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Supply Demand model vs the Impatient Idiots Model

Which model most accurately describes the reasons for the decline in the L$?

Supply vs Demand
25 (27.8%)

Impatient Idiots
30 (33.3%)

Currency Bashers on the Forum
9 (10.0%)

Pecan pie is only available in USD
26 (28.9%)

Total votes: 90
Jauani Wu
pancake rabbit
Join date: 7 Apr 2003
Posts: 3,835
06-06-2006 10:01
What model accurately describes the decline of the L$?

This poll is public to help many people decide who to put on ignore for lack of intellectual rigour.
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Jauani Wu
hero of justice
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Mad Wombat
Six Stringz Owner
Join date: 21 Jan 2006
Posts: 373
06-06-2006 10:05
Ok, put me on your ignore list. :)
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crucial Armitage
Clothing Designer
Join date: 30 Aug 2004
Posts: 838
06-06-2006 10:07
very strange indeed seems like some would like to see the market go down by posting to sell at 335 and 336 then selling now at 347 or 348 when there is really only a tiny difference in the amount of us $ they will get. buy placing a sell order at 335 then selling now at 347 or 348.

i would go further and say any one selling on Tuesday unless you "have to " to make tier or are day trading is just selling them selves short.
Jauani Wu
pancake rabbit
Join date: 7 Apr 2003
Posts: 3,835
06-06-2006 10:07
From: Mad Wombat
Ok, put me on your ignore list. :)


i'm putting ingrid on my ignore list first. ;)
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Jauani Wu
hero of justice
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Marcus Moreau
frand
Join date: 25 Dec 2004
Posts: 602
06-06-2006 10:09
This mentioned Pie. I had to vote!

MM
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Marcus Moreau

Disenfranchised island owner...

"This statement is false."
User #121869 or something close
Rasah Tigereye
"Buckaneer American"
Join date: 30 Nov 2003
Posts: 783
06-06-2006 10:16
From: Jauani Wu
What model accurately describes the decline of the L$?

This poll is public to help many people decide who to put on ignore for lack of intellectual rigour.



I think this past weekend's HUGE increase in $L value is a perfect example of how this is DEFINITELY a supply & demand model of economics. The demand greatly increased during the weekend, with more people playing the game and wanting to buy stuff, so a lot more $L was demanded, bought, and its value was brought up.
Rasah Tigereye
"Buckaneer American"
Join date: 30 Nov 2003
Posts: 783
06-06-2006 10:19
From: Jauani Wu
What model accurately describes the decline of the L$?

This poll is public to help many people decide who to put on ignore for lack of intellectual rigour.


I think this past weekend's HUGE increase in $L value is a perfect example of how this is DEFINITELY an impatient idiots model of economics. The vaue of $L greatly increased because there weren't as many people willing to sell right away, knowing that the market will be able to handle them. By being patient and not undercutting others, the value of $L was brought up. Then loosing patience this morning and undercutting each other for stupid $6,000 or so orders, they brought the value back down to where it was before.
Jauani Wu
pancake rabbit
Join date: 7 Apr 2003
Posts: 3,835
06-06-2006 10:23
From: Rasah Tigereye
I think this past weekend's HUGE increase in $L value is a perfect example of how this is DEFINITELY an impatient idiots model of econimics. The vaue of $L greatly increased because there weren't as many people willing to sell right away, nowing that the market will be able to handle them. By being patient and not undercutting others, the value of $L was brought up. Then loosing patience this morning and undercutting each other for stupid $6,000 or so orders, they brought the value back down to where it was before.


undercutting competition for an equivalent product is the best way to make the sale in a free and open market. undercutting improves efficiency and stablizes the exchange rate.
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Jauani Wu
hero of justice
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Duke Scarborough
Degenerate Gambler
Join date: 30 Apr 2006
Posts: 158
Hrmmmmmm
06-06-2006 10:50
Let's see....today is welfare day....and the exchange rate is down...but over the past week it went up, up, down, down, down, down, down.....

Sounds balanced to me - people running out of money just in time for next week's paycheck.....
Jauani Wu
pancake rabbit
Join date: 7 Apr 2003
Posts: 3,835
06-06-2006 20:31
so i guess those who support the "impatient idiot" theory must be buying up L$ like no tomorrow since clearly it will rebound for huge profits!

unless of course the real problem is that everyone is lined up at the Lindex Sell Station to cash out their surplus of L$ and just can't compete with the bargain prices.

Looking at the market, it looks like the Line up on the Sell side is really crowded and the Buyers are lonely....
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Jauani Wu
hero of justice
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mcgeeb Gupte
Jolie Femme @}-,-'-,---
Join date: 17 Sep 2005
Posts: 1,152
06-06-2006 20:44
Well after today I would say Impatient Morons because it started off at 320 early in the morning and then the impatient ones came on and sold it up to 336 or so. Now they lost out because its down to 328.
Jauani Wu
pancake rabbit
Join date: 7 Apr 2003
Posts: 3,835
06-06-2006 21:14
From: mcgeeb Gupte
Well after today I would say Impatient Morons because it started off at 320 early in the morning and then the impatient ones came on and sold it up to 336 or so. Now they lost out because its down to 328.


you know it's a good thing for a lot of us here that the majority of SL players don't visit the forum. then the forums would be decrying the impatient morons who bought there L$ too low and ruined it for everyone else.

i figured it out though. there is an energy crisis. people are selling L$ to buy USD to buy CAD to buy uranium and oil. it has nothing to do with supply demand and everything to do with impatient morons buying energy on the foreign market.
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Jauani Wu
hero of justice
__________________________________________________
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Nolan Nash
Frischer Frosch
Join date: 15 May 2003
Posts: 7,141
06-06-2006 22:37
Mostly number one with a little number two.

Phewwww! Someone forgot to flush!
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Svar Beckersted
Registered User
Join date: 14 Apr 2006
Posts: 783
06-06-2006 23:29
Ok, here is another lesson in patience. Lets take today's action on the LindeX as a starting point. You want to sell L$2,000,000 in the LindeX at L$320/1 and you are next in the queue to sell at that rate. Before your first sale someone jumps in and posts an offer at L$321/1. All the screaming I hear is about people out bidding each other to be the first to sell. You as the patient seller want all that volatility and here is why. If the USD volume is going to be $30,000 that day and there are going to be 8,000,000 new L$ posted, you don't want all 8,000,000 posted at L$321/1 because that would take out $24,922 and leave you with $5,078. No, you want that 8,000,000 posted at an average of say L$330/1 and take out $24,242 leaving you with $5,758. That is almost $700 more for you. You still haven't sold all 2,000,000 L$ but you sold a lot more that you would have if nobody panicked. Panic is good.