of money from people.

They musta figured he was a popular guy. Or the best Escort in SL.

Yeah and now he's taking everyone for a ride.
Carl Metropolitan
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09-20-2007 13:22
From: Dzonatas Sol
Same, if you were actually involved to know. You already stated you haven't suffered any loss. You claim Carl hasn't suffered any. Only people I see here complaining about Ginko is those that are disinterested.


I did not lose money in Ginko. I have been warning people about Ginko (and similar "banks";) for close to two years now. Continuing to talk about Ginko keeps the issue in the public eye, and helps other people avoid making the same mistake of "investing" in other ponzi schemes masquerading as banks in SL.

Believe it or not, some people care about what happens to other people in their community. I am especially interested in this because I have written and teach a class in SL Consumer Skills for NCI. Along with ponzi schemes, I teach about most of the other pervasive frauds and deceptive trade practices in Second Life. These include: selling free content, business-in-a-box scams, deceptive land prices for island land, land bots, "pump-and-yank" island scams, permission_debit scams, extortion, land griefing, transparent prim scams, pyramid schemes, deceptive boxes, camping chair scams, and sales of fraudulently obtained L$.
Colette Meiji
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09-20-2007 13:23
From: Carl Metropolitan
Along with ponzi schemes, I teach about most of the other pervasive frauds and deceptive trade practices in Second Life. These include: selling free content, business-in-a-box scams, deceptive land prices for island land, land bots, "pump-and-yank" island scams, permission_debit scams, extortion, land griefing, transparent prim scams, pyramid schemes, deceptive boxes, camping chair scams, and sales of fraudulently obtained L$.


Your World, Your Imagination.
Dzonatas Sol
Visual Learner
Join date: 16 Oct 2006
Posts: 507
09-20-2007 15:02
From: Carl Metropolitan
I have been warning people about Ginko (and similar "banks";) for close to two years now.


How about CGI? Worse than Ginko, yes?

I like to read/hear some of your classes.
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