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L$/USD chart - disregard |
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Ricky Zamboni
Private citizen
Join date: 4 Jun 2004
Posts: 1,080
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05-26-2006 09:19
once again, I'm sorry for this...
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Jana Fleming
SL Resident
![]() Join date: 25 Oct 2004
Posts: 319
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05-26-2006 10:29
There ya go, all moved with your attachments intact (at least on my screen lol).
Jana |
ReserveBank Division
Senior Member
Join date: 16 Jan 2006
Posts: 1,408
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05-26-2006 10:32
Now that is a sexy chart....
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Bloop Cork
This space for sale.
Join date: 27 Apr 2006
Posts: 277
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05-26-2006 10:33
Boy, I wish that was the chart for Apple Computer.
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ReserveBank Division
Senior Member
Join date: 16 Jan 2006
Posts: 1,408
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05-26-2006 10:41
Boy, I wish that was the chart for Apple Computer. Its looking more like the chart for Pets.Com during the .Com Bust. Although its inverted and higher numbers means lower valuation. Ahhh the days of L$170 was a glorious time.... _____________________
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Rasah Tigereye
"Buckaneer American"
![]() Join date: 30 Nov 2003
Posts: 783
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05-26-2006 10:49
Its looking more like the chart for Pets.Com during the .Com Bust. Although its inverted and higher numbers means lower valuation. Ahhh the days of L$170 was a glorious time.... Wonder how many avatars jumped out of their prim building windows in November of 2004 ![]() |
StoneSelf Karuna
His Grace
Join date: 13 Jun 2004
Posts: 1,955
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05-27-2006 08:39
I've just recalibrated my model using the most recent set of data. I now predict exchange rates of: May 31: L$352 +/- L$12 (95% C.I.) June 7: L$355 +/- L$16 (95% C.I.) June 30: L$361 +/- L$27 (95% C.I.) _____________________
AIDS IS NOT OVER. people are still getting aids. people are still living with aids. people are still dying from aids. please help me raise money for hiv/aids services and research. you can help by making a donation here: http://www.aidslifecycle.org/1409 .
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Ricky Zamboni
Private citizen
Join date: 4 Jun 2004
Posts: 1,080
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05-31-2006 13:12
(just transferring data to this thread) Just checked my model. I had mis-transferred a date in one function. The predicted rates should be: May 31: L$337 +/- L$4 June 7: L$338 +/- L$12 June 30: L$344 +/- L$24 August 31: L$360 +/- L$43 All at the 95% confidence level |
Svar Beckersted
Registered User
Join date: 14 Apr 2006
Posts: 783
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05-31-2006 13:25
Ricky are those predictions bases on the average rate from LindeX Market Data or the highest selling exchange rate from the limit sell orders which currently stands at L$333/1?
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Ricky Zamboni
Private citizen
Join date: 4 Jun 2004
Posts: 1,080
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05-31-2006 13:31
Predictions are based on a calibration to average rates.
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Svar Beckersted
Registered User
Join date: 14 Apr 2006
Posts: 783
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05-31-2006 13:36
Is your number currently L$337/1 because the LindeX number is currently L$337.61/1?
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Ricky Zamboni
Private citizen
Join date: 4 Jun 2004
Posts: 1,080
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05-31-2006 13:39
Is your number currently L$337/1 because the LindeX number is currently L$337.61/1? Nope. Although the model is projecting based off yesterday's average rate, so it's not really surprising the 1-day predicted rate would match the market quite well... |
Svar Beckersted
Registered User
Join date: 14 Apr 2006
Posts: 783
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05-31-2006 13:43
Thanks, if you model holds the end of the month will be interesting. I see a big increase in the peak number of residents every Tuesday form both the Monday and Wednesday numbers and think people have been opening alt accounts to buy L$ at L$361/1.
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2ndLife Commerce
Member
Join date: 26 May 2006
Posts: 38
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05-31-2006 13:44
watching the l$ drop is like remembering the 1987 stock crash.
everybody was a seller and nobody was a buyer... |
Svar Beckersted
Registered User
Join date: 14 Apr 2006
Posts: 783
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05-31-2006 13:45
I never sold and by August 1988 it was back over 2700.
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Red Mars
What?
![]() Join date: 5 Feb 2004
Posts: 469
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05-31-2006 15:04
watching the l$ drop is like remembering the 1987 stock crash. everybody was a seller and nobody was a buyer... Wait, you're saying no one is buying $L? I for one enjoy the better (lower) rate because I get more $L for my $. Since it's cheaper to buy, I spend more, so as a consumer I see it as a good thing. I wind up buying a LOT more crap from a LOT more merchants than I would otherwise. I might decide to buy a few new shirts and I wind up buying a whole wardrobe worth instead of maybe 2 or 3. Right now for instance, if I see a good looking boat for $L1000 I'll say "Sure, why not?" If on the other hand all merchants raised their price and the boat was now $L5000, or if $L went back the other way to 170 per someone was reminiscing about, no way in hell would I buy that boat. No way in hell. You wanna-be money barons should think about that one next time you post about ending the stripend or other such nonsense. |
StoneSelf Karuna
His Grace
Join date: 13 Jun 2004
Posts: 1,955
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06-02-2006 07:03
Although the model is projecting based off yesterday's average rate, so it's not really surprising the 1-day predicted rate would match the market quite well... _____________________
AIDS IS NOT OVER. people are still getting aids. people are still living with aids. people are still dying from aids. please help me raise money for hiv/aids services and research. you can help by making a donation here: http://www.aidslifecycle.org/1409 .
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