50,000 residents was reached on September 16th. 60,000 soon after on October 5th. Now 20 days later we are just 515 shy of 70,000.
So if we are getting 10,000 new residents every 20 days and there are 68 days remaining in 2005, can one conclued that we should reach the 100,000 residents mark right around Christmas or New Years?
Currently we max out at around 3500 users inworld at any given time. By adding 30,000 more potential logins, what do you think the average peak number of inworld avies will be at the end of the year? 4500? 5000?
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100,000 Residents By End of 2005? |
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ReallyRick Metropolitan
Yes it's really me.
Join date: 4 Jun 2005
Posts: 691
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10-24-2005 23:16
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Michi Lumin
Sharp and Pointy
Join date: 14 Oct 2003
Posts: 1,793
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10-24-2005 23:17
Rick, I'd say 100k before the end of the year. Thing is though, we don't know how many of those are 'active'.
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Bertha Horton
Fat w/ Ice Cream
Join date: 19 Sep 2005
Posts: 835
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10-25-2005 00:46
Of course, having 20 alt accounts still counts as 20 people. I mean, we could have players with split personalities and lots of computers...
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Torley Linden
Enlightenment!
Join date: 15 Sep 2004
Posts: 16,530
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10-25-2005 00:47
I must be seeing things. ~rubseyes~
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Malachi Petunia
Gentle Miscreant
Join date: 21 Sep 2003
Posts: 3,414
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10-25-2005 00:49
Well, by some reckoning, AOL must have like 100 billion customers.
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Torley Linden
Enlightenment!
Join date: 15 Sep 2004
Posts: 16,530
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10-25-2005 00:51
Well, by some reckoning, AOL must have like 100 billion customers. Damn floppy disks. _____________________
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Andrew Kipling
Headless Chook
Join date: 15 Sep 2005
Posts: 22
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10-25-2005 04:44
well I'm only new to SL and online gaming and have never tried MMO whatever it is before but I reckon SL rocks and as more users jump on board word of month will also spread exponentially. It's awesome!
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Phoenix Psaltery
Ninja Wizard
Join date: 25 Feb 2005
Posts: 2,599
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10-25-2005 06:25
Damn floppy disks. No, the floppies were great. You could reuse them. It's the CD's that are damned. Only good for coasters or shooting skeet.  P2 _____________________
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Satchmo Prototype
eSheep
Join date: 26 Aug 2004
Posts: 1,323
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10-25-2005 06:55
Rick, I'd say 100k before the end of the year. Thing is though, we don't know how many of those are 'active'. It doesn't matter how many are "active" just that they keep thier accounts, remember their passwords and log back into world when they hear something cool, or read something new in the NYT. Like the web. I used to be an avid reader of Slashdot, now I just head over there for the occasional post I find from another blog. SL is the next Gen Web, it's not WoW. Although I agree, knowing how many are active would be damn cool. But how do you measure active? What if someone takes a 3 month break from SL and then comes back everyday. What if someone logs in once a month, or once every 3 months? What if they log in just on the 3rd Tuesday of every year for thier super secret virtual worlds club. _____________________
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ReallyRick Metropolitan
Yes it's really me.
Join date: 4 Jun 2005
Posts: 691
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Happy 70,000!
10-25-2005 14:17
It took 21 days this time but if you consider SL was down pretty much all day then we are still on track of 10,000 new residents every 20 days. While it may not be reflected that noticably in total inworld at one time, there does seem to be a large jump in those now using the forums.
Welcome._____________________
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Katt Kongo
M2 Publisher
Join date: 9 Jun 2005
Posts: 1,020
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10-25-2005 14:25
I'm excited about the future of SL. The addition of new faces to SL will be a benefit to everyone.
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Torley Linden
Enlightenment!
Join date: 15 Sep 2004
Posts: 16,530
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10-25-2005 14:28
I'm waiting for some very special Residents to come into SL who haven't been here yet. One person can really make a world of difference—with so many more Resis joining us, Second Life is sure to diversify.
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Travis Lambert
White dog, red collar
Join date: 3 Jun 2004
Posts: 2,819
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10-25-2005 14:39
Most Awesome!
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Kazuo Murakami
Sofa King
Join date: 31 Aug 2005
Posts: 359
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10-25-2005 14:40
One person can really make a world of difference If they can log on. =P |
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ZsuZsanna Raven
~:+: Supah Kitteh :+:~
Join date: 19 Dec 2004
Posts: 2,361
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10-25-2005 14:41
Rick, I'd say 100k before the end of the year. Thing is though, we don't know how many of those are 'active'. and how many are alts... _____________________
~Mewz!~
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SuezanneC Baskerville
Forums Rock!
Join date: 22 Dec 2003
Posts: 14,229
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10-25-2005 19:24
Are we looking ahead to the same same basic program with a giant grid? Lots more of the same ole same ole?
A grid so big that no one wants to traverse it in a simulated physical way, everyone using html on a prim to reproduce a somewhat limited reproduction of the real web? _____________________
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So long to these forums, the vBulletin forums that used to be at forums.secondlife.com. I will miss them. I can be found on the web by searching for "SuezanneC Baskerville", or go to http://www.google.com/profiles/suezanne - http://lindenlab.tribe.net/ created on 11/19/03. Members: Ben, Catherine, Colin, Cory, Dan, Doug, Jim, Philip, Phoenix, Richard, Robin, and Ryan - |
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Torley Linden
Enlightenment!
Join date: 15 Sep 2004
Posts: 16,530
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10-25-2005 19:30
If they can log on. =P And I'm definitely looking forward to that, because if logging on is a challenge, then the people I'm waiting for at the "airport" will be persistent and dogged in their determination! _____________________
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ReallyRick Metropolitan
Yes it's really me.
Join date: 4 Jun 2005
Posts: 691
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10-25-2005 22:14
It took 21 days this time but if you consider SL was down pretty much all day then we are still on track of 10,000 new residents every 20 days. While it may not be reflected that noticably in total inworld at one time, there does seem to be a large jump in those now using the forums. Welcome.Interesting side note. Yesterday when I posted this first message we were 515 away from 70,000. Now we are 645 OVER 70,000. So that means we had 1,160 NEW RESIDENTS sign up in just 24 hours!  If that trend continues we will have 80,000 in 10 days not 20 and 100,000 in 30 days not 60. 100,000 residents by Thanksgiving! _____________________
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Cybin Monde
Resident Moderator (?)
Join date: 27 Jan 2004
Posts: 2,468
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i wonder..
10-25-2005 22:32
will we have to rent out the ENTIRE "Village" for the next SLCC?!?
sure that may be an exagerration, but still.. at this growth rate, i imagine next years SLCC will need a MUCH bigger venue. (i may not have been far off by suggesting the Jacob Javitz center! )_____________________
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Andrew Kipling
Headless Chook
Join date: 15 Sep 2005
Posts: 22
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land speculation
10-25-2005 22:36
maybe I should buy some real estate....
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ReallyRick Metropolitan
Yes it's really me.
Join date: 4 Jun 2005
Posts: 691
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10-25-2005 22:36
Hmmm...Another interesting side note. I am 100% positive the webpage said 70,645. Now it says 70,631. Did 14 people give up and cancel their accounts that quick? Maybe they couldn't run SL, or they didn't understand what was going on because of 1.7, or maybe even they went to the WA and thought, "Get me the f@^& out of here?"
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