Second Life Forums Archive - What will the future bring?

Eggy Lippmann

Wiktator

Join date: 1 May 2003

Posts: 7,939

06-17-2004 09:13

A lot of people, namely Kurzweil greatly overestimate the ability for technology to evolve. IMHO all exponential growth is unsustainable, and there will soon be a point where technological growth will no longer be exponential, so most of what the dreamers of today are imagining will never come to fruition, for reasons we will have to discover the hard way.
My vision for the future is that things wont really change that much except we will be a little smarter, healthier, wealthier and with one heck of a lot of cool new toys

What's yours?

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Devlin Gallant

Thought Police

Join date: 18 Jun 2003

Posts: 5,948

What will the future bring?

06-17-2004 09:32

The future will bring...tomorrow.

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I LIKE children, I've just never been able to finish a whole one.

Siobhan Taylor

Nemesis

Join date: 13 Aug 2003

Posts: 5,476

06-17-2004 09:49

The future will bring ...

bugfixes...
new features ...

... and ...

HAVOK II

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http://siobhantaylor.wordpress.com/

Ryen Jade

This is a takeover!

Join date: 21 Jun 2003

Posts: 1,329

06-17-2004 10:47

Second coming of jesus, nuff said.

_____________________

From: Korg Stygian

Between you, Ryen the twerp and Ardith, there's little to change my opinion here.. rather you have reinforced it each in your own ways

IM A TWERP, IM A TWERP!

Whats a twerp?

Cybin Monde

Resident Moderator (?)

Join date: 27 Jan 2004

Posts: 2,468

perhaps..

06-17-2004 14:52

vending machines with display banner-monitors that will react per individual taste when swiping one of our new handy-dandy all-in-one personal-cards(like a credit card on steroids.. with an rfc-chip that interacts with your comp).

hmm.. what else..

hard drives that can hold more than a Terrabyte will be commonplace..

*thinking*

eventually, experiences like SecondLife will become so life-like it will be scary to some (enthralling to us).. the ability to feel truly immersed in a virtual world will leave some questioning the term 'virtual'.

let's see...

oh, and genetically altered fruits and vegetables will take a turn when they start to be developed for niche markets. for example, fruits/vegetables created to mirror those in Star Trek.

..k, i'll stop for now.

_____________________

"We, as developers, are doing the easy part – building the scaffolding for a new world. You, as the engines of creation, must breathe life into it."
- Philip Linden

"There is no life I know to compare with pure imagination. Living there, you'll be free if you truly wish to be."
- Willy Wonka (circa 1971)

SecondSpace (http://groups.myspace.com/secondspace) : MySpace group for SLers.

Darwin Appleby

I Was Beaten With Satan

Join date: 14 Mar 2003

Posts: 2,779

06-17-2004 15:49

Smarter? Nope. Healthier? I suspect less fast foods, but that's it (think of it like smoking. People will be heckled publically for it like smokers are, something not socially appropriate now, but 'tis just a matter of time...). Wealthier? Whoever makes us the "heck of a lotta cool toys" will be

Other than that, I'm pretty sure we'll have photonic computing by the early 30s, and maybe quantom computing by the 40s.

_____________________

Touche.

Azelda Garcia

Join date: 3 Nov 2003

Posts: 819

06-17-2004 17:28

From experience, I've learnt that what Eggy says is generally accurate, though it's often what I don't want to hear at the time.

I'd like to believe in exponential growth continuing for a while, but even if it does I'll be dead before anything *really* exciting happens (ie effective machine intelligence).

Azelda

Devlin Gallant

Thought Police

Join date: 18 Jun 2003

Posts: 5,948

06-17-2004 22:52

Heck, the world is gonna end in 2012 anyway. Both Mulder and the Mayans said so.

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I LIKE children, I've just never been able to finish a whole one.

Ryen Jade

This is a takeover!

Join date: 21 Jun 2003

Posts: 1,329

06-17-2004 22:53

Lets give a round of applause to world war terminus.

_____________________

From: Korg Stygian

Between you, Ryen the twerp and Ardith, there's little to change my opinion here.. rather you have reinforced it each in your own ways

IM A TWERP, IM A TWERP!

Whats a twerp?

Janann Statosky

Registered User

Join date: 8 Jun 2004

Posts: 8

06-17-2004 23:09

People overestimate technological advancement in the short term, but on the other hand underestimate it in the long term run.

So after ten years we are not smarter, maybe little wealthier, SL would look much better though and we are slightly healthier I hope. But after 1000 years we are probably so much more advanced in everything than we can ever imagine.

-Janann Statosky

Garoad Kuroda

Prophet of Muppetry

Join date: 5 Sep 2003

Posts: 2,989

06-18-2004 00:12

What year did John Titor say it would "semi-end"?

But Eggy's probably right. Actually--he HAS to be right. The question is, at what point are things going to slow down?

_____________________

BTW

WTF is C3PO supposed to be USEFUL for anyway, besides whining? Stupid piece of scrap metal would be more useful recycled as a toaster. But even that would suck, because who would want to listen to a whining wussy toaster? Is he gold plated? If that's the case he should just be melted down into gold ingots. Help the economy some, and stop being so damn useless you stupid bucket of bolts! R2 is 1,000 times more useful than your tin man ass, and he's shaped like a salt and pepper shaker FFS!

Rose Karuna

Lizard Doctor

Join date: 5 Jun 2004

Posts: 3,772

How will the future look?

06-21-2004 08:58

Unfortunately, I think that technology today will lead to the utter and total lack of personal privacy and personal control over ones life.

I am so seriously freaked by the recent laws that have been passed coupled with the technological capability to follow them through with enforcment - that I've been contemplating purchasing a piece of land in the Yukon.

Privacy invasion by seemingly inane advances have gotten completely out of hand. Corporations and Government can track every purchase someone makes, right down to a bottle of asprin. The government can demand DNA in certain circumstances, even if a person is innocent of any wrong doing, same for the FBI snooping though a persons house without their knowledge.

With the event of "on star", they can even track where you go if they want to. Not to mention the inboard computer in the car, where they can tell how well you drove to get there.

Oh well, the Yukon looks better and better as I write this, wonder if they have an internet connection?

What will the future bring?
Eggy Lippmann Wiktator Join date: 1 May 2003 Posts: 7,939	06-17-2004 09:13 A lot of people, namely Kurzweil greatly overestimate the ability for technology to evolve. IMHO all exponential growth is unsustainable, and there will soon be a point where technological growth will no longer be exponential, so most of what the dreamers of today are imagining will never come to fruition, for reasons we will have to discover the hard way. My vision for the future is that things wont really change that much except we will be a little smarter, healthier, wealthier and with one heck of a lot of cool new toys What's yours? _____________________ Help us document Second Life history at http://slhistory.org!
Devlin Gallant Thought Police Join date: 18 Jun 2003 Posts: 5,948	What will the future bring? 06-17-2004 09:32 The future will bring...tomorrow. _____________________ I LIKE children, I've just never been able to finish a whole one.
Siobhan Taylor Nemesis Join date: 13 Aug 2003 Posts: 5,476	06-17-2004 09:49 The future will bring ... bugfixes... new features ... ... and ... HAVOK II _____________________ http://siobhantaylor.wordpress.com/
Ryen Jade This is a takeover! Join date: 21 Jun 2003 Posts: 1,329	06-17-2004 10:47 Second coming of jesus, nuff said. _____________________ From: Korg Stygian Between you, Ryen the twerp and Ardith, there's little to change my opinion here.. rather you have reinforced it each in your own ways IM A TWERP, IM A TWERP! Whats a twerp?
Cybin Monde Resident Moderator (?) Join date: 27 Jan 2004 Posts: 2,468	perhaps.. 06-17-2004 14:52 vending machines with display banner-monitors that will react per individual taste when swiping one of our new handy-dandy all-in-one personal-cards(like a credit card on steroids.. with an rfc-chip that interacts with your comp). hmm.. what else.. hard drives that can hold more than a Terrabyte will be commonplace.. thinking eventually, experiences like SecondLife will become so life-like it will be scary to some (enthralling to us).. the ability to feel truly immersed in a virtual world will leave some questioning the term 'virtual'. let's see... oh, and genetically altered fruits and vegetables will take a turn when they start to be developed for niche markets. for example, fruits/vegetables created to mirror those in Star Trek. ..k, i'll stop for now. _____________________ "We, as developers, are doing the easy part – building the scaffolding for a new world. You, as the engines of creation, must breathe life into it." - Philip Linden "There is no life I know to compare with pure imagination. Living there, you'll be free if you truly wish to be." - Willy Wonka (circa 1971) SecondSpace (http://groups.myspace.com/secondspace) : MySpace group for SLers.
Darwin Appleby I Was Beaten With Satan Join date: 14 Mar 2003 Posts: 2,779	06-17-2004 15:49 Smarter? Nope. Healthier? I suspect less fast foods, but that's it (think of it like smoking. People will be heckled publically for it like smokers are, something not socially appropriate now, but 'tis just a matter of time...). Wealthier? Whoever makes us the "heck of a lotta cool toys" will be Other than that, I'm pretty sure we'll have photonic computing by the early 30s, and maybe quantom computing by the 40s. _____________________ Touche.
Azelda Garcia Azelda Garcia Join date: 3 Nov 2003 Posts: 819	06-17-2004 17:28 From experience, I've learnt that what Eggy says is generally accurate, though it's often what I don't want to hear at the time. I'd like to believe in exponential growth continuing for a while, but even if it does I'll be dead before anything really exciting happens (ie effective machine intelligence). Azelda
Devlin Gallant Thought Police Join date: 18 Jun 2003 Posts: 5,948	06-17-2004 22:52 Heck, the world is gonna end in 2012 anyway. Both Mulder and the Mayans said so. _____________________ I LIKE children, I've just never been able to finish a whole one.
Ryen Jade This is a takeover! Join date: 21 Jun 2003 Posts: 1,329	06-17-2004 22:53 Lets give a round of applause to world war terminus. _____________________ From: Korg Stygian Between you, Ryen the twerp and Ardith, there's little to change my opinion here.. rather you have reinforced it each in your own ways IM A TWERP, IM A TWERP! Whats a twerp?
Janann Statosky Registered User Join date: 8 Jun 2004 Posts: 8	06-17-2004 23:09 People overestimate technological advancement in the short term, but on the other hand underestimate it in the long term run. So after ten years we are not smarter, maybe little wealthier, SL would look much better though and we are slightly healthier I hope. But after 1000 years we are probably so much more advanced in everything than we can ever imagine. -Janann Statosky
Garoad Kuroda Prophet of Muppetry Join date: 5 Sep 2003 Posts: 2,989	06-18-2004 00:12 What year did John Titor say it would "semi-end"? But Eggy's probably right. Actually--he HAS to be right. The question is, at what point are things going to slow down? _____________________ BTW WTF is C3PO supposed to be USEFUL for anyway, besides whining? Stupid piece of scrap metal would be more useful recycled as a toaster. But even that would suck, because who would want to listen to a whining wussy toaster? Is he gold plated? If that's the case he should just be melted down into gold ingots. Help the economy some, and stop being so damn useless you stupid bucket of bolts! R2 is 1,000 times more useful than your tin man ass, and he's shaped like a salt and pepper shaker FFS!
Rose Karuna Lizard Doctor Join date: 5 Jun 2004 Posts: 3,772	How will the future look? 06-21-2004 08:58 Unfortunately, I think that technology today will lead to the utter and total lack of personal privacy and personal control over ones life. I am so seriously freaked by the recent laws that have been passed coupled with the technological capability to follow them through with enforcment - that I've been contemplating purchasing a piece of land in the Yukon. Privacy invasion by seemingly inane advances have gotten completely out of hand. Corporations and Government can track every purchase someone makes, right down to a bottle of asprin. The government can demand DNA in certain circumstances, even if a person is innocent of any wrong doing, same for the FBI snooping though a persons house without their knowledge. With the event of "on star", they can even track where you go if they want to. Not to mention the inboard computer in the car, where they can tell how well you drove to get there. Oh well, the Yukon looks better and better as I write this, wonder if they have an internet connection?

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What will the future bring?