Lindex L$ Volume is Up - will it go back down or here to stay?
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Iron Perth
Registered User
Join date: 9 Mar 2005
Posts: 802
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11-05-2007 14:05
I see the Lindex as the real barometer of the economy.
So I am interested in what everyone thinks about the recent jump in volume - is this a temporary bump from the CSI folks coming in or do you think we're starting to finally see permanent growth in the economy?
Make some predictions over the next few weeks and we can revisit to see who's right and who isn't.
My guess is this is a temporary bump, but maybe with Christmas coming perhaps we've reached a new plateau.
Cheers,
Iron.
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poopmaster Oh
The Best Person On Earth
Join date: 9 Mar 2007
Posts: 917
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11-05-2007 14:15
i predict we will each make a million lindens in the next 7 days
but the exchange rate will fall to 2,000,000 : 1
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Lindal Kidd
Dances With Noobs
Join date: 26 Jun 2007
Posts: 8,371
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11-06-2007 09:58
From: Iron Perth I see the Lindex as the real barometer of the economy.
So I am interested in what everyone thinks about the recent jump in volume - is this a temporary bump from the CSI folks coming in or do you think we're starting to finally see permanent growth in the economy?
Make some predictions over the next few weeks and we can revisit to see who's right and who isn't.
My guess is this is a temporary bump, but maybe with Christmas coming perhaps we've reached a new plateau.
Cheers,
Iron. I'm not in business in SL, and I don't keep track the way someone like Desmond does, but it seems to me the increase is permanent, associated with the simultaneous growth in registered accounts.
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Okiphia Rayna
DemonEye Benefactor
Join date: 22 Sep 2007
Posts: 2,103
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11-06-2007 09:59
From: poopmaster Oh i predict we will each make a million lindens in the next 7 days
but the exchange rate will fall to 2,000,000 : 1 I think I might've bought that in the last seven days XD
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Chris Norse
Loud Arrogant Redneck
Join date: 1 Oct 2006
Posts: 5,735
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11-06-2007 10:14
The start of cold weather in the Northern Hemisphere would be my guess. More time inside, more time on the computer, more $L spent.
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Xplorer Cannoli
Cache Cleaner
Join date: 18 Sep 2005
Posts: 1,131
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11-06-2007 11:25
From: Okiphia Rayna I think I might've bought that in the last seven days XD so...where have you been all my life 
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Okiphia Rayna
DemonEye Benefactor
Join date: 22 Sep 2007
Posts: 2,103
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11-06-2007 11:33
From: Okiphia Rayna I think I might've bought that in the last seven days XD aww nope.. not even 100k in the last 45 =(
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Rhaorth Antonelli
Registered User
Join date: 15 Apr 2006
Posts: 7,425
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11-06-2007 14:19
hijacks the thread iron please check your inventory for a notecard from me those 2 games I purchased are still giving me problems and not working properly  Thanks *releases thread*
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Desmond Shang
Guvnah of Caledon
Join date: 14 Mar 2005
Posts: 5,250
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11-06-2007 17:23
The daylight savings change just kicked in for many residents with money to spend - and it's cold - expect to see more people on computers in the evening.
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I would disagree that the LindeX is a barometer of the economy though.
It has been openly declared to be the 'fine trim' mechanism which means that the Company will throttle $L sales through it, balancing all sorts of things like money supply and the printing of new land.
For instance, if a lot of regions were dumped (or restricted) from the market, we would see repercussions on the LindeX.
One other particularly strange thing - it used to be that $L orders for sale on the LindeX sold sequentially, or very close to. Not any more. It's sort of a blended thing now, where if you offer $L for sale some of it will go near right away, some will go later, other $L sales will intermingle with your own.
I have no hard evidence, but I suspect the Company's own $L sales are also intermingled in this way. Making the LindeX very subject to perturbations.
It's sort of like watching the tailwing trim flaps on a plane. Price and volume may go up and down, but it may not alway be in synchrony with the overall direction or altitude of a large jet.
My prediction: no LindeX prediction possible due to other factors being so huge.
Watch concurrency numbers, regions auctioned, new signups, and last of all, the LindeX. Aggregate all that data for a total picture.
Heavy activity might coincide with enhanced $L sales direct from the Company, then again it may not if they know about other internal factors (region shortages vs oversupply, signup issues &c) in advance.
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