Welcome to the Second Life Forums Archive

These forums are CLOSED. Please visit the new forums HERE

The Land Glut: How did this happen?

Kaboom Pow
Registered User
Join date: 28 Nov 2005
Posts: 81
01-24-2006 13:39
I'd like to know if someone can fill me in on how so much land has become available all at one time. Is this all about the wholesale land auctions that LL has put on the market over the past few weeks, or is there more to it than that?
Cheyenne Marquez
Registered User
Join date: 19 Sep 2005
Posts: 940
01-24-2006 14:22
That about covers it.

...and though negligible by comparison, the infamous "telehub buy-back offer" has contributed to it as well.
Lewis Nerd
Nerd by name and nature!
Join date: 9 Oct 2005
Posts: 3,431
01-24-2006 15:45
I'd like to know why prices of land hasn't plummeted due to the market being saturated. There's loads of land available - but it's either overpriced, or surrounded by crap builds.

What is it with people that 'half build' something on land then leave it seemingly abandoned?

Lewis
_____________________
Second Life Stratics - your new premier resource for all things Second Life. Free to join, sign up today!

Pocket Protector Projects - Rosieri 90,234,84 - building and landscaping services
Kazanture Aleixandre
Here I am.
Join date: 5 Oct 2005
Posts: 524
01-24-2006 16:05
From: Lewis Nerd
I'd like to know why prices of land hasn't plummeted due to the market being saturated. There's loads of land available - but it's either overpriced, or surrounded by crap builds.

What is it with people that 'half build' something on land then leave it seemingly abandoned?

Lewis


Believe me you wont find lands cheaper than this time. They are not overpriced, when u won an auction u pay near 4.5-5 / sqm for mature-green-flat-no water land. Plus tier till sell and other costs(plusses below.).
Now market prices for mature-green-flat lands are 5 / sqm and believe me many selling at cost. And prices will increase soon, this is the worst times of the year.
Try buying a sim from auction and try selling it u will see they are not overpriced.

Plus L$ has low value atm.
Plus trans. fees while buying the sim.
Plus trans. fees while selling L$.
Edit-> Personally i raised my prices again to L$6000/1024sqm. They will sell soon or later.
Keiki Lemieux
I make HUDDLES
Join date: 8 Jul 2005
Posts: 1,490
01-24-2006 16:08
From: Lewis Nerd
I'd like to know why prices of land hasn't plummeted due to the market being saturated. There's loads of land available - but it's either overpriced, or surrounded by crap builds.

There's more land available for 5L per meter or less than I can remember. I do think land prices are coming down, at least temporarily.
_____________________
imakehuddles.com/wordpress/
Kaboom Pow
Registered User
Join date: 28 Nov 2005
Posts: 81
01-25-2006 13:20
I am certainly no economy expert, but there seems to be an obvious connection between the falling L$ and the land glut. Frankly, I find this "experiment" of auctioning off so much wholesale land in such quick succession to be irresponsible--nearly as irresponsible as the virtually unannounced swtich from telehubs to infohubs.
Schwanson Schlegel
SL's Tokin' Villain
Join date: 15 Nov 2003
Posts: 2,721
01-25-2006 13:29
From: Kaboom Pow
I am certainly no economy expert, but there seems to be an obvious connection between the falling L$ and the land glut. Frankly, I find this "experiment" of auctioning off so much wholesale land in such quick succession to be irresponsible--nearly as irresponsible as the virtually unannounced swtich from telehubs to infohubs.


I am not sure LL is going to have much of a choice but to release land in this manner.
The other option is hiring very expensive, San Francisco based, designers. I venture to guess that option would cost LL $75,000+ per year, per designer.
_____________________
Polka Pinkdot
Potential Slacker
Join date: 4 Jan 2006
Posts: 144
01-25-2006 14:08
I wonder if LL isn't going for the whole sim auction route largely because the L$ has fallen so much. By operating strictly in the US$ realm, they're protecting themselves from the inflation of the L$ (and passing the risk directly on to the auction winners). As an additional side benefit, they don't have to deal with terraforming the land or parceling it out.

The ultimate reason the L$ is falling (IMHO) is that there just isn't a sink (or sinks) strong enough to counter the effect of the $50 and $500 allowances everybody gets, and new real users (not just alts created to farm L$) aren't joining fast enough to increase the economic activity fast enough to compensate.

On the other hand, this shouldn't be a dire problem. The effect should be slow enough that LL has time to correct for it without making drastic changes right now, as some people advocate.
Kaboom Pow
Registered User
Join date: 28 Nov 2005
Posts: 81
01-25-2006 14:14
From: Schwanson Schlegel
I am not sure LL is going to have much of a choice but to release land in this manner.
The other option is hiring very expensive, San Francisco based, designers. I venture to guess that option would cost LL $75,000+ per year, per designer.


Well, we'll see if things turn around. I admit, it didn't occur to me that a dumping a bunch of land on the market would make the economy go south. Naturally, it *is* something I should have considered and I take full responsibility for not anticipating it.

I do not understand what you mean by designers, or how they could serve as an alternative to auctioning off land. I do, however, think that the land auctions could have been meted out over a greater amount of time instead of bang bang bang.
Lewis Nerd
Nerd by name and nature!
Join date: 9 Oct 2005
Posts: 3,431
01-25-2006 14:43
From: Keiki Lemieux
There's more land available for 5L per meter or less than I can remember. I do think land prices are coming down, at least temporarily.


Unfortunately not the land I'm looking for.

Not far from me theres 3 parcels of land which total around 3/4 of a sim.... which are on sale for the total of the equivalent of over $1500 if you convert from the L$ value. Seems odd to me when you could buy a full sim for $1200 and pay the same monthly fee. It's just flat grass, nothing special whatsoever.

I'm waiting for people to actually *really* dump land for good bargain prices out of desperation. 4500 sq m, grass, near road or waterside, fairly flat, PG if possible is what I was looking for - nice neighbours a bonus. I'm just not buying and then paying L$70,000 for it.

It does seem rather unfair that such an important part of the game - land ownership - is dominated by a tiny group of people, yet their influence controls so much of the game. I think LL have made a huge mistake investing so much 'future profit' in letting land barons have a free rein, for things that may never happen, when current and paying users are having their 'freedom of expression' culled far more than today's update, through not being able to afford the land they want. Pay through the nose to buy the land, then pay an extra fee monthly to LL for the privilege of owning it. It's a faulty model, puts too much wealth, power and control in a few people's hands, and generates a situation that should never exist IMHO.

It's a great pity that those of us who just want to have fun, enjoying the game, and basically 'playing nice' aren't allowed to, because of the capitalism that is forced upon us. The choice of either 'put up or quit' is not a situation that I believe is in LL's interests.

Lewis
_____________________
Second Life Stratics - your new premier resource for all things Second Life. Free to join, sign up today!

Pocket Protector Projects - Rosieri 90,234,84 - building and landscaping services
Jon Rolland
Registered User
Join date: 3 Oct 2005
Posts: 705
01-25-2006 19:29
From: Lewis Nerd
Unfortunately not the land I'm looking for.

Not far from me theres 3 parcels of land which total around 3/4 of a sim.... which are on sale for the total of the equivalent of over $1500 if you convert from the L$ value. Seems odd to me when you could buy a full sim for $1200 and pay the same monthly fee. It's just flat grass, nothing special whatsoever.


Ah so because the particlar 3 parcels you want are still expensive "land" is still sky high ROFL!.

From: Lewis Nerd
I'm waiting for people to actually *really* dump land for good bargain prices out of desperation. 4500 sq m, grass, near road or waterside, fairly flat, PG if possible is what I was looking for - nice neighbours a bonus. I'm just not buying and then paying L$70,000 for it.


So you want to be able to easily get a nice plot for less than it's worth? Keep waiting.

From: Lewis Nerd
It does seem rather unfair that such an important part of the game - land ownership - is dominated by a tiny group of people,


really? how many people DO own land?

From: Lewis Nerd
yet their influence controls so much of the game. I think LL have made a huge mistake investing so much 'future profit' in letting land barons have a free rein, for things that may never happen, when current and paying users are having their 'freedom of expression' culled far more than today's update, through not being able to afford the land they want. Pay through the nose to buy the land, then pay an extra fee monthly to LL for the privilege of owning it. It's a faulty model, puts too much wealth, power and control in a few people's hands, and generates a situation that should never exist IMHO.


The day your 'freedom of expression' will pay the bills for LL get back to me. ROFL! Alternatively propose a welfare society that will allow you to use so many resources without paying what they are worth and who we should rob to pay your bill?

From: Lewis Nerd
It's a great pity that those of us who just want to have fun, enjoying the game, and basically 'playing nice' aren't allowed to, because of the capitalism that is forced upon us. The choice of either 'put up or quit' is not a situation that I believe is in LL's interests.

Lewis


read above LL has servers to pay for in a capitalistic RL world that really doesn't care if you play nice or your 'freedom of expression' is cramped by your unwillingness to pay your own way. If you don't like land prices over the larger market recently, not just the 3 plots you want, and can't enjoy your game without land I STRONGLY recommend you go back to TSO.
Fade Languish
I just build stuff...
Join date: 20 Oct 2005
Posts: 1,760
01-25-2006 23:36
From: Lewis Nerd

It does seem rather unfair that such an important part of the game - land ownership - is dominated by a tiny group of people, yet their influence controls so much of the game. I think LL have made a huge mistake investing so much 'future profit' in letting land barons have a free rein, for things that may never happen, when current and paying users are having their 'freedom of expression' culled far more than today's update, through not being able to afford the land they want. Pay through the nose to buy the land, then pay an extra fee monthly to LL for the privilege of owning it. It's a faulty model, puts too much wealth, power and control in a few people's hands, and generates a situation that should never exist IMHO.
Lewis


One more time... basic economics. 'Land Barons' can't dictate to the market simply by setting a high price. The market determines fair value. You really should actually spend some time comparing 'land baron' prices with other land-holder's prices. The 'barons' rely on high turnover, the margins can be quite low. Often outrageous prices are set by non-land barons. The barons tend to price it to sell before the tier kills their margin. About half my sim was bought recently by the biggest 'baron'. The lots are around $5k for 1024m. Hardly extortionate... meanwhile elsewhere in the sim, some non-'land baron' is asking $7200 for a 512m.
Just because someone set a high price, doesn't mean they are going to recieve it. And if they do, that means someone considered it was worth that much to them.
Look in the land sales there are so many 512m lots under $2k right now... and the other day I saw 11,000m for sale for $1L. If I wasn't as tiered up as I can be, I woulda bought it.
One thing. When the time comes to sell your land, are you going to sell it at $1L a metre to 'play nice'? Bet you don't.
Lewis Nerd
Nerd by name and nature!
Join date: 9 Oct 2005
Posts: 3,431
01-25-2006 23:44
I wasn't particularly wanting those 3 big plots not far from me - I don't want that much land - I was just saying for comparison that 3/4 of a region nowhere special costs $300 more than a whole private island.

I was talking about *buying* land.... not owning land - but to own land, you have to buy, and the market is dominated by a few controlling people, who themselves are setting the prices. Individual landowners know that if they don't keep their prices close to the land barons prices, they will just buy the cheap land and set it straight for sale again - just as they do every time they violate the ToS by buying up chunks of first land with alts as soon as they become available, and reselling immediately.

..... and yet again, rather than people actually discussing the issue, I get told "if you don't like it, go back to TSO". I do not understand why so many people here are so damn hostile when people question things that do not make sense. I don't expect anyone to make any changes just to accommodate me - but you can rest assured that I am not the only one who actually wants to have fun in this game rather than see how much money you can screw people for.

Lewis
_____________________
Second Life Stratics - your new premier resource for all things Second Life. Free to join, sign up today!

Pocket Protector Projects - Rosieri 90,234,84 - building and landscaping services
Fade Languish
I just build stuff...
Join date: 20 Oct 2005
Posts: 1,760
01-25-2006 23:57
From: Lewis Nerd

I was talking about *buying* land.... not owning land - but to own land, you have to buy, and the market is dominated by a few controlling people, who themselves are setting the prices. Individual landowners know that if they don't keep their prices close to the land barons prices, they will just buy the cheap land and set it straight for sale again - just as they do every time they violate the ToS by buying up chunks of first land with alts as soon as they become available, and reselling immediately.

..... and yet again, rather than people actually discussing the issue, I get told "if you don't like it, go back to TSO". I do not understand why so many people here are so damn hostile when people question things that do not make sense. I don't expect anyone to make any changes just to accommodate me - but you can rest assured that I am not the only one who actually wants to have fun in this game rather than see how much money you can screw people for.

Lewis[/QUOTE

Lewis, you still don't get it I'm afraid. Get yourself a basic economic text, turn to chapter one, "The law of Supply and Demand."
If people are telling you 'to go back to TSO", it's because you keep referring back to it. It is unreasonable to compare TSO with SL... TSO is supported by sales of games... SL isn't. Two entirely different creatures.
And I see you've taken someone else's suggestion re: land barons, alts, first land as gospel. So far from what I see, this is merely supposition. It doesn't make sense to back a claim with someone else's supposition.
And it's not really surprising that it's more expensive to buy land in parcels smaller than a sim than it is to buy an Island. That's the way things tend to work, buying anything in volume is normally cheaper.
Desmond Shang
Guvnah of Caledon
Join date: 14 Mar 2005
Posts: 5,250
01-26-2006 00:02
From: Lewis Nerd
I was talking about *buying* land.... not owning land - but to own land, you have to buy, and the market is dominated by a few controlling people, who themselves are setting the prices. Individual landowners know that if they don't keep their prices close to the land barons prices, they will just buy the cheap land and set it straight for sale again - just as they do every time they violate the ToS by buying up chunks of first land with alts as soon as they become available, and reselling immediately.

..... and yet again, rather than people actually discussing the issue, I get told "if you don't like it, go back to TSO". I do not understand why so many people here are so damn hostile when people question things that do not make sense. I don't expect anyone to make any changes just to accommodate me - but you can rest assured that I am not the only one who actually wants to have fun in this game rather than see how much money you can screw people for.

Lewis


Not everyone with land is going to set the prices high.

I'm going to have to fill my new sim up with rent-paying residents, so I'm faced with a choice: "sell" the plots for $L and then charge rent to pay tier, or let the plots go for $L 0 (yeap, nothing) and get my sim occupied quickly.

I've got tier to pay and that's a bigger deal than a one-hit splash. If people 'flip' the properties for cash later, well, I won't stop them, unless any of a number of known land barons takes most of the plots just for speculation. I won't allow that.

On my first sim, I'm going for 'fill up quickly' because 195 USD a month is a lot to me. Maybe if I'm a smash hit I'll charge some buy-in on the second sim, but I rather doubt it.
_____________________

Steampunk Victorian, Well-Mannered Caledon!
Cybin Monde
Resident Moderator (?)
Join date: 27 Jan 2004
Posts: 2,468
we should also consider the future
01-26-2006 00:37
there are some valid points here..

while it's a bummer that it would cost more to buy less than an entire sim for more than the price of a whole private sim, it does make sense. volume almost always equals discount, that's why private sims have sold so well. if you could easily buy a whole sim on the main grid for significantly less than the cost of a private sim, then there wouldn't be so much demand for private sims. (granted, this would get much of the mainlands plots sold quickly and would easily combat the saturation we're now seeing)

now, we also have to consider that all the land available currently will soon be gobbled up.. at least that's my assumption. regardless of how many accounts are just alts made for whatever farming purposes they may be made for, or other alts who are created for other reasons more legitimate.. the point here is how many accounts there are/will be in the fairly nwar future.
have you noticed how many accounts have been created since we hit 100,00? we're already over 127,000.. that's over 27,000 new accounts in about a month's time! at this rate (and not accounting for exponentiality) we'll hit 400,000 accounts by the end of the year!! if we account for exponential growth due to word of mouth, increased media coverage, etc., we'll easily top 500,000 by the end of this year!!

with this in mind, i'm sure the glut of available land shouldn't be a problem much longer. granted, this relies on LL slowing down on the amount of land released.. and i agree this is something that needs to be done.. we currently have too much land available and not enough of it being developed with taste. (but, there is plenty out there that is!)
_____________________
"We, as developers, are doing the easy part – building the scaffolding for a new world. You, as the engines of creation, must breathe life into it."
- Philip Linden

"There is no life I know to compare with pure imagination. Living there, you'll be free if you truly wish to be."
- Willy Wonka (circa 1971)

SecondSpace (http://groups.myspace.com/secondspace) : MySpace group for SLers.
Eggy Lippmann
Wiktator
Join date: 1 May 2003
Posts: 7,939
01-26-2006 03:57
From: Schwanson Schlegel
I am not sure LL is going to have much of a choice but to release land in this manner.
The other option is hiring very expensive, San Francisco based, designers. I venture to guess that option would cost LL $75,000+ per year, per designer.

Yeah, they could do that... OR they could code up a terrain generator like everyone else does! :)
Lewis Nerd
Nerd by name and nature!
Join date: 9 Oct 2005
Posts: 3,431
01-26-2006 05:15
From: Eggy Lippmann
Yeah, they could do that... OR they could code up a terrain generator like everyone else does! :)


Or.... they could actually let volunteers take on the 'landscaping' for them before they release the land for sale.

I would absolutely love to plan out something, and I'm pretty sure I could make a good job of it too. But I know I will never ever have sufficient disposable income to take on that kind of that kind of risk of expenditure. However, to prove I am serious, I would be happy to pay a fee - such as $25 - for doing so. Other restrictions - such as you have 2 weeks to do the work, or you have to have certain parameters (% water, % land, % roads etc) to work within would be perfectly acceptable to me at least.

Of course, LL would have the final say as to whether the land went 'public' in the configuration you had created - but you would at the end of the project if it was accepted having 'made your mark' on SL in a way that I don't think could be surpassed.

If LL take up this suggestion... put me down for one.

Lewis
_____________________
Second Life Stratics - your new premier resource for all things Second Life. Free to join, sign up today!

Pocket Protector Projects - Rosieri 90,234,84 - building and landscaping services
Polka Pinkdot
Potential Slacker
Join date: 4 Jan 2006
Posts: 144
01-27-2006 13:35
I'm not sure I'd pay to do their work for them, but if they offered it for free I'd probably try. The problem is that quality would vary wildly with this approach, although it probably wouldn't be any worse (or at least not as bland) as the southern island sims.
Argent Stonecutter
Emergency Mustelid
Join date: 20 Sep 2005
Posts: 20,263
01-27-2006 15:32
From: Kazanture Aleixandre
Believe me you wont find lands cheaper than this time. They are not overpriced, when u won an auction u pay near 4.5-5 / sqm for mature-green-flat-no water land.
Why would someone be willing to pay that much at an auction when they know there's going to be a glut on the market? It's an auction, you don't have to bid up to a price where you're barely going to be breaking even... so the question is, why are people willing to pay the equivalent of 4.5/sqm?

From: someone
Personally i raised my prices again to L$6000/1024sqm. They will sell soon or later.
But you're paying tier on it while you're waiting, almost L$1000/1024sqm/month and only going up from there as you sell.
Lizbeth Marlowe
The ORIGINAL "Demo Girl"
Join date: 7 May 2005
Posts: 544
01-27-2006 16:33
I can only speak for myself and my partner, but much of our land in Scafell is for sale due to being fed up with LL and all that's happened (not happened) since we signed up in May.

I still love the place and will be an active resident, but I think they've lost my partner completely, all his plans came to a screeching stop...and they continue to overpromise and underdeliver. So, we are tiering down and putting the money into something else.

Tired of SLBS but love the people and the environment, so I'll continue to do my thing, just wish my man still enjoyed it enough to come inworld with me sometimes. :(
_____________________
Vote to add a button to verify Deleting Items! Prop 903
I've updated my BLOG!
Maestro Quasimodo
Registered User
Join date: 29 Oct 2005
Posts: 2
Alternatives to the mainland
01-30-2006 01:15
Why all the whining about speculative mainland prices? There are a huge number of very beautifully landscaped sims out there in large, well managed continents where land is stable at 5000$L / 1000sq m. There is no speculation because the "land Baron" keeps prices stable. There are clear choices when buying land. I'll never understand why people would buy any lot on the mainland at 10-1 and have malls and clubs erected next to them, causing huge lag issues. You can be on a sim where no clubs or malls or casinos are allowed and enjoy beautiful landscapes at reasonable cost. Before you lynch the Land Barons, look at the opportunity they are providing for you "off the mainland". Where else can a newbie get 1024 sq m beach front lot for 1024 $L ?