Second Life Forums Archive - Did You Get Last Year's SL Predictions Right?

Amity Slade

Registered User

Join date: 14 Feb 2007

Posts: 2,183

12-31-2009 11:01

At the beginning of this year, there was a thread that invited us to make predictions about what would happen in 2009. The thread is here:

/327/bc/306527/1.html

So, if you posted your predictions to that thread, did you get them right?

I predicted that:

"The shoddy way in which Linden Lab operates Second Life as a place for Second Life businesses will finally screw the wrong person for the right amount of money, triggering a nightmare year in litigation for the Linden Lab legal department."

The only major litigation currently running of which I know is Stroker's lawsuit against Linden Lab. It does look like that lawuit poses a significant threat to business as usual for Linden Lab. I don't know enough about it though to know whether it constitutes a "nightmare" at this point. Still, I will say that I got the prediciton right. It's close enough by Nostradamus standards.

Qie Niangao

Coin-operated

Join date: 24 May 2006

Posts: 7,138

12-31-2009 11:11

Okay, that was embarrassing. Evidently I suck at prophecy.

In my defence: Many of the features I and others predicted would be here now, were it not for the "Viewer 2009" / SL 2.0 resource vortex.

Too bad about that 100K concurrency thing, though.

It seemed a sure bet, too, back then.

Argent Stonecutter

Emergency Mustelid

Join date: 20 Sep 2005

Posts: 20,263

12-31-2009 11:31

Unfortunately, I did pretty well:

From: Yours Truly

No shadows, no flexi-sculpties, no animated sculpties, no improvement in the Windlight water, no improvements in the avatar or clothing layers, and no portals or llTeleportAgent... instead we'll have 5 new ways to teleport by opening your chat window and clicking on a link.

At least one prediction was good, though:

From: Yours Truly

I predict that pie will remain popular on the forums.

My final comment, luckily, was just as unreliable as I'd hoped:

From: Yours Truly

Yahoo buys Linden Labs, and creates a Yahoo Widget version of Ajax Life.

_____________________

Argent Stonecutter - http://globalcausalityviolation.blogspot.com/

"And now I'm going to show you something really cool."

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Coonspiracy Store - http://xrl.us/coonstore

Ceka Cianci

SuperPremiumExcaliburAcc#

Join date: 31 Jul 2006

Posts: 4,489

12-31-2009 11:51

wow i was pretty close hahahaha

From: Ceka Cianci

/me turns on her robot voice
i think we will get more people..
i think some things will change..
i think some things will not change..
all in all it will be a different sl.
An SL like we have not known yet.
but yet still the same in so many ways.

_____________________

Free Your Mind
http://www.flickr.com/photos/ceka_cianci/

Void Singer

Int vSelf = Sing(void);

Join date: 24 Sep 2005

Posts: 6,973

12-31-2009 12:04

same prediction as last year....
"LL will tweak a few things and continue to ignore larger problems, nobody will be very happy with this, but things will continue pretty much status quo"

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Desmond Shang

Guvnah of Caledon

Join date: 14 Mar 2005

Posts: 5,250

12-31-2009 12:17

I'm too busy trying to *be* a prediction, to offer any...

grin

_____________________

Steampunk Victorian, Well-Mannered Caledon!

Lexxi Gynoid

#'s 86000, 97800

Join date: 6 Aug 2007

Posts: 3,732

12-31-2009 12:31

I can't play. I predicted nothing. I don't mean that I predicted that nothing would happen, but that I did not participate in that thread.

_____________________

Her Royal Highness Buttercup Meow the XXI

Ciaran Laval

Mostly Harmless

Join date: 11 Mar 2007

Posts: 7,951

12-31-2009 13:16

FFS! I used a cheat and was still wrong! I have to bow down to the superiority of Viktoria Dovgal

From: Ciaran Laval

Xstreet ATM's will be discontinued and the money will just go to or from your L$ balance.

From: Viktoria Dovgal

Now this one's a trick. LL already announced that this is going to happen, which means it will take two or three years

Ciaran Laval

Mostly Harmless

Join date: 11 Mar 2007

Posts: 7,951

12-31-2009 13:28

Wrong thread, nothing to see here!

Marianne McCann

Feted Inner Child

Join date: 23 Feb 2006

Posts: 7,145

12-31-2009 13:53

Lesee, I said...

1. Shadows, maybe later this year.

Half-right, as the code is now in the viewer -- but it does not work for all.

2. Ditto for mesh import.

Well, it did end up shown at SLCC and presumably is in the works. But no point for me.

3. Sculptie flexis before that.

Bzzt. No point.

4. Another major land mass before all of those.

Ding ding ding! Nascera, Zindra, and even the blake sea.

5. Some additions to Bay City (if only an infohub).

Ding ding ding! Hau Koda infohub!

6. More unpopular decisions, some popular ones. Life will go on.

That last one was a gimmie.

_____________________

"There's nothing objectionable nor illegal in having a child-like avatar in itself and we must assume innocence until proof of the contrary." - Lewis PR Linden
"If you find children offensive, you're gonna have trouble in this world

" - Prospero Linden

Anya Ristow

Vengeance Studio

Join date: 21 Sep 2006

Posts: 1,243

12-31-2009 14:21

From: someone

A media story about bots and hucksterism. Some creepy pictures and amusing attempts at conversation on TV.

If it happened I missed it. I thought this was a sure thing, because they asked me to participate. I didn't expect that by turning them down (my general policy on RL media) I'd sink their story.

_____________________

The Vengeance Studio Gadget Store is closed!

Rusalka Writer

Registered User

Join date: 12 Jun 2007

Posts: 314

12-31-2009 16:51

I was hoping this would be the year that LL closed the appearance gap between SL and every other video experience out there. I guess I'll hope 2010 is the year. Because SL? She is starting to age ungracefully...

Bree Giffen

♥♣♦♠ Furrtune Hunter ♠♦♣♥

Join date: 22 Jun 2006

Posts: 2,715

12-31-2009 18:11

From: Bree Giffen

My predictions:

1. Action taken by LL against bots.

2. Transparent avatars.

3. Sculpted flexies.

4. Shadows.

5. New forum.

6. Over 100,000 online.

7. More stories of SL in the news. Maybe even... a murder.

8. Teledildonics.

9. 5 more continents.

10. Teens on the main grid.

Well almost all of it was wrong... lol.

Desmond Shang

Guvnah of Caledon

Join date: 14 Mar 2005

Posts: 5,250

12-31-2009 18:51

From: Bree Giffen

Well almost all of it was wrong... lol.

Not really!!!

1. Action taken by LL against bots. TECHNICALLY, YES!

2. Transparent avatars. YES! Just via clear sculpties! See Tensai Hilra, I'm serious!

3. Sculpted flexies. Hmm, okay, not this one.

4. Shadows. YES! If you know how to enable it...

5. New forum. YES (though, it wasn't at all what we hoped for)

6. Over 100,000 online. YES! (just quite a few of them are bots)

7. More stories of SL in the news. Maybe even... a murder. YES, SL was in the news.

8. Teledildonics. YES ~ though this wasn't news, this existed prior

9. 5 more continents. Okay maybe not five.

10. Teens on the main grid. YES (just not officially, they have always been here)

That's 8 out of 10!

_____________________

Steampunk Victorian, Well-Mannered Caledon!

Anya Ristow

Vengeance Studio

Join date: 21 Sep 2006

Posts: 1,243

12-31-2009 19:22

From: Desmond Shang

6. Over 100,000 online. YES! (just quite a few of them are bots)

Nope, never got there. Peaked at about 88K.

_____________________

The Vengeance Studio Gadget Store is closed!

Bree Giffen

♥♣♦♠ Furrtune Hunter ♠♦♣♥

Join date: 22 Jun 2006

Posts: 2,715

12-31-2009 19:36

From: Desmond Shang

Not really!!!

That's 8 out of 10!

Woot! I'm just like Nostradamus!

Johan Laurasia

Fully Rezzed

Join date: 31 Oct 2006

Posts: 1,394

01-01-2010 01:48

From: Amity Slade

Still, I will say that I got the prediciton right. It's close enough by Nostradamus standards.

Considering that Stroker's legal issues regarding Sexgen stem from other litigation that goes all the way back to July of 2007, I hardly think that you can claim amazing powers of foresight.

Did You Get Last Year's SL Predictions Right?
Amity Slade Registered User Join date: 14 Feb 2007 Posts: 2,183	12-31-2009 11:01 At the beginning of this year, there was a thread that invited us to make predictions about what would happen in 2009. The thread is here: /327/bc/306527/1.html So, if you posted your predictions to that thread, did you get them right? I predicted that: "The shoddy way in which Linden Lab operates Second Life as a place for Second Life businesses will finally screw the wrong person for the right amount of money, triggering a nightmare year in litigation for the Linden Lab legal department." The only major litigation currently running of which I know is Stroker's lawsuit against Linden Lab. It does look like that lawuit poses a significant threat to business as usual for Linden Lab. I don't know enough about it though to know whether it constitutes a "nightmare" at this point. Still, I will say that I got the prediciton right. It's close enough by Nostradamus standards.
Qie Niangao Coin-operated Join date: 24 May 2006 Posts: 7,138	12-31-2009 11:11 Okay, that was embarrassing. Evidently I suck at prophecy. In my defence: Many of the features I and others predicted would be here now, were it not for the "Viewer 2009" / SL 2.0 resource vortex. Too bad about that 100K concurrency thing, though. It seemed a sure bet, too, back then.
Argent Stonecutter Emergency Mustelid Join date: 20 Sep 2005 Posts: 20,263	12-31-2009 11:31 Unfortunately, I did pretty well: From: Yours Truly No shadows, no flexi-sculpties, no animated sculpties, no improvement in the Windlight water, no improvements in the avatar or clothing layers, and no portals or llTeleportAgent... instead we'll have 5 new ways to teleport by opening your chat window and clicking on a link. At least one prediction was good, though: From: Yours Truly I predict that pie will remain popular on the forums. My final comment, luckily, was just as unreliable as I'd hoped: From: Yours Truly Yahoo buys Linden Labs, and creates a Yahoo Widget version of Ajax Life. _____________________ Argent Stonecutter - http://globalcausalityviolation.blogspot.com/ "And now I'm going to show you something really cool." Skyhook Station - http://xrl.us/skyhook23 Coonspiracy Store - http://xrl.us/coonstore
Ceka Cianci SuperPremiumExcaliburAcc# Join date: 31 Jul 2006 Posts: 4,489	12-31-2009 11:51 wow i was pretty close hahahaha From: Ceka Cianci /me turns on her robot voice i think we will get more people.. i think some things will change.. i think some things will not change.. all in all it will be a different sl. An SL like we have not known yet. but yet still the same in so many ways. _____________________ Free Your Mind http://www.flickr.com/photos/ceka_cianci/
Void Singer Int vSelf = Sing(void); Join date: 24 Sep 2005 Posts: 6,973	12-31-2009 12:04 same prediction as last year.... "LL will tweak a few things and continue to ignore larger problems, nobody will be very happy with this, but things will continue pretty much status quo" _____________________ \| \| . "Cat-Like Typing Detected" \| . This post may contain errors in logic, spelling, and \| . grammar known to the SL populace to cause confusion \| \| - Please Use PHP tags when posting scripts/code, Thanks. \| - Can't See PHP or URL Tags Correctly? Check Out This Link... \| -
Desmond Shang Guvnah of Caledon Join date: 14 Mar 2005 Posts: 5,250	12-31-2009 12:17 I'm too busy trying to be a prediction, to offer any... grin _____________________ Steampunk Victorian, Well-Mannered Caledon!
Lexxi Gynoid #'s 86000, 97800 Join date: 6 Aug 2007 Posts: 3,732	12-31-2009 12:31 I can't play. I predicted nothing. I don't mean that I predicted that nothing would happen, but that I did not participate in that thread. _____________________ Her Royal Highness Buttercup Meow the XXI
Ciaran Laval Mostly Harmless Join date: 11 Mar 2007 Posts: 7,951	12-31-2009 13:16 FFS! I used a cheat and was still wrong! I have to bow down to the superiority of Viktoria Dovgal From: Ciaran Laval Xstreet ATM's will be discontinued and the money will just go to or from your L$ balance. From: Viktoria Dovgal Now this one's a trick. LL already announced that this is going to happen, which means it will take two or three years
Ciaran Laval Mostly Harmless Join date: 11 Mar 2007 Posts: 7,951	12-31-2009 13:28 Wrong thread, nothing to see here!
Marianne McCann Feted Inner Child Join date: 23 Feb 2006 Posts: 7,145	12-31-2009 13:53 Lesee, I said... 1. Shadows, maybe later this year. Half-right, as the code is now in the viewer -- but it does not work for all. 2. Ditto for mesh import. Well, it did end up shown at SLCC and presumably is in the works. But no point for me. 3. Sculptie flexis before that. Bzzt. No point. 4. Another major land mass before all of those. Ding ding ding! Nascera, Zindra, and even the blake sea. 5. Some additions to Bay City (if only an infohub). Ding ding ding! Hau Koda infohub! 6. More unpopular decisions, some popular ones. Life will go on. That last one was a gimmie. _____________________ "There's nothing objectionable nor illegal in having a child-like avatar in itself and we must assume innocence until proof of the contrary." - Lewis PR Linden "If you find children offensive, you're gonna have trouble in this world " - Prospero Linden
Anya Ristow Vengeance Studio Join date: 21 Sep 2006 Posts: 1,243	12-31-2009 14:21 From: someone A media story about bots and hucksterism. Some creepy pictures and amusing attempts at conversation on TV. If it happened I missed it. I thought this was a sure thing, because they asked me to participate. I didn't expect that by turning them down (my general policy on RL media) I'd sink their story. _____________________ The Vengeance Studio Gadget Store is closed!
Rusalka Writer Registered User Join date: 12 Jun 2007 Posts: 314	12-31-2009 16:51 I was hoping this would be the year that LL closed the appearance gap between SL and every other video experience out there. I guess I'll hope 2010 is the year. Because SL? She is starting to age ungracefully...
Bree Giffen ♥♣♦♠ Furrtune Hunter ♠♦♣♥ Join date: 22 Jun 2006 Posts: 2,715	12-31-2009 18:11 From: Bree Giffen My predictions: 1. Action taken by LL against bots. 2. Transparent avatars. 3. Sculpted flexies. 4. Shadows. 5. New forum. 6. Over 100,000 online. 7. More stories of SL in the news. Maybe even... a murder. 8. Teledildonics. 9. 5 more continents. 10. Teens on the main grid. Well almost all of it was wrong... lol.
Desmond Shang Guvnah of Caledon Join date: 14 Mar 2005 Posts: 5,250	12-31-2009 18:51 From: Bree Giffen Well almost all of it was wrong... lol. Not really!!! 1. Action taken by LL against bots. TECHNICALLY, YES! 2. Transparent avatars. YES! Just via clear sculpties! See Tensai Hilra, I'm serious! 3. Sculpted flexies. Hmm, okay, not this one. 4. Shadows. YES! If you know how to enable it... 5. New forum. YES (though, it wasn't at all what we hoped for) 6. Over 100,000 online. YES! (just quite a few of them are bots) 7. More stories of SL in the news. Maybe even... a murder. YES, SL was in the news. 8. Teledildonics. YES ~ though this wasn't news, this existed prior 9. 5 more continents. Okay maybe not five. 10. Teens on the main grid. YES (just not officially, they have always been here) That's 8 out of 10! _____________________ Steampunk Victorian, Well-Mannered Caledon!
Anya Ristow Vengeance Studio Join date: 21 Sep 2006 Posts: 1,243	12-31-2009 19:22 From: Desmond Shang 6. Over 100,000 online. YES! (just quite a few of them are bots) Nope, never got there. Peaked at about 88K. _____________________ The Vengeance Studio Gadget Store is closed!
Bree Giffen ♥♣♦♠ Furrtune Hunter ♠♦♣♥ Join date: 22 Jun 2006 Posts: 2,715	12-31-2009 19:36 From: Desmond Shang Not really!!! That's 8 out of 10! Woot! I'm just like Nostradamus!
Johan Laurasia Fully Rezzed Join date: 31 Oct 2006 Posts: 1,394	01-01-2010 01:48 From: Amity Slade Still, I will say that I got the prediciton right. It's close enough by Nostradamus standards. Considering that Stroker's legal issues regarding Sexgen stem from other litigation that goes all the way back to July of 2007, I hardly think that you can claim amazing powers of foresight.

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