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GT Economic Forecast

Gigs Taggart
The Invisible Hand
Join date: 12 Feb 2006
Posts: 406
07-24-2006 16:54
As part of the expanded line of GT financial information services, we are going to start providing short weekly economic forecasts. I'll post a couple on the forum, but eventually these forecasts will be broadcast through the upcoming GT EconoHUD which will feature live streaming quotes, tools, and alerts.


Economics forecast for the week of July 24, 2006.

The Linden is weaker in trading this week, possibly spurred by the recent outages. Buy/Sell Ratios are showing no near term turnaround likely, and weaker trading is expected to continue at least through Friday.

Long term prospects remain good for the Linden as the impact of LL supply-side cuts start to take effect over the next few months.
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ReserveBank Division
Senior Member
Join date: 16 Jan 2006
Posts: 1,408
07-24-2006 18:40
From: Gigs Taggart


Long term prospects remain good for the Linden as the impact of LL supply-side cuts start to take effect over the next few months.



Hahahahaha.... I'll believe it when I see it.. Until then, long term outlooks are bleak... The linden dollar is already retreating from it highs around L$297 after the short lived rally. Down 10/basis points in a week and falling.
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Shaun Altman
Fund Manager
Join date: 11 Dec 2004
Posts: 1,011
07-25-2006 03:29
From: Gigs Taggart
As part of the expanded line of GT financial information services, we are going to start providing short weekly economic forecasts. I'll post a couple on the forum, but eventually these forecasts will be broadcast through the upcoming GT EconoHUD which will feature live streaming quotes, tools, and alerts.


Economics forecast for the week of July 24, 2006.

The Linden is weaker in trading this week, possibly spurred by the recent outages. Buy/Sell Ratios are showing no near term turnaround likely, and weaker trading is expected to continue at least through Friday.

Long term prospects remain good for the Linden as the impact of LL supply-side cuts start to take effect over the next few months.


What a wonderfully well rounded outlook. :)
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Regards,
Shaun Altman
Fund Manager
Metaverse Investment Fund
Doubledown Tandino
ADULT on the Mainland!
Join date: 9 Mar 2006
Posts: 1,020
07-25-2006 03:39
I dig it, thanks for the info. I can't wait to get my ticker hud. Does GF plan on opening an SL stock market? Its completely idealistic in a world with no laws, but hey, it'd be cool.

-----

And why hasn't anyone noticed LL can change the value to whatever the hell they want. When it hits $350 they bring it to $300, then it slowly rises to $350 again... there's my outlook.
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http://djdoubledown.blogspot.com
Gigs Taggart
The Invisible Hand
Join date: 12 Feb 2006
Posts: 406
07-25-2006 10:24
From: Doubledown Tandino
I dig it, thanks for the info. I can't wait to get my ticker hud. Does GF plan on opening an SL stock market? Its completely idealistic in a world with no laws, but hey, it'd be cool.


Heh, I'll assume you weren't being sarcastic. I think it would be possible to sell certain types of options, like covered calls and other secured options. Without the leverage of margin the attractiveness of the investment is lessened but as you pointed out, without more enforcability, margin trading would be dangerous.


From: someone
And why hasn't anyone noticed LL can change the value to whatever the hell they want. When it hits $350 they bring it to $300, then it slowly rises to $350 again... there's my outlook.


Indeed. They've said they'll try not to affect the rate too much for now at least. It's a dangerous game if they did sell hard against the market, and their goal is to reduce volitility. Pushing too hard against where the market wants to go is going to likely cause higher long term volitility, especially since they only have said they will sell and not buy at this point. They could peg the rate completely to within a tight range if they both sold and bought, but they could absorb large losses if the linden weakens considerably and they were setting hard price limits.
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Svar Beckersted
Registered User
Join date: 14 Apr 2006
Posts: 783
07-25-2006 12:55
From: Gigs Taggart

Indeed. They've said they'll try not to affect the rate too much for now at least. It's a dangerous game if they did sell hard against the market, and their goal is to reduce volitility. Pushing too hard against where the market wants to go is going to likely cause higher long term volitility, especially since they only have said they will sell and not buy at this point. They could peg the rate completely to within a tight range if they both sold and bought, but they could absorb large losses if the linden weakens considerably and they were setting hard price limits.


Svar Beckersted
Registered User

LL LindeX trading
How will the LL LindeX trades be identified? I thought I saw something about the average trader being able to see which limit sell offers were from LL versus everybody else.


Torley Linden
Watermelinden


Perhaps you're referring to what you read in the Economic Town Hall with Lawrence Linden chat log, Svar?

/3/93/121623/1.html

In any case, I'll check with Lawrence!

Lawrence Linden
Linden Lab Developer

There will be a "L$ Sources" row on https://secondlife.com/currency/economy.php when Supply Linden starts trading. The limit sell orders aren't called out on the LindeX pages... but if there's enough interest we can find a way to provide more information.

Cheers,
Lawrence

Lawrence Linden
Linden Lab Developer

Let me add that we haven't posted any limit sell orders yet... we're currently waiting on that web page update before we proceed.

Cheers,
Lawrence