Stabilization Of L$
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Wayfinder Wishbringer
Elf Clan / ElvenMyst
Join date: 28 Oct 2004
Posts: 1,483
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10-04-2005 15:57
From: KatanaBlade Anubis I have to say though without sifting through all these post, the lower the sell value goes, the higher in game prices will get. Because many including myself are trying to cover the overhead cost. I prob won't raise my current prices or old stuff, but anything new will probably end up being slightly higher. The way the market is these days it is kinda forcing designers and land sellers to do that. Have to have Balance somewhere or businesses will start shutting down.
Yeah, that's something I've noticed myself. While I'm not raising old prices, as the L$ plummets, what I'm charging for new items is more than I've charged in the past. Those prices will remain even if the L$ gains in value. And that folks, IS inflation.
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Dnate Mars
Lost
Join date: 27 Jan 2004
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10-04-2005 16:13
From: Wayfinder Wishbringer I really don't have a response to this. I don't know what LL did during the first 3 quarters of 2004, but by the time I joined in November, anyone who wanted sizeable land could just hand LL several hundred dollars and open their own sim. No problem. And if someone couldn't afford the entire sim on their own, they either formed land groups or rented out parcels to pay for sim fees. If there was a time this was not in place, I am totally unacqainted with such and to be honest-- based on the claims I've seen in this thread of times I *am* acquainted with-- I can't really credit 3rd party information as accurate observation of the actual situation (no offense intended). That is part of the problem. You are not looking at enough history of SL and its Economy. If you really want to know what happened, look at the historical graphs that have been posted. You can see a rise and fall of the L$. Upward pressures effect the value just as much as downward pressure might. If you really want to understand the SL economy, you need to look back from about 1.2 forward. Not to be insulting, but your lack of historical knowlegde really makes many of your auguements weak.
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Dnate Mars
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10-04-2005 16:17
From: Wayfinder Wishbringer This is the old claim of "gun makers aren't responsible for what people do with guns". After all, they didn't force people to pull the triggers, did they? Or more pointedly, the modern-day argument that cigarette companies shouldn't be liable for the death of smokers. After all, they didn't force people to smoke, did they? When a company makes a hunting rifle or a handgun, they know those may be used in hunting or even in self-defense. But when they make an AK-47 or a semi-automatic attack pistol, I think it's hard to argue that they're blameless when such are used in criminal activity. They may not have pulled the trigger, but they sure provided the tool for someone else to do so. The cigarette companies may not have forced people to smoke-- but they sure provided the means and situation by which people could get addicted. They are responsible for so many deaths they can never be excused for their actions. GOM had no such bad intentions. They were just playing a money game and thought they were offering a service. But in reality, they set up a stock-market model without regulations. History proved what happens in such a situation: the stock market crash of 1929 should have been a very memorable lesson. But rather than learn from that, GOM provided an unregulated tool by which L$-- although a fictitious "monopoly" currency-- gained RL value, and was vastly open to market manipulation. By continuing to promote this tool without inserting the necessary systems to prevent unjust market manipulation, they provided the "gun" by which knowledgeable players could manipulate the market for personal profit. So no, GOM did not directly influence severe market fluxuations. They just provided others with the tools to do so. GOM didn't personally pull the trigger. They just made the attack rifle and gave it to every trigger happy person on the block. To be totally fair, they didn't mean to. They apparently had nothing but good intentions. But the results are established fact. And to add the the mess, rather than waiting for LL to establish its trading system and at least letting the market limp along until some form of replacement could be devised... GOM pulls out early, leaving folks like IGE to sell unimpeded at whatever price they want to sell, low-bid on L$ purchases and basically hold the market at their mercy. Sellers can't sell for reasonable amounts, I've seen the L$ as high as $4.45/1000 (depending on what day you visit) and GOMs clients are left in the dust. This is another one of those "not good" things.
I thought you said that GOM was a bad thing for the market, would not having them stop doing what they were doing help the market? You said that the fixed price markets where the way to go, so why now are you bashing GOM for leaving? You need to look at history, you are just too short sighted with the history of SL to fully understand what GOM did, and did not do to the market.
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Wayfinder Wishbringer
Elf Clan / ElvenMyst
Join date: 28 Oct 2004
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10-04-2005 16:26
From: Dnate Mars That is part of the problem. You are not looking at enough history of SL and its Economy. If you really want to know what happened, look at the historical graphs that have been posted. You can see a rise and fall of the L$. Upward pressures effect the value just as much as downward pressure might. If you really want to understand the SL economy, you need to look back from about 1.2 forward. Not to be insulting, but your lack of historical knowlegde really makes many of your auguements weak. LOL. No insult taken Dnate... but I just consider this entire thread so far, and equally with no insult intended.. I don't see that your acquaintance with the past makes you any more astute, especially in light of recent facts.  You and others keep insisting the GOM plan was best and worked just fine... yet GOM closed shop. Makes one wonder. Graphs in and of themselves (especially the very limited historical graphs presented on GOM) tell us nothing about causation factors. They just tell us the market rose, the market fell. The market rose, the market fell. But I've been a business consultant for more than two decades (truth). I've caused more businesses to increase their profits than you can shake a stick at. I don't have to have personally experienced the entire history of SL to have a good idea of what's going on-- or the primary core of GOMs ultimate demise. I saw it coming before it happened, mentioned it to others, emailed GOM about it a few times over the past few months, and finally decided to open this thread in an effort to shock GOM in to changing their game plan before they went under. GOM didn't listen at all. Rather than considering alternatives, they went under. End of story. Their decision. {SIDE NOTE: In like manner, I have examined the Second Life game plan and have warned LL of severe impending business model problems and eventual cessation of business within as little as 2 years unless major changes are made to their business model. No one's listened there either. Time will tell.} The idea that GOM couldn't have possibly survived with LL having its own trading website really to me, doesn't hold water. Now if LL had traded IN-GAME like they announced they were going to.. that might have had a severe effect on GOM (depending on how well LL did their job. Considering the bugs in the rest of the system, GOM would have still had a fighting chance. LOL). But I councelled even in this thread for GOM to hang in there and beat LL at its own game. They didn't. Their choice. Best wishes to them in their new endeavors because they're basically good folk with a great support attitude that seems to be severely missing in SL itself. However, I also think that if GOM were to reopen tomorrow, they STILL might possibly have a chance at wrestling the market away from LL. [edit: *HAD* to correct my spellling after seeing it quoted in Dnate's reply. Urg. LOL]
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Dnate Mars
Lost
Join date: 27 Jan 2004
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10-04-2005 16:30
From: Wayfinder Wishbringer I really don't have a response to this. I don't know what LL did during the first 3 quarters of 2004, but by the time I joined in November, anyone who wanted sizeable land could just hand LL several hundred dollars and open their own sim. No problem. And if someone couldn't afford the entire sim on their own, they either formed land groups or rented out parcels to pay for sim fees. If there was a time this was not in place, I am totally unacqainted with such and to be honest-- based on the claims I've seen in this thread of times I *am* acquainted with-- I can't really credit 3rd party information as accurate observation of the actual situation (no offense intended).
GOM had no such bad intentions. They were just playing a money game and thought they were offering a service. But in reality, they set up a stock-market model without regulations. History proved what happens in such a situation: the stock market crash of 1929 should have been a very memorable lesson. But rather than learn from that, GOM provided an unregulated tool by which L$-- although a fictitious "monopoly" currency-- gained RL value, and was vastly open to market manipulation. By continuing to promote this tool without inserting the necessary systems to prevent unjust market manipulation, they provided the "gun" by which knowledgeable players could manipulate the market for personal profit. So no, GOM did not directly influence severe market fluxuations. They just provided others with the tools to do so. GOM didn't personally pull the trigger. They just made the attack rifle and gave it to every trigger happy person on the block. To be totally fair, they didn't mean to. They apparently had nothing but good intentions. But the results are established fact.[/QUOTE] The lack of historical knowledge makes this statement wrong. You admit you did not see the rise of GOM during the land boom. If it can rise, how can it be a failure? Also, you seem to not understand the reasons of the 1929 stock market crash. It was not "no regulations" it was over spectulation. People were investing all that they owned in the stock market at 10% margins. Only putting 10% down on a stock, and expecting to sell it to not just make you money, but also to pay off that other 90% of the buying price is a time bomb waiting to happen. This along with all the failing farms from the dust bowl across the plains was causing banks to recall the loans that they had on the market. Soon banks where closing, property was being foreclosed on, and the straw house just fell apart. The market itself returned to a more "normal" level for the time after. The market did not cause the crash, the banks that lent out all the money did. From: Wayfinder Wishbringer And to add the the mess, rather than waiting for LL to establish its trading system and at least letting the market limp along until some form of replacement could be devised... GOM pulls out early, leaving folks like IGE to sell unimpeded at whatever price they want to sell, low-bid on L$ purchases and basically hold the market at their mercy. Sellers can't sell for reasonable amounts, I've seen the L$ as high as $4.45/1000 (depending on what day you visit) and GOMs clients are left in the dust.
I thought you said that GOM was a bad thing for the market, would not having them stop doing what they were doing help the market? You said that the fixed price markets where the way to go, so why now are you bashing GOM for leaving?
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Dnate Mars
Lost
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10-04-2005 16:34
From: Wayfinder Wishbringer The idea that GOM couldn't have possibly survived with LL having its own trading website really to me, doesn't hold water. Now if LL had traded IN-GAME like they announced they were going to.. that might have had a severe effect on GOM (depending on how well LL did their job. Considering the bugs in the rest of the system, GOM would have still had a fighting chance. LOL). But I councelled even in this thread for GOM to hang in their and beat LL at its own game. They didn't. Their choice. Best wishes to them in their new endeavors because they're basically good folk with a great support attitude that seems to be severely missing in SL itself. However, I also think that if GOM were to reopen tomorrow, they STILL might possibly have a chance at still wrestling the market away from LL.  LL is going to intergrate the exchange into the client, they have said that. They are just rushing to get the market open because of GOM closing. GOM closed, not because of anything the market did, but because it was just not working out with them and LL. GOM did not care where the market went, they cared how many trades happened per day. That is how GOM made money; volume, not price.
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Wayfinder Wishbringer
Elf Clan / ElvenMyst
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10-04-2005 16:36
From: someone Also, you seem to not understand the reasons of the 1929 stock market crash. It was not "no regulations" it was over spectulation. Dnate, throughtout this thread we both have tried to respect each other and not insult one another in our statement of fact, so please don't take this wrong. No insult intended. But all through these posts, one consistent factor I've noted from you is only partial examination of a situation and not looking further into the deeper core. This statement is one such. I've spoken with people who LIVED throught the depression (oddly enough, just today in fact, on that very subject). I studied this in economics courses... and it's pretty much agreed across the board that if the FED has existed then as it does now, the depression wouldn't have occurred. Hindsight of course, but them's the facts. [quoteI thought you said that GOM was a bad thing for the market, would not having them stop doing what they were doing help the market? You said that the fixed price markets where the way to go, so why now are you bashing GOM for leaving?[/QUOTE] Not bashing GOM at all for leaving. That's their decision. Their right to make that decision. What I was bashing was their TIMING. Couldn't they have remained in operation a few more days while LL got its system going? Would it have killed them do to so? What about loyalty to existing customers? If their business model was as successful as you claim, what could it have hurt to stay open another week or two while LL worked out the bugs in their system? Or even better yet, be ornery and change their business model and compete with LL on a whole different level... just for the fun of seeing which system is more successful. (of course, doing so DOES take time, a lot of coding and considerable effort, so I can't really blame GOM for not going that route. Understandable).
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Dnate Mars
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10-04-2005 16:42
From: Wayfinder Wishbringer Dnate, throughtout this thread we both have tried to respect each other and not insult one another in our statement of fact, so please don't take this wrong. No insult intended. But all through these posts, one consistent factor I've noted from you is only partial examination of a situation and not looking further into the deeper core. This statement is one such. I've spoken with people who LIVED throught the depression (oddly enough, just today in fact, on that very subject). I studied this in economics courses... and it's pretty much agreed across the board that if the FED has existed then as it does now, the depression wouldn't have occurred. Hindsight of course, but them's the facts. [quoteI thought you said that GOM was a bad thing for the market, would not having them stop doing what they were doing help the market? You said that the fixed price markets where the way to go, so why now are you bashing GOM for leaving? Not bashing GOM at all for leaving. That's their decision. Their right to make that decision. What I was bashing was their TIMING. Couldn't they have remained in operation a few more days while LL got its system going? Would it have killed them do to so? What about loyalty to existing customers? If their business model was as successful as you claim, what could it have hurt to stay open another week or two while LL worked out the bugs in their system? Or even better yet, be ornery and change their business model and compete with LL on a whole different level... just for the fun of seeing which system is more successful. (of course, doing so DOES take time, a lot of coding and considerable effort, so I can't really blame GOM for not going that route. Understandable). Understandable. GOM has bigger plans, that I am sure of. I don't know that timing really had anything to do with it, they knew that LL had a system in the works, and with all the bugs, it was just not worht the time anymore. Once the announcement was made, I don't think longer would have help any. I am not sure what would have changed, or even what changed with them closing, but it really seems not to have effected the market too much.
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Wayfinder Wishbringer
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10-11-2005 13:27
Hiya Dnate! Boy, things have gotten boring since this thread died down. I could of course, mention what a sucky system LindeX is turning out to be... but then, that would open up a whole NEW can o'worms. 
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Dnate Mars
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10-11-2005 13:42
From: Wayfinder Wishbringer Hiya Dnate! Boy, things have gotten boring since this thread died down. I could of course, mention what a sucky system LindeX is turning out to be... but then, that would open up a whole NEW can o'worms.  Why would that happen? I agree, I think that LindeX does suck 
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Wayfinder Wishbringer
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10-11-2005 14:10
From: Dnate Mars Why would that happen? I agree, I think that LindeX does suck  Durn guy, this is an occasion! We agree! Let's break out the 18 year old brandy! LOL
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Buster Peel
Spat the dummy.
Join date: 7 Feb 2005
Posts: 1,242
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10-11-2005 16:27
Don't worry, the drahma shall continue as soon as the inflation trend resumes. And I don't think we have to wait much longer.
Plus, now there's a Lindex Idiot Penalty and a Lindex Lottery.
The Penalty is paid by idiots who enter a high number because they think they will get more US$ money that way.
The Lindex Lottery is where you are lucky enough to buy a split second after the idiot posted for sale.
Buster
p.s. I mean "idiot" in a nice sort of way. You wouldn't have to be an idiot to make that mistake, you might merely be not paying attention. Not everyone who isn't paying attention while entering financial transactions is an idiot. Besides, some people merely have extra large fingers and push multiple numbers at the same time by mistake. Or your cat might walk across the keyboard. Anyway, idiocy is sometimes a temporary condition.
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Ferra Yamabushi
Registered User
Join date: 24 Sep 2005
Posts: 2
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Reversing, not just stalling inflation.
10-12-2005 20:58
You know.. One way inflation might be decreased or reveresed is if the possibility to own land fee was changed to L$ rather then real currancy. It would be a way to pull the growing supply of money away from the people within the game and deflate the amount of L$ in the game itself.
A big problem is that more and more Lindin is being 'printed' but not enough is being recalled. Right now, the only way that Lindin is being 'recalled' is when people upload/download files into and out of the game at $10L a shot. Considering that even free acounts are getting a minimum of $50 a week and pay acounts are getting $500 there is more Linden in the economy every week per account.
I belive that is the major cause of the inflation. If LL would take the price of people's available m2 land out in L$ rather then in US$ then the inflation would reverse itself.
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Simple Chaos
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Join date: 13 Nov 2003
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10-13-2005 05:58
From: Ferra Yamabushi You know.. One way inflation might be decreased or reveresed is if the possibility to own land fee was changed to L$ rather then real currancy.
This has been suggested before and would work to remove L$ from the economy but unfortunately most of the Linden employees prefer to be paid in USD, not L$. Seems their landlords, supermarkets, telephone companies, etc. prefer USD to L$ so they are forced to demand a paycheck in USD. 
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Ferra Yamabushi
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10-13-2005 08:22
Of course this would hit LL in the short term. Aftarwards, after a good deal of the currency died out, people would almost require getting premium accounts, because it is a better deal then buying 2000+ lindin and also spending $x.00 amount on land possibility fees. And this better deal for the players would work out to $15.00 guaranteed income to LL per month for a player that might not pay them anything normally.
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