These results are from an Ohio University poll. Interesting numbers.
MOE +/- 3%
Poll 1 - Kerry 50 / Bush 44
Poll 2 - Kerry 50 / Bush 45
Poll 3 - Kerry 47 / Bush 48
1022 people were interviewed by telephone.
Poll 1 - Asked respondents if they were over 18 years of age and a resident of the US. Who would you vote for?
Poll 2 - Asked the respondent if they were registered to vote. 15% were not and removed from the data.
Poll 3 - They then asked the respondents "Are you certain or almost certain to vote?" This data also only applies to the 85% of respondent who identified as registered voters.
What does this mean? Well for me it means it is a statistical dead heat. It also means that whoever gets the most voters to the polls wins. Kerry seems to have a good chance with a high voter turnout, but historically Republicans are more reliable voters.